2014-2028: The Just Beginning Golden Age

[100% pro-life no matter what]

NOVEMBER 4, 2014:

MASSIVE REPUBLICAN GAINS IN THE HOUSE AND SENATE GIVE THE GOP STRONG CONTROL OF CONGRESS.

NOVEMBER, 2015:
Republicans gain KY Governorship.

LATE OCTOBER, 2016- Final RCP Ratings for Presidential election
GOP: Walker/Martinez
DEM: Clinton/Webb

Clinton: 216
Walker: 206

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Senate Ratings:

Safe R: Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Iowa, Kentucky, Indiana, Kansas, Oklahoma, North Dakota, South Dakota, Idaho, Utah, Alaska
Likely R: Arizona (McCain won primary), North Carolina, Pennsylvania
Lean R: Ohio
Tossup: Nevada, Colorado, New Hampshire, Illinois, Wisconsin
Lean D:
Likely D: California, Oregon, Connecticut
Safe D: Washington, Maryland, New York, Vermont, Hawaii

GOP: 51
DEM: 44

Republicans are strongly favored to retain possession of the Senate.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

7:00 PM Eastern: Welcome to Election Night 2016 here on FOX News.  Tonight, the 45th President of the United States will be elected.  Polls show a very close race for the Presidency, with Governor Walker having a small advantage in the popular vote, but the Electoral College is looking very close.  It remains to be seen whether he can carry his home state of Wisconsin or his running mate, Governor Susana Martinez's home state of New Mexico.  We should be in for an exciting night.

We do now have our first poll closings.  We can now project the following races:

Kentucky (1% reporting)
Walker 58.2%
Clinton 39.9%

South Carolina (0% reporting)
Walker projected to win

Vermont (2% reporting)
Clinton 71.0%
Walker 22.2%

Indiana and Georgia, while both looking solid for Governor Walker, are still too early to definitively call, while a long night is in store for Virginia.  We can also project Republican Senate wins in Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, and South Carolina, and a Democratic one in Vermont.

Scott Walker: 17
Hillary Clinton: 3
The Senate is now as follows:
Democrats: 35
Republicans: 34

[100% pro-life no matter what]

7:27 PM: FOX News is now able to project Scott Walker as the winner of Georgia and Indiana.  In just a few minutes, we will have polls closing in a few more states including potential battlegrounds of North Carolina and Ohio, both considered crucial to a Republican victory.  In the meantime, let's update you on the Virginia situation:

Walker- 54.5%
Clinton- 43.8%

OK, now that polls have closed in West Virginia, we can call it for Governor Walker.  Virginia and Ohio are too close to call, and while North Carolina exit polls favor Walker, it is too early to call it.  However, we can call the North Carolina Senate race for Senator Burr.

Scott Walker: 49
Hillary Clinton: 3

Senate:
Republicans: 35
Democrats: 35

[100% pro-life no matter what]

As 8 PM approaches on the East Coast, many important states will soon be closing, including potential bellwether or tipping-point state, Pennsylvania.  The Keystone State has had the most combined campaign spending of all 50 states in this inning even though it has not voted Republican since 1988.  Its 20 electoral votes are a major prize for both candidates, but it is not one of the states that we will soon be able to call.  However, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, and Oklahoma can all be added to Governor Walker's column, while Delaware, Maryland, DC, Massachusetts, and Maine's 1st District can all be given to Secretary Clinton.  Pennsylvania, Florida, New Hampshire, and Maine's 2nd District are all too close to call, while Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Maine (at-large) are too early to call.  We can also call Republican Senate victories in Pennsylvania, Oklahoma, and Alabama, in addition to a Democratic one in Maryland.

Senate:
Republicans: 38
Democrats: 36

8:15 PM: We have a crucial Senate projection to make, as Senator Portman has won re-election in Ohio to give Republicans another seat.  There is no realistic scenario to a Democratic Senate or House majority tonight, and, in fact, we can officially project that the House of Representatives will remain in Republican control.  However, we can also project that the Connecticut Senate seat will remain in Democratic control

GOP: 39
DEM: 37

8:24 PM: We have the first major projection to make in the race to be our next President:

North Carolina (33%):
Walker 57.2%
Clinton 41.4%

We expect the margin to come down throughout the night, but Governor Walker will comfortably win the Tarheel State with African-American turnout substantially down from 2012 in a state with few true swing voters.

