Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread
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Author Topic: Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread  (Read 7214 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #125 on: May 19, 2015, 08:58:00 PM »
AP says no call, still military ballots to count and still disagreement on what's out or in.
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cinyc
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« Reply #126 on: May 19, 2015, 08:58:29 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on May 19, 2015, 08:57:09 PM
WTF AP? You add in 12 more precincts but leave the #GOPGOV vote totals exactly the same for Bevin and Comer?



They very well could have been inner-city Louisville precincts or empty precincts with zero votes in the Republican Primary.  Or that there were outstanding precincts could have been a mistake.  Both have happened before.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #127 on: May 19, 2015, 09:00:08 PM »
Quarles declared victory.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #128 on: May 19, 2015, 09:00:18 PM »
Quarles has apparently won by 806 votes, but no checkmark.
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Miles
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« Reply #129 on: May 19, 2015, 09:00:59 PM »
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #130 on: May 19, 2015, 09:01:01 PM »
AP has called it.
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« Reply #131 on: May 19, 2015, 09:02:54 PM »

Clarification to avoid confusion.
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rbt48
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« Reply #132 on: May 19, 2015, 09:17:16 PM »
On the basis of primary votes cast by party, Democrats in Kentucky should be worried for November.  For those offices where both parties have contested races, there are more votes cast for Republican candidates than for Democratic candidates.

I don't recall this having ever happened statewide in Kentucky before - ever.

Governor, D - 178,514
Governor, R - 214,187

State Treasurer, D - 163,804
State Treasurer, R - 180,267
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cinyc
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« Reply #133 on: May 19, 2015, 09:17:34 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2015, 09:25:37 PM by cinyc »
The Kentucky State Board of Elections' website shows the same result as AP and AoSDDHQ - Bevin +83.  But they claim there are still precincts outstanding in Jefferson County (Louisville).

Edited to add: A quick check of the precincts outstanding shows that 1 vote was cast in all of them combined for the 2014 Republican Senate primary.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #134 on: May 19, 2015, 09:18:14 PM »
Jefferson says they're all in. Also, via Trey Grayson, here's the recanvass procedure.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #135 on: May 19, 2015, 09:20:00 PM »
Quote from: cinyc on May 19, 2015, 09:17:34 PM
The Kentucky State Board of Elections' website shows the same result as AP and AoSDDHQ - Bevin +83.  But they claim there are still precincts outstanding in Jefferson County (Louisville).

That would be good, I think I saw Comer doing god awful in Jefferson County (one of the lone Heiner strongholds).
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #136 on: May 19, 2015, 09:35:52 PM »
Quote from: maxwell on May 19, 2015, 09:20:00 PM
Quote from: cinyc on May 19, 2015, 09:17:34 PM
The Kentucky State Board of Elections' website shows the same result as AP and AoSDDHQ - Bevin +83.  But they claim there are still precincts outstanding in Jefferson County (Louisville).

That would be good, I think I saw Comer doing god awful in Jefferson County (one of the lone Heiner strongholds).

Woah, why do you hate Comer so much? I thought your last negative post was being misinterpreted by my brain.
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« Reply #137 on: May 19, 2015, 09:40:09 PM »
These super-close primaries in non-runoff states is why runoffs are a good thing. They remove any doubt about the preference of the primary electorate and help to unify the party more.
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #138 on: May 19, 2015, 09:41:26 PM »
So it's a virtual tie between a mega tea partier/snake oil salesman and a domestic abuser? Thanks, Kentucky Republicans!
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #139 on: May 19, 2015, 09:44:13 PM »
McConnell alum Scott Jennings: unlikely recanvass changes result.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #140 on: May 19, 2015, 09:44:47 PM »
Quote from: Khristie Kreme Donuts on May 19, 2015, 09:41:26 PM
So it's a virtual tie between a mega tea partier/snake oil salesman and a domestic abuser?

They were both Tea Party. It appears as if Bevin won the suburban Tea Party, while Comer won the rural Tea Party.

