NH Republicans Slow to Rally Around Jeb Bush

[RogueBeaver]

Longtime Bush family allies all.

[pbrower2a]

Jeb Bush may have melted down by endorsing the follies of his brother.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Jeb Bush may have melted down by endorsing the follies of his brother.

Polls show his brother more popular with the party and rightly so. Jeb's the horrible one.

[Ebsy]

Jeb Bush may have melted down by endorsing the follies of his brother.

Polls show his brother more popular with the party and rightly so. Jeb's the horrible one.

They're both god-awful.

[Xing]

Don't underestimate the power of the Republican establishment. If they back Bush (which still seems likely), he'll be a force to be reckoned with, even if he's not that well-liked by early 2016.

[Suburbia]

Don't underestimate the power of the Republican establishment. If they back Bush (which still seems likely), he'll be a force to be reckoned with, even if he's not that well-liked by early 2016.

[bobloblaw]

Don't underestimate the power of the Republican establishment. If they back Bush (which still seems likely), he'll be a force to be reckoned with, even if he's not that well-liked by early 2016.

The GOPe is becoming quesy with Bush

[dudeabides]

Judd Gregg endorsed Mitt Romney in October 2007, not June 2007, for the '08 nomination. John McCain defeated Mitt Romney in New Hampshire. So, Gregg isn't likely to endorse this early on - though he did for Romney in 2012, but that is probably because he wanted Romney to be President in 2008.

Jon Sununu endorsed Dan Quayle for President in 2000, and only supported George W. Bush after Quayle dropped out.

Jeb Bush will do just fine in New Hampshire, but I expect him to start winning big after New Hampshire when the race goes to Massachusetts, South Carolina, North Carolina, Massachusetts, Vermont, and Virginia. The race will also be in states like Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado, and Tennessee where I expect a more competitive campaign. This will all take place on March 1, 2016 or before.

The question is, who has the resources to run a national campaign? Clearly, Jeb Bush will have such resources. Who will be his primary challenger? Who will have the support, momentum, and yes money? My guess is Scott Walker will emerge as the anti-Bush candidate. Rand Paul will be competitive in some states given his base of libertarians, plus support within the tea party. Cruz, Huckabee, and Rubio will likely fade - Cruz is not seen as electable, Huckabee is too liberal on fiscal issues for many Republicans, and Bush takes away most of Rubio's base.