Scott Walker: 97
Hillary Clinton: 31

-What does the fact that North Carolina has been called, but not Maine, Connecticut, or New Jersey mean for tonight?
-It appears to mean that Republicans are at least somewhat outperforming expectations.  However, I'm still dubious that any of those states will go Republican.
-Also, it is now 8:30, so we can officially declare Scott Walker and John Boozman winners in Arkansas.  However, Hillary Clinton has been declared the winner in Connecticut.

Scott Walker: 103
Hillary Clinton: 38

Republicans: 40
Democrats: 37

[Abraham Reagan]

Keep it going! GO WALKER!

[100% pro-life no matter what]

8:58 PM: In just a couple minutes, a bunch more states will have their polls close.  However, we would like to project Governor Walker as the winner of Missouri and Secretary Clinton of the at-large votes for Maine.  We can still not call its 2nd district, however.  New Jersey has now been reclassified from too early to call to too close to call, as Governor Walker maintains a slim lead in the traditionally Democratic state.

Now, polls have just closed in many states, and Governor Walker is creeping ever closer to that magic number, 270.  We can project him the winner in Louisiana, Texas, Kansas, Nebraska (including all of its districts), North Dakota, South Dakota, Wyoming, and Arizona.  The Clinton camp had hoped to target Arizona, but it appears that Republicans are just more enthusiastic about tonight than Democrats are, as many less politically active Democrats have been content to sit home, while most Republicans actively are seeking change- and not "hope and change" tonight.  However, Hillary Clinton is the winner of her home state of New York and Rhode Island.  Governor Walker's home state, Wisconsin is too close to call, as is Governor Martinez's home state of New Mexico, Colorado, Michigan, and Minnesota.  While we cannot yet officially say this, we do expect Scott Walker to be the next President.

Scott Walker: 190
Hillary Clinton: 73

Over in the Senate, Republicans have won in Louisiana, Missouri, Kansas, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Arizona.  Meanwhile, Democrats can only add one victory at this hour- deep-blue New York.  Also, we can call New Hampshire for Senator Ayotte.

Republicans: 47
Democrats: 38

Stay tuned, as a couple key battlegrounds will be called over the next half-hour.

[BigVic]

Looks like age has caught up with Hillary and America wants a new generation in the White House

[100% pro-life no matter what]

9:13 PM: We have our first pickup from 2012 to call, as Governor Walker is now projected to carry Florida's 29 electoral votes.  Remaining votes should come from the Panhandle and Miami area, balancing each other out, and Walker has a commanding lead.

Florida (90% in)
Walker: 53.0%
Clinton: 46.0%

9:18 PM: Ohio has been a key state to both campaigns, and we can also project that Governor Walker will carry it.

Ohio (85% in)
Walker 53.3%
Clinton 45.9%

Assuming that Walker wins Alaska, Idaho, Montana, and Utah, Pennsylvania alone could give him the Presidency.  However, we do have one more call to make:

Illinois (79% in)
Clinton 52.5%
Walker 46.5%

Let's also check in on the Keystone State and Walker's home state of Wisconsin.

Pennsylvania (88% reporting):
Walker 51.7%
Clinton 47.9%

Wisconsin (82% reporting):
Walker 49.7%
Clinton 49.5%

Scott Walker: 237
Hillary Clinton: 93

Senator Kirk has also won re-election in Illinois.

Republicans: 49
Democrats: 40

Only Idaho, Utah, Alaska, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, Colorado, California, Washington, Hawaii, and Oregon remain uncalled.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

9:41 PM: Talking with various Democrats, many of them seem convinced that Hillary is going to find a way to win this election, as none of the "blue wall" has been called against the Democrats yet.  Republicans, on the other hand point to the fact that states like North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio were quickly called for Walker while traditionally Democratic strongholds like Illinois, Maine, and New Jersey either took a long time to call or are still not called as evidence that the Walker campaign is in for a good night.  What do you think, Mr. Rove?

