WA-PPP: Walker leads Rubio, Sanders at 24%
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  WA-PPP: Walker leads Rubio, Sanders at 24%
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Author Topic: WA-PPP: Walker leads Rubio, Sanders at 24%  (Read 2842 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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« on: May 21, 2015, 11:58:21 AM »

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_WA_52115.pdf

18% Walker
15% Rubio
13% Huckabee
11% Cruz
10% Bush
10% Carson
  6% Christie
  5% Paul
  3% Perry

57% Clinton
24% Sanders
  4% O'Malley
  2% Webb
  1% Chafee
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King
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« Reply #1 on: May 21, 2015, 12:08:08 PM »
« Edited: May 21, 2015, 12:11:04 PM by King »

Sanders might be able to get 40% of the vote in King County. Hillary only got 27% last time.
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Skye
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« Reply #2 on: May 21, 2015, 12:42:11 PM »

Well, some users were right. Sanders's numbers here aren't that bad.
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mds32
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« Reply #3 on: May 21, 2015, 12:43:54 PM »

Sanders could get to 40% because Progressives just might not want to support Clinton. It helps Sanders even more if WA ends up going to the Caucus route again.

As for the GOP Primary I say give it time and wait for one of those top 5 in this poll to drop out, then it will be a mad fight to grab those supporters.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: May 21, 2015, 02:12:39 PM »

Very poor numbers for Rand here. This was one of Ron Paul's best states.
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: May 21, 2015, 03:27:25 PM »

I'm not surprised to see Sanders doing so well. Democrats here are very liberal. On the other hand, I am a bit surprised to see Paul at only 5%. There are a decent number of libertarians here.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #6 on: May 21, 2015, 03:45:51 PM »

Assuming we have a caucus, Sanders has an outside shot of victory.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #7 on: May 21, 2015, 03:55:29 PM »

Surprised to see Huckabee doing so well here.

Also,

#Clintonunder60
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: May 21, 2015, 03:58:54 PM »

Very poor numbers for Rand here. This was one of Ron Paul's best states.

Yea, I thought this would be Paul country. It is early though.
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #9 on: May 21, 2015, 04:19:47 PM »

Surprised to see Walker leading and Bush doing so poorly.
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: May 21, 2015, 04:26:00 PM »

Bad news for Rand. Further evidence that the supposed 'libertarian-leaning' states don't really exist.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #11 on: May 21, 2015, 04:30:28 PM »

The latte Liberals in Seattle are going to love Bernie Sanders. WA, and OR will be great states for him.
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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #12 on: May 21, 2015, 04:31:27 PM »

This is a state Sanders could potentially win.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: May 21, 2015, 05:57:07 PM »

I like that Bernie number!
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Gallium
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« Reply #14 on: May 21, 2015, 06:22:31 PM »

This is a state Sanders could potentially win.
It's occurs too late in the primary calender for him.

I'd like to see his numbers in Colorado - that's probably his best early bet, Vermont aside.
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mds32
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« Reply #15 on: May 21, 2015, 07:18:29 PM »

I heard WA might be moving to early March
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #16 on: May 21, 2015, 07:26:23 PM »

How is Huckabee polling in double digits? 
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bgwah
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« Reply #17 on: May 21, 2015, 07:52:00 PM »
« Edited: May 21, 2015, 07:54:06 PM by bgwah »

2008 Primary: 51-46 Obama
2008 Caucus: 68-31 Obama

All of WA's delegates are based off the caucus, and Clinton significantly under performed in our 2008 caucus. I could see Sanders winning, maybe.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #18 on: May 21, 2015, 08:01:49 PM »
« Edited: May 21, 2015, 08:03:49 PM by realisticidealist »

How is Huckabee polling in double digits?  

The Republicans in WA tend to be pretty conservative. Religious conservatives are prominent in the GOP parts of Whatcom County, the coast, and lots of parts of eastern Washington.

I would have picked Huck, but I wasn't polled, so you can't blame me.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #19 on: May 21, 2015, 08:06:52 PM »

Why is PPP still excluding Fiorina, who is an officially declared candidate
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Maxwell
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« Reply #20 on: May 21, 2015, 09:46:52 PM »

Why is PPP still excluding Fiorina, who is an officially declared candidate

She's a margin of error candidate, I suspect that's why.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: May 21, 2015, 09:51:38 PM »

Why is PPP still excluding Fiorina, who is an officially declared candidate

She's a margin of error candidate, I suspect that's why.

It's actually because they can only logistically fit 9 candidates, one for each number (0 is undecided.)
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #22 on: May 21, 2015, 09:58:40 PM »

Ah yes, of course. But when there are 15 official candidates by the end of next month how will PPP decide who is in or out?. This limit is one clear reason why the IVR polls won't be factored in to the debate criteria
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #23 on: May 21, 2015, 10:09:21 PM »

On the GOP side, who leads among...?
moderates: Huckabee
somewhat conservative: Rubio
very conservative: Walker
age 18-45: Rubio
age 46-65: Walker
age 65+: Rubio

On the Democratic side, the male/female split is interesting:

men:
Clinton 52%
Sanders 31%

women:
Clinton 61%
Sanders 19%

Sanders's best group is the self-described "very liberal", who give him 36% support.  He's only at 19% among "somewhat liberal" voters, and 17% among "moderates".
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #24 on: May 21, 2015, 10:21:32 PM »

Why is PPP still excluding Fiorina, who is an officially declared candidate

She's a margin of error candidate, I suspect that's why.

It's actually because they can only logistically fit 9 candidates, one for each number (0 is undecided.)

They should incorporate the * and # buttons into it. Then they can fit in 11. Or better yet, have a certain button to press for "more options", and then they have a fresh set of buttons to fit in everyone else.
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