Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread

[MT Treasurer]

Comer winning this would be Jim Bunning 2004 all over again...

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Comer winning this would be Jim Bunning 2004 all over again...

No one actually called it for his opponent before he took the lead though. Some networks (though not AP) have already called it for Bevin.

[Maxwell]

Yeah... claims that McConnell won't help out Bevin in the general will be proven false. As you might remeber, Rand Paul was far from McConnell's preferred choice, and they've developed quite the working relationship. I suspect McConnell will make an ally out of a former enemy.

[MT Treasurer]

92% reporting!

Bevin: 33.3%
Comer: 31.1%
Heiner: 28.3%

Tightening!

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

92% in for Agriculture Commissioner

Quarles 85,572
Heath 83,070

92% in:

Westerfield leading Hogan 53-47 for Attorney General
Nelson leading Blakemore 27-23 for Dem. Treasurer
Ball leading Larson 47-31 for GOP Treasurer. Still no call.

[Skill and Chance]

92% reporting!

Bevin: 33.3%
Comer: 31.1%
Heiner: 28.3%

Tightening!

I don't think there is quite enough out for Comer.  And if I were a KY Republican, I'd be rooting for Bevin anyway.  Comer is Akin/Mourdock waiting to happen with that domestic abuse scandal.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

LOL@AoSHQ: They kinda remind me of ABC in the 80s and 90s. "Well, let's just call it with 40% in, it;s obvious that he will win". Why do they make those premature calls?

They're brave. And so far they haven't been wrong.

AP is always very cautious.

[MT Treasurer]

My guess is that Bevin wins by 1.3% or so.

[cinyc]

The largest county still fully out in the AP's count is McCracken (Paducah).  Comer won the few votes that have already reported (early vote?) 49-31.

I doubt it and the few other counties that are out are large enough to put Comer over the top, though.

[Skill and Chance]

The largest county still fully out in the AP's count is McCracken (Paducah).  Comer won the few votes that have already reported (early vote?) 49-31.

I doubt it and the few other counties that are out are large enough to put Comer over the top, though.

Lead is down to about 2700 votes.  This may go to a recount...

[Miles]

LOL@AoSHQ: They kinda remind me of ABC in the 80s and 90s. "Well, let's just call it with 40% in, it;s obvious that he will win". Why do they make those premature calls?

They're brave. And so far they haven't been wrong.

Thank you!

[Skill and Chance]

BEVIN LEADING BY 0.9% WITH 96% IN!!!

Wow, didn't know KY elections could be that exciting LOL.

Lead down to 1800, nothing more in from McCracken (49/31 Comer) yet...

[RogueBeaver]

So, looking like a last-minute Comer win?

[Maxwell]

92% reporting!

Bevin: 33.3%
Comer: 31.1%
Heiner: 28.3%

Tightening!

I don't think there is quite enough out for Comer.  And if I were a KY Republican, I'd be rooting for Bevin anyway.  Comer is Akin/Mourdock waiting to happen with that domestic abuse scandal.

Absolutely. And while Bevin is something of a snake oil salesman, he is far preferable to Hal Heiner, who seems like Kentucky's Mitt Romney.

I would be so mad if Comer pulled a last minute win, because against Comer even Jack Conway could win.

[Skill and Chance]

LOL Bevin could get Fairfax'd...

Still nothing from McCracken.  Think it gives the race to Comer.  Western KY = reverse NOVA?  Funny that the urban vote came in first!  

[MT Treasurer]

So, looking like a last-minute Comer win?

It is really too close to call. There are still some votes out in Bevin areas. This is like a VA election where NoVA comes in late.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

I hope the media is retracting its Bevin call.  This just proves that they learned absolutely NOTHING from Florida in 2000.

Any chance this goes to a recount?

[MT Treasurer]

98.4% reporting.

BEVIN LEADING 32.9% - 32.6% !!!!

[cinyc]

Still nothing from McCracken.  Think it gives the race to Comer.  Western KY = reverse NOVA?  Funny that the urban vote came in first!  

I wouldn't be so sure.  The other semi-urban Ohio River counties have tended to go to Bevin.  Even if McCracken is close to a tie, Comer could still pull it out when Cumberland and Ohio counties report, though.  He's heavily winning South Central Kentucky, where Cumberland County is.  Ohio County is in more marginal territory.

[Skill and Chance]

McCracken all in.  Comer still needs to find 748 votes.  Likely more because there are precincts out in Jefferson where he got crushed.  Think Bevin holds on now.

[MT Treasurer]

LOL Bevin could get Fairfax'd...

Still nothing from McCracken.  Think it gives the race to Comer.  Western KY = reverse NOVA?  Funny that the urban vote came in first!  

Kind of, yeah, in 2004 Jim Bunning (the Republican) was trailing Daniel Mongiardo (the Democrat) until the very end. Then, with about 98% in (when Western KY came in), he took the lead and won.

[Ebsy]

Breaking: McConnell's reaction to razor thin gubernatorial primary.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

I just heard that Comer is now leading by 30 votes.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

I just heard that Comer is now leading by 30 votes.

With 99% in. 36 precincts to go.

[RogueBeaver]

He is. I bet Comer wins the recount.