IL-House 2016 Mega-Thread: Schneider internal shows him +4

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

>implying democrats can pick up IL-13

I don't see why they couldn't. It obviously wasn't close in 2014, but if a progressive like Gill could make it razor thin in 2012, then a less progressive Democrat should be able to win it in a more favorable year than 2014.

If someone like Ann Callis could barely hold Davis under 60%, even in 2014, something is going very right for him.

Callis never seemed like a particularly great candidate and ran a pretty weak campaign in 2014.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Schneider will likely win 52%-48% again.  Don't see Dold winning in a Presidential year.

He does have Kirk (from his district) on statewide ballot in the Senate race. It's Dold's only hope, really.

Kirk only won this district 53%-43% in 2010 when he was winning statewide.  If Kirk wins this district at all, it won't be enough to provide any coattails.

Plus, Kirk's never been the same since that stroke and seems to have acquired a bad case of foot-in-mouth.  I don't think he's that much of an asset to Kirk anymore.