KY: 2015 Gubernatorial Republican Primary Election Result

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Matt Bevin won....Jack Conway should be happy about that

Comer has asked for a recanvass, which won't happen until the 28th. And he can bring the election to court afterwards. So nothing is official yet.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I haven't really paid any attention to these races but I'd imagine Conway is the favorite to win, no?

If Bevin wins the primary, yes. Conway will have a 50-50 shot against Comer.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I haven't really paid any attention to these races but I'd imagine Conway is the favorite to win, no?

At this point, I'm starting to think so.

It all depends on if his margin in Louisville can make up for getting killed in coal country

He has to outperform Grimes in Coal Country though. He needs to find some Bruce Lunsford 2008 voters and get them to vote for him. Lunsford actually won a significant number if counties in that area.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Any recount news?

It's a recanvass (i.e. making sure the counts from all the machines in the state were read and added together correctly), and it takes place on Thursday. An actual recount can be requested afterwards, though Comer has said he wouldn't take that step (Bevin has not ruled it out doing it should he end up behind post-recanvass).

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Comer concedes.

Ratings Change: KY Governor

Toss-Up ---------------> Lean D

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Am I the only one who believes that Bevin will be the new governor?

What's your reasoning behind this prediction?

"KY is a republican state" doesn't really work with its gubernatorial races, and the polling, the extremely close and divisive primary, and Bevin's positions/relation with leadership all point to a Conway Victory. The only thing pointing against Conway is his 2010 senate loss, but that was a senate race, not a governor's race, and it took place during a republican wave. There's plenty of time for things to change, and Conway's polling lead is by no means insurmountable, but he definitely has the current advantage.