Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread
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Author Topic: Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread  (Read 7223 times)
Torie
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« Reply #50 on: May 19, 2015, 06:39:53 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 06:35:57 PM
Quote from: Torie on May 19, 2015, 06:33:06 PM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 06:30:53 PM
38% reporting!

Bevin: 34.6%
Heiner: 32.7%
Comer: 25.3%


It's all about the relative percentages still out from the cities versus the countryside, in particular how much of Jefferson and Lexington counties are still not in.

61% of Jefferson has reported. 100% of Fayette has apparently reported. Looks very good for Bevin so far, Comer not doing as well as he should in Western Kentucky. Bevin outperforming in Eastern Kentucky.

Yes, it appears the Dems will retain the KY governorship absent a surprise. Heiner has shot his wad.
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« Reply #51 on: May 19, 2015, 06:45:02 PM »
Bevin leads Heiner and Comer 34%-30%-28% with 50.3% reporting.
This one is beginning to look like it's over.
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Flake
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« Reply #52 on: May 19, 2015, 06:47:45 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 06:47:06 PM
WOW Geoff Young winning a county: Spencer County!

I saw, and it was by a pretty healthy margin too! 10-15%.
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« Reply #53 on: May 19, 2015, 06:51:12 PM »
58% in:

Quarles leading Heath 52-48 for Agriculture Commissioner
Westerfield leading Hogan 53-47 for Attorney General
Nelson leading Blakemore 27-24 for Dem. Treasurer
Ball leading Larson 47-33 for GOP Treasurer. Surprised this hasn't been called.
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« Reply #54 on: May 19, 2015, 06:58:36 PM »
61% in:

Bevin leading Heiner and Comer 34%-31%-27%. This should be called soon...
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« Reply #55 on: May 19, 2015, 07:00:39 PM »
63% in:

Quarles leading Heath 52-48 for Agriculture Commissioner
Westerfield leading Hogan 53-47 for Attorney General
Nelson leading Blakemore 27-23 for Dem. Treasurer
Ball leading Larson 47-32 for GOP Treasurer
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« Reply #56 on: May 19, 2015, 07:03:09 PM »
64% in:

Bevin, Matt   50,567   34%
Heiner, Hal   44,055   30%
Comer, James   40,289   27%
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« Reply #57 on: May 19, 2015, 07:06:07 PM »
69% in:

Quarles leading Heath 52-48 for Agriculture Commissioner
Nelson leading Blakemore 27-24 for Dem. Treasurer
Ball leading Larson 47-32 for GOP Treasurer

68% in for Attorney General, Westerfield leading Hogan 53-47
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« Reply #58 on: May 19, 2015, 07:10:42 PM »
73% reporting, all of Jefferson County in!
Bevin: 34.4%
Heiner: 30.5%
Comer: 27.3%
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« Reply #59 on: May 19, 2015, 07:11:28 PM »
What's up with Spencer County? Scott and Young both won it...
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« Reply #60 on: May 19, 2015, 07:12:12 PM »
71% in for Agriculture Commissioner, Quarles leading Heath 52-48

72% in:

Westerfield leading Hogan 53-47 for Attorney General
Nelson leading Blakemore 27-23 for Dem. Treasurer
Ball leading Larson 47-32 for GOP Treasurer
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #61 on: May 19, 2015, 07:13:41 PM »
Quote from: vivaportugalhabs on May 19, 2015, 07:11:28 PM
What's up with Spencer County? Scott and Young both won it...

Socon/ultra anti-establishment?
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Miles
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« Reply #62 on: May 19, 2015, 07:15:44 PM »
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« Reply #63 on: May 19, 2015, 07:15:48 PM »
Appears to have been a reporting error by AP. That makes a lot more sense now
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #64 on: May 19, 2015, 07:16:01 PM »
Looks like Comer is out of it.  Hello, Governor Conway.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #65 on: May 19, 2015, 07:16:02 PM »
Networks just called it for Bevin. Now for Team McConnell's reaction.
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cinyc
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« Reply #66 on: May 19, 2015, 07:16:06 PM »
Assuming the rest of Western Kentucky votes the same way as the counties currently partially in, Bevin wins this easily.  Heiner is running a distant third there, behind Comer, who is a close second to Bevin.
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« Reply #67 on: May 19, 2015, 07:20:15 PM »
80% in:

Quarles leading Heath 52-48 for Agriculture Commissioner
Westerfield leading Hogan 53-47 for Attorney General
Nelson leading Blakemore 27-23 for Dem. Treasurer
Ball leading Larson 47-32 for GOP. Treasurer
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #68 on: May 19, 2015, 07:24:07 PM »
Will Quarles be fine or still too early to tell?
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« Reply #69 on: May 19, 2015, 07:25:25 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 19, 2015, 07:24:07 PM
Will Quarles be fine or still too early to tell?

Too early to tell.
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« Reply #70 on: May 19, 2015, 07:30:20 PM »
86% in.

Bevin: 33.7%
Comer: 29.6%
Heiner: 29%
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« Reply #71 on: May 19, 2015, 07:31:40 PM »
85% in:

Quarles leading Heath 51-49 for Agriculture Commissioner
Westerfield leading Hogan 53-47 for Attorney General
Nelson leading Blakemore 27-23 for Dem. Treasurer
Ball leading Larson 47-31 for GOP Treasurer
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #72 on: May 19, 2015, 07:34:30 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 07:30:20 PM
86% in.

Bevin: 33.7%
Comer: 29.6%
Heiner: 29%

Seems like Comer could get within 2% of Bevin by the end of the night.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #73 on: May 19, 2015, 07:36:25 PM »
Going wrong way for Quarles.
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« Reply #74 on: May 19, 2015, 07:36:51 PM »
Agriculture Commissioner Tightening at 86% in....

Quarles 81,952
Heath 79,155
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