Karl Rove: The big blue wall has always been a myth created by Democrats like Barack Obama and Bill Clinton winning the popular vote.  In fact, it looks pretty clear to me that Pennsylvania will break that wall very soon.  I do not expect New Jersey to be in Walker's column at the end of the night, but it is telling that it has not yet been called.

---Sorry to interrupt you, Mr. Rove, but we have a critical projection to make, as we can declare that Scott Walker has indeed broken that blue wall and won Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvania (91% reporting):
Walker 52.0%
Clinton 47.1%

Let's take a look at the national popular vote:
Walker 53.5%
Clinton 46.0%

It may be closer by the end of the night, but Scott Walker will easily win the popular vote tonight.  Also, let's take a look at the Electoral College map:

Scott Walker: 257
Hillary Clinton: 93

Polls have yet to close in Republican strongholds of Utah, Idaho, and Montana (in addition to Alaska), and those first three will award 13 votes to Scott Walker.  When they close in about 15 minutes, we will be able to officially say that Scott Walker is the President-elect of the United States.  You have heard it here first: Scott Walker will win tonight.

[JonathanSwift]

Splendid!

[100% pro-life no matter what]

9:49 PM: Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has carried New Jersey, but it is interesting that it took FOX News this long to be able to project this:

New Jersey (95% reporting)
Clinton: 50.0%
Walker 47.9%

With New Jersey's 14 electoral votes, Clinton is finally able to pass the 100-vote mark:

Scott Walker: 257
Hillary Clinton: 107

However, FOX News is also now projecting that the soon-to-be President-elect has carried his home state of Wisconsin.

Wisconsin (94% reporting):
Scott Walker: 49.9%
Hillary Clinton: 49.0%

Scott Walker: 267
Hillary Clinton: 107

Mr. Walker is also showing small leads in Virginia, Colorado, and New Mexico.  Maine's 2nd District, New Hampshire, and Minnesota are all virtually tied right now, and Ms. Clinton has a small lead in Michigan.  In less than 7 minutes, we will be able to declare Scott Walker the winner of this election.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

9:56 PM: NO NEED TO WAIT FOR 10:00, AS PRESIDENT-ELECT SCOTT WALKER HAS CARRIED VIRGINIA, AND, IN THE PROCESS, PASSES 270 VOTES!  It was a tight race in Virginia, but it appears that like around the country, turnout drove the President-elect to victory.

Virginia (80% reporting):
Walker: 51.3%
Clinton: 48.4%

Scott Walker: 280
Hillary Clinton: 107

10 PM: President-elect Scott Walker can now be called the winner of Utah, Montana, and Iowa.  The only surprise here is that we are able to call the Hawkeye State right out of the gate in what, yet again, seems like a case of Conservatives being more motivated than Liberals tonight.  We are also able to project that the next President has carried Colorado and Maine's 2nd District.  Congratulations to the President-elect of the United States, Scott Walker!

Scott Walker: 305
Hillary Clinton: 107

[100% pro-life no matter what]

1:30 AM: Tonight, it just appears that Republicans were more excited about this election than Democrats were.  Not only did they have such a massive Presidential win that the state of Oregon remains too close to call at this hour, but they also increased their Senate majority despite having to largely play defense, thanks to Senator-elect Heck's pickup in Nevada, the only Senate seat to change hands tonight.  President-elect Walker has already said tonight that America has given him a manifesto for strongly Conservative government, with Democrats having been reduced to 14 Governors, 45 Senators, and a 250-185 minority in the House.  Expect the President-elect to try to accomplish a radically Conservative agenda over these next few years that should continue to ideologically divide the nation.

Here's tonight's electoral map:

Scott Walker: 337
Hillary Clinton: 194

4:30 AM: In a true stunning result, Oregon has given its 7 votes to a Republican, President-elect Scott Walker.  It appears that working class white voters turned out in droves for the next President, while very socially liberal people were not that excited after 8 years in office.  Additionally, left-leaning college students, hippies, and hipsters, decided that it was not cool to be a Hillary supporter like it was to be an Obama supporter.  Interestingly, exit polls show that the nationwide 18-29 vote was nearly even, going 49-48 for Secretary Clinton.  However, the 18-24 vote was 51-46 for President-elect Walker.  It appears that part of why Clinton lost was that she could not motivate young voters.

