GA-InsiderAdvantage/OpinionSavvy: Carson & Huckabee surge to the top

[Tender Branson]

20.3% Carson
19.9% Huckabee
14.4% Rubio
11.6% Bush
  7.5% Cruz
  6.5% Walker
  6.4% Paul
  2.1% Fiorina
  1.3% Trump
  1.2% Christie
  0.4% Santorum
  0.4% Graham
  0.3% Perry
  7.7% Undecided

A telephone survey conducted on the evening May 12, 2015 by OpinionSavvy shows two of the newer announced candidates for the GOP nomination for president leading a crowded field in Georgia. The poll was conducted by phone among 516 likely voters in the March 1 2016 GOP primary. It is weighted for age, race, and gender. The poll has a margin of error of 4.1%.

http://insideradvantage.com/2015/05/14/carson-and-huckabee-lead-crowded-gop-field-in-georgia-isakson-has-strong-approval-rating-from-gop-voters

Crosstabs:

http://insideradvantage.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Final-tabs-poll-1-Fox-Morris-May-2015.docx

[Tender Branson]

Their March numbers:

27.1% Walker
20.1% Huckabee
12.5% Carson
11.0% Bush
  6.4% Rubio
  3.5% Trump
  3.5% Perry
  3.3% Paul
  2.6% Christie
10.1% Others/Undecided

[Tender Branson]

For the record:

1% of the sample (5 people) is African-American.

Carson gets 0% ...

[Lief 🗽]

For the record:

1% of the sample (5 people) is African-American.

Carson gets 0% ...

Pictured below: the average black Georgia Republican.

[King]

But wait... Georgia is a Southern state, isn't it? Democrats told me that Southern Republicans are racist (that's why Obama lost GA, after all). So this must be a junk poll or they don't know that he is black!!11!!!

The South is chock full of racism, just check out a Facebook comment section for your local newspaper. It's not cute or clever to suggest otherwise. Ben Carson getting 20% in a poll doesn't factor at all.

[Tender Branson]

The good news for Huckabee is that he leads Carson by 8% among voters older than 65.

That's good for him, because these are the most reliable voters to turn out.

The poll is generally terrible news for Walker, Bush and Paul - and good for Huck/Carson/Rubio and Cruz to some extent.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

But wait... Georgia is a Southern state, isn't it? Democrats told me that Southern Republicans are racist (that's why Obama lost GA, after all). So this must be a junk poll or they don't know that he is black!!11!!!

The South is chock full of racism, just check out a Facebook comment section for your local newspaper. It's not cute or clever to suggest otherwise. Ben Carson getting 20% in a poll doesn't factor at all.

Yea, he is the token black guy in the race. Just like Cain in 2012. Racist white Republicans flock to the token black candidate to 'prove' how non racist they are and try to win minority support despite their personal revulsion towards minorities and terrible policies.

[WVdemocrat]

But wait... Georgia is a Southern state, isn't it? Democrats told me that Southern Republicans are racist (that's why Obama lost GA, after all). So this must be a junk poll or they don't know that he is black!!11!!!

The South is chock full of racism, just check out a Facebook comment section for your local newspaper. It's not cute or clever to suggest otherwise. Ben Carson getting 20% in a poll doesn't factor at all.

Yea, he is the token black guy in the race. Just like Cain in 2012. Racist white Republicans flock to the token black candidate to 'prove' how non racist they are and try to win minority support despite their personal revulsion towards minorities and terrible policies.

Well, I mean 30% of Georgia is African American, according to the 2010 Census, so that might explain some of it. And Carson just announced, so the boost isn't entirely surprising.

[Beet]

I would be ecstatic if the GOP nominated a black candidate. I think that a pattern of strong identification with a black throughout the campaign would do wonders for Republicans psychologically in terms of racism. Meanwhile the hardcore racists (a small minority) would be forced to become alienated from both major parties (yay!), whereas black conservatives will be able to vote their views on other issues just like most Americans. All of which would be a dream... Of course it'll never happen.

[Eraserhead]

The Carson surge is happening even earlier than I expected it to. Glorious news!

