Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread (user search)
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  Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread  (Read 7288 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: May 19, 2015, 07:13:41 PM »
Quote from: vivaportugalhabs on May 19, 2015, 07:11:28 PM
What's up with Spencer County? Scott and Young both won it...

Socon/ultra anti-establishment?
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2015, 07:34:30 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 07:30:20 PM
86% in.

Bevin: 33.7%
Comer: 29.6%
Heiner: 29%

Seems like Comer could get within 2% of Bevin by the end of the night.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2015, 07:44:03 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 07:41:25 PM
92% reporting!

Bevin: 33.3%
Comer: 31.1%
Heiner: 28.3%

Tightening!

I don't think there is quite enough out for Comer.  And if I were a KY Republican, I'd be rooting for Bevin anyway.  Comer is Akin/Mourdock waiting to happen with that domestic abuse scandal.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2015, 07:53:11 PM »
Quote from: cinyc on May 19, 2015, 07:49:47 PM
The largest county still fully out in the AP's count is McCracken (Paducah).  Comer won the few votes that have already reported (early vote?) 49-31.

I doubt it and the few other counties that are out are large enough to put Comer over the top, though.

Lead is down to about 2700 votes.  This may go to a recount...
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2015, 07:59:20 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on May 19, 2015, 07:56:12 PM
BEVIN LEADING BY 0.9% WITH 96% IN!!!

Wow, didn't know KY elections could be that exciting LOL.

Lead down to 1800, nothing more in from McCracken (49/31 Comer) yet...
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2015, 08:07:24 PM »

Still nothing from McCracken.  Think it gives the race to Comer.  Western KY = reverse NOVA?  Funny that the urban vote came in first!  
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #6 on: May 19, 2015, 08:10:35 PM »
McCracken all in.  Comer still needs to find 748 votes.  Likely more because there are precincts out in Jefferson where he got crushed.  Think Bevin holds on now.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2015, 08:16:15 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 19, 2015, 08:14:13 PM
He is. I bet Comer wins the recount.

A lot hinges on how big/where those last 12 Jefferson precincts are.  If they are empty, Comer has this.  If they are populated, Bevin got 2X Comer's support countywide...
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2015, 08:20:06 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 19, 2015, 08:18:52 PM
Those are all Comer counties from what I read... so Comer wins.

Jefferson- Comer flopped there.  Could be 3K person inner suburbs precincts, we don't know.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2015, 08:38:07 PM »
Down to the Jefferson precincts on AP and Bevin leads.  Unless they are really anomalous, he wins the 1st count.
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