Scott Walker: 344
Hillary Clinton: 194

[Sumner 1868]

Nice dystopian timeline.

[NeverAgain]

Nice dystopian timeline.

[The Other Castro]

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

Wishful thinking: the thread.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Early November, 2018:

President Walker, Majority Leader McConnell, and Speaker Boehner have pursued an incredibly Conservative agenda over the last two years.  The first key event was the passing of an Obamacare reform that focuses largely on HSAs and strips the individual mandate.  Republicans argue that the consumers are now in charge, while Democrats believe that the whole point of health care reform has been ruined.  Also, while no serious attempts were made to abolish the IRS as some Republicans want, tax brackets are no more, replaced by a flat tax of 15% on all income over $15,000 (the first $15K is tax-exempt, making it technically a nominally "proportional" tax).  Because of the lower tax burden, many programs had to be cut.  Republicans have raised the criteria for qualifying for welfare and similar government programs, while also raising the Social Security and Medicare age to 70.  They still want to privatize it eventually.

In the first six months of the Walker Administration, the 20-week abortion ban was passed.  Democrats challenged it to the Supreme Court, which, in a 5-4 vote, ruled that the ban was not in violation of Roe v. Wade, as science had changed since 1973 to the point where it was clear to them that a 20-week old baby is a human being.  They added that, should it be established that life does begin at conception, the Court would be open to a reversal of Roe.  Because of that, Republicans strived to pass a national Life at Conception Act, which would not explicitly mention abortion, but would legally define life as beginning at conception.  However, it was filibustered, with 57 votes on a motion for cloture (with Democratic Senators Casey and Heitkamp (along with Democrat-turned-Republican Manchin) voting for cloture, while Republican Collins voted against it).  Because of high-profile near misses like this one, Republicans, currently sitting at 56 Senators, feel that reaching 60 is critical.

Additionally, Justice Scalia retired and was replaced by another staunch Conservative.  For now, Justice Ginsberg says she will try to wait to retire until after 2020, when she hopes a President would nominate someone more like her in terms of judicial philosophy.  Economic growth is strong in the Walker presidency, with the GDP growing at 4% annually.  Inflation is 2.2%, and unemployment is 4.9%.  However, many people argue that the extreme Capitalism is leaving a small group of people behind.  Others lament that labor unions have become virtually non-existent, even for public school teachers.  The extremely controversial agenda of President Walker has polarized America, and few have no opinion of him:

Approval Ratings:
Approve: 49.3% (92% of these strongly approve)
Disapprove: 49.2% (94% of these strongly disapprove)

Both parties are extremely motivated going into 2018, and they both appear content to let the midterms be a referendum on the last two years.

RCP Senate map:

Coming In:
Republicans: 56
Democrats: 44

Projected Pickups:
Republicans: MT, MO; Tossups in ND, WI, IN, OH, VA, FL
Democrats: None; Tossup in NV

Maine is listed here as Safe Democratic by RCP, but he has said that he will evaluate which party to caucus with after the election.  FiveThirtyEight and similar websites give the Republicans roughly 50/50 odds of winning a filibuster-proof majority.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

2018 Senate results:

Republicans pick up Missouri, Indiana, North Dakota, and Montana, for a 60-39-1 advantage.  The general consensus is that America is as far polarized as it has ever been, but that Republicans were mostly all on offense because of the map in 2018.  Over the last two years in particular, both parties have moved far to the ideological extremes.  Senator King, fed up with both parties, announces that he will not caucus with either of them.  He claims that Democrats no longer represent what he is and also have no power, now in a filibuster-proof minority.  Republicans, according to him, can pass radical legislation as they see fit with no opposition.  He claims he does not want to be a part of either of them.

