A reinterpretation of the UK 2015 results that nobody has considered!!!!

[Joe Republic]

A Very Important And Extremely Interesting Map of the Results By Proportions of the Vote and By Region^TM


If the 650 seats were first of all allocated by region based on how many votes were actually cast in the election, and then allocated by party based on their overall share of the vote in each region.  So, the higher the turnout, the more total seats awarded to that region.

Obviously there's no way to factor in tactical voting or parties that didn't run candidates everywhere, but this is just for my own amusement anyway.

N.B. Buckingham messes everything up, so all the votes in that constituency were thrown out.  Sorry Buckingham, but you don't have a real MP anyway so sucks to be you.

[Joe Republic]

Eastern England

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
Conservative	1,445,946	49.0%	31	-21
Labour	649,320	22.0%	14	+10
UKIP	478,517	16.2%	10	+9
Lib Dem	243,191	8.2%	5	+4
Green	116,274	3.9%	3	+3
Others	15,374	0.5%	0	0
Total	2,948,622	100.0%	63	+5

East Midlands

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
Conservative	969,379	43.5%	21	-11
Labour	705,767	31.6%	15	+1
UKIP	351,777	15.8%	7	+7
Lib Dem	124,039	5.6%	3	+3
Green	66,239	3.0%	1	+1
Others	13,201	0.6%	0	0
Total	2,230,402	100.0%	47	+1

London

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
Labour	1,545,110	43.7%	33	-12
Conservative	1,233,378	34.9%	26	-1
UKIP	286,981	8.1%	6	+6
Lib Dem	272,544	7.7%	6	+5
Green	171,652	4.9%	4	+4
Others	26,626	0.8%	0	0
Total	3,536,291	100.0%	75	+2

North East England

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
Labour	557,100	46.9%	12	-14
Conservative	300,883	25.3%	6	+3
UKIP	198,823	16.7%	4	+4
Lib Dem	77,125	6.5%	2	+2
Green	43,051	3.6%	1	+1
Others	11,201	0.9%	0	0
Total	1,188,183	100.0%	25	-4

North West England

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
Labour	1,502,047	44.6%	32	-19
Conservative	1,050,124	31.2%	22	0
UKIP	459,071	13.6%	10	+10
Lib Dem	219,998	6.5%	5	+3
Green	107,889	3.2%	2	+2
Others	24,926	0.7%	0	0
Total	3,364,055	100.0%	71	-4

Northern Ireland

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
DUP	184,260	25.7%	5	-3
Sinn Fein	176,232	24.5%	5	+1
UUP	114,935	16.0%	2	0
SDLP	99,809	13.9%	2	-1
Alliance	61,556	8.6%	1	+1
UKIP	18,324	2.6%	0	0
Ind (Hermon)	17,689	2.5%	0	-1
TUV	16,538	2.3%	0	0
Conservative	9,055	1.3%	0	0
Green	6,822	1.0%	0	0
Others	12,883	1.8%	0	0
Total	718,103	100.0%	15	-3

Scotland

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
SNP	1,454,436	50.0%	31	-25
Labour	707,147	24.3%	15	+14
Conservative	434,097	14.9%	9	+8
Lib Dem	219,675	7.5%	5	+4
UKIP	47,078	1.6%	1	+1
Green	39,205	1.3%	1	+1
Others	8,827	0.3%	0	0
Total	2,910,465	100.0%	62	+3

[Joe Republic]

South East England

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
Conservative	2,234,356	51.5%	48	-30
Labour	804,774	18.5%	17	+13
UKIP	635,284	14.6%	13	+13
Lib Dem	413,586	9.5%	9	+9
Green	220,483	5.1%	5	+4
Others	32,182	0.7%	0	-1
Total	4,340,665	100.0%	92	+8

South West England

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
Conservative	1,319,967	46.5%	28	-23
Labour	501,684	17.7%	11	+7
Lib Dem	428,873	15.1%	9	+9
UKIP	384,546	13.6%	8	+8
Green	168,130	5.9%	4	+4
Others	33,013	1.2%	0	0
Total	2,836,213	100.0%	60	+5

Wales

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
Labour	552,473	36.9%	12	-13
Conservative	408,213	27.2%	9	-2
UKIP	204,360	13.6%	4	+4
Plaid Cymru	181,694	12.1%	4	+1
Lib Dem	97,783	6.5%	2	+1
Green	38,344	2.6%	1	+1
Others	15,566	1.0%	0	0
Total	1,498,433	100.0%	32	-8

West Midlands

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
Conservative	1,098,113	41.8%	24	-10
Labour	865,067	32.9%	18	-7
UKIP	412,770	15.7%	9	+9
Lib Dem	145,009	5.5%	3	+3
Green	85,653	3.3%	2	+2
Others	22,331	0.8%	0	0
Total	2,628,943	100.0%	56	-3

Yorkshire & Humberside

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
Labour	956,837	39.1%	21	-12
Conservative	796,792	32.6%	17	-2
UKIP	391,923	16.0%	8	+8
Lib Dem	174,065	7.1%	4	+2
Green	86,471	3.5%	2	+2
Others	38,055	1.6%	0	0
Total	2,444,143	100.0%	52	-2

UNITED KINGDOM

Party	Votes	%	Seats	Change from reality
Conservative	11,334,576	36.9%	241	-89
Labour	9,347,304	30.4%	200	-32
UKIP	3,881,099	12.6%	80	+79
Lib Dem	2,415,862	7.9%	53	+45
SNP	1,454,436	4.7%	31	-25
Green	1,157,613	3.8%	26	+25
DUP	184,260	0.6%	5	-3
Plaid Cymru	181,704	0.6%	4	+1
Sinn Fein	176,232	0.6%	5	+1
UUP	114,935	0.4%	2	0
SDLP	99,809	0.3%	2	-1
Alliance	61,556	0.2%	1	+1
Others	288,449	0.9%	0	-2
Total	30,697,835	100.0%	650	0

[rob in cal]

   I think there has been alot of discussion about this actually, namely how different things would be if Britain had PR.  France too would have quite a different parliament if they had PR.

[Joe Republic]

   I think there has been alot of discussion about this actually, namely how different things would be if Britain had PR.  France too would have quite a different parliament if they had PR.

You don't say?  I thought 'Britain-with-PR' was an entirely original idea.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

This literally blew my mind

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Now do it with Turkish thresholds for each region

[Krago]

Two things:

(1)  Apart from Northern Ireland, none of the regional totals were particularly close.  The next closest region was Yorkshire and the Humber, which Labour won by 6.5%.

(2)  If Britain had used an American-style Electoral College (winner of each region receiving EC votes equal to the number of Westminster constituencies plus two) the results would have been Cameron 312, Miliband 281, Sturgeon 61 and Robinson 20.  If Labour had won West Midlands, then it would be President Miliband (342-251-61-20).  But if Britain used this system, neither Party leader would have left the West Midlands during the entire campaign.