Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread
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Author Topic: Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread  (Read 7213 times)
Donerail
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« Reply #100 on: May 19, 2015, 08:15:39 PM »
Quote from: Oldiesfreak1854 on May 19, 2015, 08:08:25 PM
I hope the media is retracting its Bevin call.  This just proves that they learned absolutely NOTHING from Florida in 2000.

Any chance this goes to a recount?

"The media" (or at least AP) never called it for Bevin. Just AOSHQDD.

And no, there are no real recounts - the majority of ballots cast in Kentucky use paperless electronic voting machines. Nothing to count.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #101 on: May 19, 2015, 08:15:42 PM »
There is something fishy going on here... I mean, Comer got 85.4% in Cumberland County which just came in. And 95% (!) in Monroe County.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #102 on: May 19, 2015, 08:16:15 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 19, 2015, 08:14:13 PM
He is. I bet Comer wins the recount.

A lot hinges on how big/where those last 12 Jefferson precincts are.  If they are empty, Comer has this.  If they are populated, Bevin got 2X Comer's support countywide...
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cinyc
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« Reply #103 on: May 19, 2015, 08:17:16 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2015, 08:20:50 PM by cinyc »
Quote from: SMilo on May 19, 2015, 08:14:11 PM
Quote from: Oldiesfreak1854 on May 19, 2015, 08:12:57 PM
I just heard that Comer is now leading by 30 votes.

With 99% in. 36 precincts to go.
Fully out:
Ohio County - 19
Ballard County - 13

Partially out:
Jefferson County (Louisville) - 12 (Comer a distant third)
Warren County - 5 (Comer leads)
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #104 on: May 19, 2015, 08:18:35 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on May 19, 2015, 08:16:15 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 19, 2015, 08:14:13 PM
He is. I bet Comer wins the recount.

A lot hinges on how big/where those last 12 Jefferson precincts are.  If they are empty, Comer has this.  If they are populated, Bevin got 2X Comer's support countywide...
I'm pretty darn sure this is going to a recount.  Oh baby, this is so exciting!
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« Reply #105 on: May 19, 2015, 08:18:43 PM »
Back.

99% in for Agriculture Commissioner

Quarles 91,701
Heath 90,607


99% in:

Westerfield leading Hogan 53-47 for Attorney General
Nelson leading Blakemore 27-23 for Dem. Treasurer
Ball leading Larson 47-31 for GOP Treasurer
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #106 on: May 19, 2015, 08:18:52 PM »
Those are all Comer counties from what I read... so Comer wins.
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Miles
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« Reply #107 on: May 19, 2015, 08:19:37 PM »
Wow, first time we've ever had to to do this...

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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #108 on: May 19, 2015, 08:20:06 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 19, 2015, 08:18:52 PM
Those are all Comer counties from what I read... so Comer wins.

Jefferson- Comer flopped there.  Could be 3K person inner suburbs precincts, we don't know.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #109 on: May 19, 2015, 08:26:57 PM »
Congrats Jack Conway
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« Reply #110 on: May 19, 2015, 08:30:15 PM »
Comer now leading 32.9%-32.8% (110 votes).
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« Reply #111 on: May 19, 2015, 08:30:15 PM »
Dem. Treasurer goes for Nelson, who is leading Blakemore 27-23 with 99% in!
Attorney General goes for Westerfield, who is leading Hogan 53-47 with 99% in!
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cinyc
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« Reply #112 on: May 19, 2015, 08:30:20 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2015, 08:36:13 PM by cinyc »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 08:28:11 PM
Based on what is outstanding... Comer probably has this.

AoSHQDD has much of what the AP considers out in, and Bevin ahead by about 500 votes with 4 precincts out, presumably in Jefferson.  Ohio County went Bevin.  Ballard County went Comer, but was too small to matter.
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« Reply #113 on: May 19, 2015, 08:32:33 PM »
Quote from: cinyc on May 19, 2015, 08:30:20 PM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 08:28:11 PM
Based on what is outstanding... Comer probably has this.

AoSHQDD has much of what the AP considers out in, and Bevin ahead by about 100 votes with 4 precincts out, presumably in Jefferson.

I'm done trusting them for the rest of the night.


GOP Treasurer goes for Ball, who is leading Larson 47-31 with 99% in!

------------

Quarles 91,912
Heath 90,757

3656/3700 precincts in
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« Reply #114 on: May 19, 2015, 08:36:46 PM »
Quarles 92,391
Heath 91,582

3688/3700 in
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Miles
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« Reply #115 on: May 19, 2015, 08:37:03 PM »
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cinyc
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« Reply #116 on: May 19, 2015, 08:37:43 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 08:34:44 PM
BEVIN NOW LEADING BY roughly 100 VOTES!

With only 12 Jefferson County precincts outstanding.  Comer is getting crushed in the rest of the county.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #117 on: May 19, 2015, 08:38:07 PM »
Down to the Jefferson precincts on AP and Bevin leads.  Unless they are really anomalous, he wins the 1st count.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #118 on: May 19, 2015, 08:39:52 PM »
Paging ALG. Quarles should be fine.
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cinyc
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« Reply #119 on: May 19, 2015, 08:40:02 PM »
AoSHQDD has Bevin winning by 496 votes with all precincts reporting.
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« Reply #120 on: May 19, 2015, 08:44:22 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 19, 2015, 08:39:52 PM
Paging ALG. Quarles should be fine.

Grimes endorsed Quarles? No wonder he's barely winning. Grimes can hardly do anything right.
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« Reply #121 on: May 19, 2015, 08:51:06 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 08:46:11 PM
Quote from: Wulfric on May 19, 2015, 08:44:22 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 19, 2015, 08:39:52 PM
Paging ALG. Quarles should be fine.

Grimes endorsed Quarles? No wonder he's barely winning. Grimes can hardly do anything right.

She's a proud Clinton Democrat! Hillary will win the state in 2016 ayy..

She can't even unite her base. Her Challenger, who from what I've heard did not seriously campaign for the seat, is getting 27% atm.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #122 on: May 19, 2015, 08:53:32 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on May 19, 2015, 08:51:06 PM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 08:46:11 PM
Quote from: Wulfric on May 19, 2015, 08:44:22 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 19, 2015, 08:39:52 PM
Paging ALG. Quarles should be fine.

Grimes endorsed Quarles? No wonder he's barely winning. Grimes can hardly do anything right.

She's a proud Clinton Democrat! Hillary will win the state in 2016 ayy..

She can't even unite her base. Her Challenger, who from what I've heard did not seriously campaign for the seat, is getting 27% atm.

Yeah, just kidding. Tonight is a warning sign for Hillary. I bet she doesn't like the Jacksonville mayoral election results and this nail-biter in KY... If she can't unite the base in 2016, Democrats won't turn out and she will be toast.
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cinyc
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« Reply #123 on: May 19, 2015, 08:54:42 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2015, 08:57:13 PM by cinyc »
AP is now all in, and has Bevin winning by 83.  AoSHQDD re-computed their numbers or something, and have Bevin winning by 80 er.. now 83, too.
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« Reply #124 on: May 19, 2015, 08:57:09 PM »
WTF AP? You add in 12 more precincts but leave the #GOPGOV vote totals exactly the same for Bevin and Comer?
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