Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread (user search)
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  Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread  (Read 7264 times)
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« on: May 19, 2015, 05:26:06 PM »
Comer leading Heiner and Bevin 42%-27%-26%. Doing quite well so far.
Conway leading 80%-20%.
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« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2015, 05:34:20 PM »
Hal now in 2nd place lol.
Comer leads 39%-28%-27%.

Conway dominating with 82% of the vote.
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« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2015, 05:52:47 PM »
Bevin leading Heiner and Comer 34%-31%-26%. 3% in.
Conway leading 82.5%-17.5% This will be called at poll closing time obviously.
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« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2015, 05:59:54 PM »
Bevin leading Heiner and Comer 38%-29%-26%. 5% in.
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« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2015, 06:02:45 PM »
WOW 15% reporting!! That was fast!
Bevin leading Heiner and Comer 35%-34%-24%.
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« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2015, 06:10:43 PM »
16% in.
Bevin leading Heiner and Comer 34%-33%-25%.
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« Reply #6 on: May 19, 2015, 06:15:16 PM »
Bevin leads Heiner and Comer 35%-32%-26%.   21% reporting.
Looks very tough for Comer.
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« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2015, 06:25:36 PM »
Bevin so far outperforming in Eastern KY. Probably not enough for Comer to make up this difference.
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« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2015, 06:27:26 PM »
24% in.
Bevin leading Heiner and Conway 36%-31%-26%.
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« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2015, 06:30:53 PM »
38% reporting!

Bevin: 34.6%
Heiner: 32.7%
Comer: 25.3%
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« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2015, 06:35:57 PM »
Quote from: Torie on May 19, 2015, 06:33:06 PM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 06:30:53 PM
38% reporting!

Bevin: 34.6%
Heiner: 32.7%
Comer: 25.3%


It's all about the relative percentages still out from the cities versus the countryside, in particular how much of Jefferson and Lexington counties are still not in.

61% of Jefferson has reported. 100% of Fayette has apparently reported. Looks very good for Bevin so far, Comer not doing as well as he should in Western Kentucky. Bevin outperforming in Eastern Kentucky.
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« Reply #11 on: May 19, 2015, 06:37:26 PM »
43% reporting.
Bevin leading Heiner and Comer 35%-32%-26%.
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« Reply #12 on: May 19, 2015, 06:45:02 PM »
Bevin leads Heiner and Comer 34%-30%-28% with 50.3% reporting.
This one is beginning to look like it's over.
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« Reply #13 on: May 19, 2015, 06:58:36 PM »
61% in:

Bevin leading Heiner and Comer 34%-31%-27%. This should be called soon...
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« Reply #14 on: May 19, 2015, 07:03:09 PM »
64% in:

Bevin, Matt   50,567   34%
Heiner, Hal   44,055   30%
Comer, James   40,289   27%
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« Reply #15 on: May 19, 2015, 07:10:42 PM »
73% reporting, all of Jefferson County in!
Bevin: 34.4%
Heiner: 30.5%
Comer: 27.3%
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« Reply #16 on: May 19, 2015, 07:30:20 PM »
86% in.

Bevin: 33.7%
Comer: 29.6%
Heiner: 29%
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« Reply #17 on: May 19, 2015, 07:36:54 PM »
Comer winning this would be Jim Bunning 2004 all over again...
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« Reply #18 on: May 19, 2015, 07:41:25 PM »
92% reporting!

Bevin: 33.3%
Comer: 31.1%
Heiner: 28.3%

Tightening!
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« Reply #19 on: May 19, 2015, 07:47:07 PM »
My guess is that Bevin wins by 1.3% or so.
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« Reply #20 on: May 19, 2015, 08:08:13 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 19, 2015, 08:06:14 PM
So, looking like a last-minute Comer win?

It is really too close to call. There are still some votes out in Bevin areas. This is like a VA election where NoVA comes in late.
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« Reply #21 on: May 19, 2015, 08:09:43 PM »
98.4% reporting.

BEVIN LEADING 32.9% - 32.6% !!!!
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« Reply #22 on: May 19, 2015, 08:11:55 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on May 19, 2015, 08:07:24 PM

Still nothing from McCracken.  Think it gives the race to Comer.  Western KY = reverse NOVA?  Funny that the urban vote came in first!  

Kind of, yeah, in 2004 Jim Bunning (the Republican) was trailing Daniel Mongiardo (the Democrat) until the very end. Then, with about 98% in (when Western KY came in), he took the lead and won.
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« Reply #23 on: May 19, 2015, 08:15:42 PM »
There is something fishy going on here... I mean, Comer got 85.4% in Cumberland County which just came in. And 95% (!) in Monroe County.
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« Reply #24 on: May 19, 2015, 08:30:15 PM »
Comer now leading 32.9%-32.8% (110 votes).
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