The urban Tea Party is practically nonexistent. It consists wholly of the 80-year-old who calls the police because someone lit a firecracker.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #141 on: May 19, 2015, 09:46:04 PM »
Quote from: Khristie Kreme Donuts on May 19, 2015, 09:41:26 PM
So it's a virtual tie between a mega tea partier/snake oil salesman and a domestic abuser? Thanks, Kentucky Republicans!

And to think the 3rd place finisher was the worst of the lot!

I'm fine either way, but I think Comer is safer though it seems many may disagree with that. Likely would govern better as well.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #142 on: May 19, 2015, 09:48:38 PM »
Grimes' office: turnout is 12.6%.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #143 on: May 19, 2015, 09:52:34 PM »

LOLtucky
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Maxwell
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« Reply #144 on: May 19, 2015, 09:53:32 PM »
Quote from: SMilo on May 19, 2015, 09:35:52 PM
Quote from: maxwell on May 19, 2015, 09:20:00 PM
Quote from: cinyc on May 19, 2015, 09:17:34 PM
The Kentucky State Board of Elections' website shows the same result as AP and AoSDDHQ - Bevin +83.  But they claim there are still precincts outstanding in Jefferson County (Louisville).

That would be good, I think I saw Comer doing god awful in Jefferson County (one of the lone Heiner strongholds).

Woah, why do you hate Comer so much? I thought your last negative post was being misinterpreted by my brain.

Domestic abuse doesn't play well in the general, you see. And I don't even like Matt Bevin much, I just want crass opportunist Jack Conway to be beat.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #145 on: May 19, 2015, 09:58:21 PM »
Quote from: maxwell on May 19, 2015, 09:53:32 PM
Quote from: SMilo on May 19, 2015, 09:35:52 PM
Quote from: maxwell on May 19, 2015, 09:20:00 PM
Quote from: cinyc on May 19, 2015, 09:17:34 PM
The Kentucky State Board of Elections' website shows the same result as AP and AoSDDHQ - Bevin +83.  But they claim there are still precincts outstanding in Jefferson County (Louisville).

That would be good, I think I saw Comer doing god awful in Jefferson County (one of the lone Heiner strongholds).

Woah, why do you hate Comer so much? I thought your last negative post was being misinterpreted by my brain.

Domestic abuse doesn't play well in the general, you see. And I don't even like Matt Bevin much, I just want crass opportunist Jack Conway to be beat.

Why do you say Conway is a crass opportunist?
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #146 on: May 19, 2015, 10:01:21 PM »
Quote from: X on May 19, 2015, 09:58:21 PM
Quote from: maxwell on May 19, 2015, 09:53:32 PM
Quote from: SMilo on May 19, 2015, 09:35:52 PM
Quote from: maxwell on May 19, 2015, 09:20:00 PM
Quote from: cinyc on May 19, 2015, 09:17:34 PM
The Kentucky State Board of Elections' website shows the same result as AP and AoSDDHQ - Bevin +83.  But they claim there are still precincts outstanding in Jefferson County (Louisville).

That would be good, I think I saw Comer doing god awful in Jefferson County (one of the lone Heiner strongholds).

Woah, why do you hate Comer so much? I thought your last negative post was being misinterpreted by my brain.

Domestic abuse doesn't play well in the general, you see. And I don't even like Matt Bevin much, I just want crass opportunist Jack Conway to be beat.

Why do you say Conway is a crass opportunist?

Because he is. The man has been on every side of every issue. Even MSNBC moderators like Rachel Maddow and Chris Matthews have called him on it.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #147 on: May 19, 2015, 10:21:17 PM »
If Bevin wins, I will change my rating for the GE to Leans D.
If Comer wins, the GE will remain a Toss-Up.
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Flake
Flo
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« Reply #148 on: May 20, 2015, 01:07:43 AM »
Quote from: Governor Flo on May 20, 2015, 01:06:52 AM
I'm trying to upload the Kentucky results onto the website, but every time I put in the information, the website says the year is invalid (I have put '2015' for both columns that say 'Year'), is there something wrong?



Putting this here so no one has to endure the pain of uploading ~100 counties
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #149 on: May 20, 2015, 09:51:46 AM »
Legal analysis of what happens next.
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