Which State...
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CountyTy90
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« on: May 16, 2015, 11:56:58 PM »

...do you redistrict the most on Dave's Redistricting App?

I've done Indiana literally a thousand different ways. I prefer doing Midwestern/Northeastern states where it's fairly easy to not break town/township lines. Indiana is really easy to do this way. I also like doing Wisconsin and Minnesota and recently have taken to drawing Pennsylvania's districts.
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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2015, 12:02:03 AM »

Not very surprising, but I've done NC the most, followed by LA.
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CountyTy90
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« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2015, 12:05:28 AM »

Ever gotten any districts with no county breaks?

I've gotten a few in Indiana and one in Wisconsin I think.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2015, 12:09:46 AM »

^ I don't remember for NC (you have to split Wake and Mecklenburg counties), but I made this LA map a while ago.
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CountyTy90
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« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2015, 12:14:33 AM »

Nice! Does the 1st district comply with VRA?
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muon2
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« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2015, 08:30:34 AM »

Ever gotten any districts with no county breaks?

I've gotten a few in Indiana and one in Wisconsin I think.

I did a series of threads on this a while ago (2012). The first was on states using whole counties only. Then I did it for the New England states using whole towns. Finally I did one with states where the only splits were for counties larger than one CD.

The result was a general mathematical relationship where one could predict how close the district populations should be to the ideal depending on the average number of counties per district. Note how most states sit below the green line in the graph below (reproduced from the third thread mentioned above).

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Torie
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« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2015, 08:46:42 AM »

Most states falling below the green line tells us exactly what?
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muon2
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« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2015, 09:17:53 AM »

It says that if you tell me how many counties, large counties, and districts in a state, I can tell you how small the range (or deviation) should be in a plan using whole counties. If it isn't about that number or smaller than that, then you probably didn't work hard enough, or were trying to preserve other elements in a plan like low erosity or UCCs (This graph from 2012 was the original basis of my Pareto model of trade offs). It also applies to any other building block used to form districts as long as their populations are distributed like the counties in a typical state. The fascinating thing is that it shows that the states are quite similar in this regard, and New England towns distribute themselves in population like counties in other states.
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Torie
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« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2015, 09:35:18 AM »

It says that if you tell me how many counties, large counties, and districts in a state, I can tell you how small the range (or deviation) should be in a plan using whole counties. If it isn't about that number or smaller than that, then you probably didn't work hard enough, or were trying to preserve other elements in a plan like low erosity or UCCs (This graph from 2012 was the original basis of my Pareto model of trade offs). It also applies to any other building block used to form districts as long as their populations are distributed like the counties in a typical state. The fascinating thing is that it shows that the states are quite similar in this regard, and New England towns distribute themselves in population like counties in other states.

Ah, it is a median versus mean thing or something that causes most states to be below the regression line. That detail was what confused me. How does the log thing work/the theory behind it?
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muon2
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« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2015, 11:48:23 AM »

The log effect means that the relationship is a decaying exponential like radioactive half life. Roughly, for each additional 10 counties (or other unit) per district available the range should drop by a factor of 10. 20 additional counties per district would decrease the range by a factor of 100.

To read the graph take the number of counties per CD and look at the vertical axis value. Take that number as an exponent for a power of 10 to get the range. For example, IA has 99 counties and 4 CDs for an average of 24.75. For that value the green line is at about 2.2. 10 raised to the 2.2 Is just about 158, so any IA whole county plan would be expected to have a range of less than 158.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2015, 05:52:07 PM »

Most states falling below the green line tells us exactly what?
Perhaps the relationship doesn't hold when the number of counties/district is low.  If you start from about number of counties/district is around 10, you could drop the green line down, and reduce its slope a bit.

If the average number of counties is small, you may have areas where the number is much smaller, or alternatively where the counties are somewhat large relative to the congressional district size.  In Iowa, it may be hard to create a district with less than 15 counties (Davenport, Dubuque, Iowa City, Cedar Rapids, and Cedar Falls, perhap?).

More counties gives you lots of flexibility.  Compare northern L.P. Michigan to the area along the southern border.  There are dozens of choices in norther L.P., and if you were willing to give up on erosity, you might be able to get a deviation comparable to Iowa.  But in the southern area, there are very few options.
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