When will Democrats win back the House? (user search)
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  When will Democrats win back the House? (search mode)
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Author Topic: When will Democrats win back the House?  (Read 6445 times)
Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,075
United States
« on: May 25, 2015, 02:37:33 PM »
Sometime in the 2030s in the worst-case scenario. It's increasingly evident 1994 was a realignment.
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,075
United States
« Reply #1 on: May 25, 2015, 11:41:38 PM »
Quote from: Computer09 on May 25, 2015, 11:23:04 PM
Quote from: Mr.Phips on May 25, 2015, 07:13:17 PM
Quote from: Nyvin on May 25, 2015, 06:12:41 PM
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If you look over the numbers 277 Republican held seats is pretty much impossible,  you'd be talking about winning around 15-20 D+4 or above seats.     There aren't that many D+1 or D+2 seats in the country.   

I think Republicans already hold most of the D+1/D+2 seats that exist.

2016-2020 will be similar time period to 1976-1980, whoever wins in 2016 will cause their party to be crushed by a realignment in 2020.

Why?
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