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Cause Stutzman replaces Coats and JCL's RL personage landslides Donnelly.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

2019 and 2020:

The Republicans have no substantial Democratic opposition around the country.  For the first time in many years, Congress has passed a budget that will be operating on a surplus within five years, largely due to cutting entitlement programs and a lull in conflict in the Middle East resulting in less need for an imminent military presence (though, it is still being kept ready for any sort of change). 

The Republicans try again at the Life at Conception Act, but it is filibustered by a vote of 57-43 in favor of proceeding due to Republican Senators Collins, Manchin, and Kirk, in addition to Independent Senator King (and, now, Democratic Senator Casey as well) opposing the fact that there would be nothing written into the bill to make it clear that any exceptions would be permitted for abortion; however, it is generally believed that case law would establish an exception for when a mother's own life is endangered.  Some objectors want a clear law passed saying that, if the baby is a product of a crime, its life can be taken as part of the punishment for the crime (but worded in a much more legally skilled way, of course).  Ultimately, the Senate accepts those amendments and passes the bill 62-38.  The House overwhelmingly approves the Senate's changes, and President Walker signs the Life at Conception Act into law in August, 2019.

Immediately thereafter, right-to-life groups begin to challenge Roe v. Wade, given that life has been established as beginning at conception.  In June of 2020, the Supreme Court rules in a 5-4 decision that Roe v. Wade is no longer applicable given the new definition of life and that abortion is now illegal throughout the country.  Elsewhere, the Puerto Rican statehood movement has continued to be a hot topic on the island, and the PNP government, in collaboration with Washington, set up a binding referendum on statehood to be held at the same time as the Presidential election and the Puerto Rican gubernatorial election.  It appears very close, and it is unclear which mainstream American party Puerto Rico would support.

The economy is growing and appears healthy, at least by stats.  However, many Democrats still point to the fact that there is growing wage inequality (as there has been during Republican and Democratic administrations alike for decades), even though the median income has risen in 2018 and 2019 due to less regulation.  They believe that, for those who do slip between the cracks, things have gotten worse.  There is fervor in the Democratic Party that a real change is needed in the form of a real Progressive who will undo the wrongs done during the Walker administration.  They quickly coalese around Elizabeth Warren to be the candidate for President, and she chooses Andrew Cuomo as her running mate.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

An unexpected result of these past four years and choice of candidates is that many "swing" states have stopped being competitive, as few people do not know which of equally polarizing candidates they want.  The liberal Northeastern ticket has sured up the entire Northeast for the Democrats (including Eastern PA), while the conservative Republican one has resonated with voters in the Rust Belt (including Western PA).  It is expected to be an extraordinarily close election, with high turnout likely.  No viable centrist candidate has emerged, as almost everyone is a partisan or a closet partisan and any third-party candidates are worried about throwing the election to the extreme candidate they like a bit less.  Colorado, Pennsylvania, and New Mexico are considered borderline Leaning Democrat, while Florida and Ohio are borderline Leaning Republican.  Many expect the election to come down to Walker's home state of Wisconsin, which has always elected him, but always by razor-thin margins (a GOP Wisconsin win would result in a tie, which would then go to the Republican House).

[100% pro-life no matter what]

7:00 PM: Good evening, America, and welcome to FOX News's coverage of the 2020 Presidential election, with Republican President Scott Walker and Vice President Susana Martinez being challenged by Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren and her running mate, former Governor of New York Andrew Cuomo.  With the two tickets the furthest apart ideologically and the polarizing last four years, this figures to be an interesting race that you will see unplay live tonight.

We have some Eastern states already closing, and we can report that the President has won Georgia, South Carolina, Indiana, and Kentucky, while Senator Warren has won Vermont.  Virginia is classified as Too Close to Call, but exit polls do favor the challenger there tonight.  Senator Warren should flip many states that Secretary Clinton failed to carry in President Walker's rout four years ago, but the question remains of whether it will be enough.  The President's approval rating is 49%, with 49% disapproving as well, showing how polarized we are tonight.

Scott Walker (R): 44
Elizabeth Warren (D): 3

[/]

This is absolutely depressing. And wholly unrealistic...


But I appreciate the effort and detail!