At what point does this become the GOP's possible path to victory?
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  At what point does this become the GOP's possible path to victory?
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Author Topic: At what point does this become the GOP's possible path to victory?  (Read 1042 times)
Devils30
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« on: May 30, 2015, 12:36:33 PM »



270-268 R

I would guess 2028 ish.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #1 on: May 30, 2015, 01:20:56 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2015, 01:24:44 PM by Del Tachi »

Florida's remaining static for the foreseeable future, and I could actually send it trending R over the next few election cycles.

The hardest sell on this map is MN.  Think of the North Star State as a Midwestern Oregon, its going going GOP anytime soon thanks to the influx of young, White, educated hipsters in Minneapolis.     
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retromike22
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« Reply #2 on: May 30, 2015, 02:28:08 PM »

I think Michigan would go GOP before MN.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #3 on: May 30, 2015, 02:33:17 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2015, 02:35:02 PM by MohamedChalid »

Picking up MN is impossible withhin the next three decades
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Beet
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« Reply #4 on: May 30, 2015, 02:47:52 PM »

Picking up MN is impossible withhin the next three decades

Sage Atlas wisdom.
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WVdemocrat
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« Reply #5 on: May 30, 2015, 03:11:18 PM »

Something like this will probably eventually become the GOP path to victory. So probably in the 2030s.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #6 on: May 30, 2015, 03:45:24 PM »

Minnesota is more fool's gold than Wisconsin or Pennsylvania.
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history nerd
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« Reply #7 on: May 30, 2015, 04:10:16 PM »

Florida's remaining static for the foreseeable future, and I could actually send it trending R over the next few election cycles.

The hardest sell on this map is MN.  Think of the North Star State as a Midwestern Oregon, its going going GOP anytime soon thanks to the influx of young, White, educated hipsters in Minneapolis.     
Yep, we could do well to remember that Minneapolis/St.Paul was named America's Gayest city.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #8 on: May 30, 2015, 04:29:53 PM »

Also, it bears to remember that the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party in Minnesota isn't a mess like states like Wisconsin and Florida. It's a strong party that has done fairly well in recent midterm elections despite Obama's unpopularity.
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Devils30
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« Reply #9 on: May 31, 2015, 10:40:36 AM »

by the late 2020s though, FL will have an electorate that's under 60% white. How easy will that be for the GOP?
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #10 on: May 31, 2015, 03:17:13 PM »

VA and FL go Dem but MN is GOP?
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #11 on: May 31, 2015, 03:32:53 PM »



MN won't go Repubican and AZ is trending Democratic.  There is also the issue of NC and TX.  At some point, TX will be competitive at the national level, possibly, by 2028.

Demographics favor the Democrats, and the GOP would have to change its fundamental message in order to push the map.  Either that, or nominate more moderate Republicans for the Presidency.
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #12 on: May 31, 2015, 04:53:43 PM »

Guys, if there's one thing I've learned from Atlas, it's that every state will eventually be Democratic or at least competitive, no states are trending Republican (they're all fool's gold!), every growing area is being populated with super educated urban liberal Whites (you guys did know that all Democrats are super educated and that educated voters = Democrats, right?) and the GOP should just give up.
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WVdemocrat
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« Reply #13 on: May 31, 2015, 05:10:45 PM »

Guys, if there's one thing I've learned from Atlas, it's that every state will eventually be Democratic or at least competitive, no states are trending Republican (they're all fool's gold!), every growing area is being populated with super educated urban liberal Whites (you guys did know that all Democrats are super educated and that educated voters = Democrats, right?) and the GOP should just give up.

I know this was in jest, but until the GOP liberalizes, this will continue. It will become progressively more difficult for them to win the WH until they moderate on certain social issues.
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