[Mr. Morden]

Who leads among...?

age 18-29: Carson
age 30-44: Paul
age 45-64: Carson
age 65+: Carson
whites: Carson
blacks: Cruz
Hispanics: Carson
men: Huckabee
women: Carson
Republicans: Huckabee
Independents: Rubio

The poll includes 5 blacks and 5 Hispanics.  The breakdown of their support:

blacks

Cruz 60%
Fiorina 20%
undecided 20%

Hispanics

Carson 60%
Huckabee 40%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

So much for Carson being able to lock up the black vote.

[H. Ross Peron]

I find it hilariously ironic that a black man leads among Hispanics and a Hispanic man among blacks.

[Boston Bread]

So much for Carson being able to lock up the black vote.

Only Carly Fiorina can do that now!

[Adam Griffin]

How quickly y'all forget!

Article.

Deal (R)- 44%
Carter (D)- 44%
Hunt (L)- 5%

Article.

Nunn (D)- 47%
Perdue (R)- 45%
Swafford (L)- 4%

So a InsiderAdvantage poll has a 33% black sample with Perdue winning by 10, while the AJC has a 24% black sample that shows Perdue ahead by 4?

To begin with, InsiderAdvantage is a junk pollster - always has been.

Especially for a primary where there are tons of candidates...junk pollster! For what it's worth, Huckabee is probably in the lead or close, but Carson? LOL

[bobloblaw]

But wait... Georgia is a Southern state, isn't it? Democrats told me that Southern Republicans are racist (that's why Obama lost GA, after all). So this must be a junk poll or they don't know that he is black!!11!!!

The South is chock full of racism, just check out a Facebook comment section for your local newspaper. It's not cute or clever to suggest otherwise. Ben Carson getting 20% in a poll doesn't factor at all.

Google search results for racist terms is strongest in the northeast. Also racist cops have been killing blacks in northern cities, not the south

[bobloblaw]

For the record:

1% of the sample (5 people) is African-American.

Carson gets 0% ...

Pictured below: the average black Georgia Republican.

Im so glad the NYGOP is in the shambles it is in.

[bobloblaw]

But wait... Georgia is a Southern state, isn't it? Democrats told me that Southern Republicans are racist (that's why Obama lost GA, after all). So this must be a junk poll or they don't know that he is black!!11!!!

The South is chock full of racism, just check out a Facebook comment section for your local newspaper. It's not cute or clever to suggest otherwise. Ben Carson getting 20% in a poll doesn't factor at all.

Yea, he is the token black guy in the race. Just like Cain in 2012. Racist white Republicans flock to the token black candidate to 'prove' how non racist they are and try to win minority support despite their personal revulsion towards minorities and terrible policies.

Kind of like everyone who voted for Obama in 2008

[The Other Castro]

But wait... Georgia is a Southern state, isn't it? Democrats told me that Southern Republicans are racist (that's why Obama lost GA, after all). So this must be a junk poll or they don't know that he is black!!11!!!

The South is chock full of racism, just check out a Facebook comment section for your local newspaper. It's not cute or clever to suggest otherwise. Ben Carson getting 20% in a poll doesn't factor at all.

Yea, he is the token black guy in the race. Just like Cain in 2012. Racist white Republicans flock to the token black candidate to 'prove' how non racist they are and try to win minority support despite their personal revulsion towards minorities and terrible policies.

Kind of like everyone who voted for Obama in 2008

Except Obama was actually smart, sane, and one of the best candidates available.

[WVdemocrat]

But wait... Georgia is a Southern state, isn't it? Democrats told me that Southern Republicans are racist (that's why Obama lost GA, after all). So this must be a junk poll or they don't know that he is black!!11!!!

The South is chock full of racism, just check out a Facebook comment section for your local newspaper. It's not cute or clever to suggest otherwise. Ben Carson getting 20% in a poll doesn't factor at all.

Yea, he is the token black guy in the race. Just like Cain in 2012. Racist white Republicans flock to the token black candidate to 'prove' how non racist they are and try to win minority support despite their personal revulsion towards minorities and terrible policies.

Kind of like everyone who voted for Obama in 2008

Yeah, the US being in two failing and costly wars and the world economy being in freefall certainly had nothing to do with his victory. It was a bunch of white people desperately trying to appear not racist.

[YaBoyNY]

For the record:

1% of the sample (5 people) is African-American.

Carson gets 0% ...

Pictured below: the average black Georgia Republican.

Im so glad the NYGOP is in the shambles it is in.

Hey, we finally agree on something.

The leas the NYGOP (and lolcuomo) can get in the way of progress, the better.