United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 12:51:23 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 25 26 27 28 29 [30] 31 32 33 34 35 ... 78
Author Topic: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership  (Read 177362 times)
parochial boy
parochial_boy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,117


Political Matrix
E: -8.38, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #725 on: June 23, 2016, 04:55:02 PM »
Ipsos Mori on the day poll: Remain 54%, leave 46%
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,720
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #726 on: June 23, 2016, 04:59:32 PM »
Look, most of the rumours swirling around will be of dubious veracity. That's always the way even with elections, let alone this mad thing. You won't be getting any solid numbers for a while yet and at first not many. Calm down.
Logged
Beezer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,902


Political Matrix
E: 1.61, S: -2.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #727 on: June 23, 2016, 04:59:48 PM »
Early counting of postal votes in Sunderland suggest a 60/40 split to Leave.
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/746098795054833668

Didn't someone post a link stating Sunderland should lean around 6 points towards leave?
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #728 on: June 23, 2016, 05:00:02 PM »
BBC World News just switched over to Dimbleby's coverage. Let's get this started!
Logged
Clyde1998
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,936
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #729 on: June 23, 2016, 05:02:25 PM »
Quote from: Beezer on June 23, 2016, 04:59:48 PM
Early counting of postal votes in Sunderland suggest a 60/40 split to Leave.
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/746098795054833668

Didn't someone post a link stating Sunderland should lean around 6 points towards leave?
I'm expecting postal votes to be more in favour of leaving than the on the day votes - so it may not be indicative of how Sunderland as a whole will vote.
Logged
IceAgeComing
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,564
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #730 on: June 23, 2016, 05:04:27 PM »
Quote from: Sibboleth on June 23, 2016, 04:59:32 PM
Look, most of the rumours swirling around will be of dubious veracity. That's always the way even with elections, let alone this mad thing. You won't be getting any solid numbers for a while yet and at first not many. Calm down.

this is a good thing to remember, for any UK election
Logged
parochial boy
parochial_boy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,117


Political Matrix
E: -8.38, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #731 on: June 23, 2016, 05:05:50 PM »
Quote from: Clyde1998 on June 23, 2016, 05:02:25 PM
Quote from: Beezer on June 23, 2016, 04:59:48 PM
Early counting of postal votes in Sunderland suggest a 60/40 split to Leave.
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/746098795054833668

Didn't someone post a link stating Sunderland should lean around 6 points towards leave?
I'm expecting postal votes to be more in favour of leaving than the on the day votes - so it may not be indicative of how Sunderland as a whole will vote.

Yes, bearing in mind Postal Voters tend to be older, and that many of the votes would have been sent in before the swing back to remain in the last few days.

Anything more than 45% for remain in Sunderland is encouraging
Logged
Clyde1998
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,936
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #732 on: June 23, 2016, 05:10:22 PM »
Kettering turnout: 76.4% (+9.1% on 2015 election)
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #733 on: June 23, 2016, 05:12:01 PM »
Quote from: Clyde1998 on June 23, 2016, 05:10:22 PM
Kettering turnout: 76.4% (+9.1% on 2015 election)

is that a leave or remain area?
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,720
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #734 on: June 23, 2016, 05:13:29 PM »
Most postal votes are cast by pensioners. Though also note at this stage they won't actually have counted many and that early estimates from counts are wrong.
Logged
Clyde1998
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,936
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #735 on: June 23, 2016, 05:15:31 PM »
Quote from: marty on June 23, 2016, 05:12:01 PM
Quote from: Clyde1998 on June 23, 2016, 05:10:22 PM
Kettering turnout: 76.4% (+9.1% on 2015 election)

is that a leave or remain area?
I think Kettering will be relatively close to the national result, possibly more towards remain.
Logged
Clyde1998
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,936
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #736 on: June 23, 2016, 05:17:09 PM »
« Edited: June 23, 2016, 05:20:49 PM by Clyde1998 »
DECLARATION IMMINENT IN GIBRALTAR

If it's not 95%+ Remain, then Leave have done well.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #737 on: June 23, 2016, 05:18:27 PM »
Quote from: Clyde1998 on June 23, 2016, 05:17:09 PM
DECELERATION IMMINENT IN GIBRALTAR

If it's not 95%+ Remain, then Leave have done well.

Have they accelerated previously?
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,637
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #738 on: June 23, 2016, 05:18:29 PM »
So I understand turnout is a good deal higher than at a regular general election, but when can we expect the first results? In 2015, Sunderland South declared 51 minutes after the polls closed.
Logged
cp
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #739 on: June 23, 2016, 05:20:44 PM »
This isn't a bad summary of what to look for over the course of the night.
Logged
Clyde1998
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,936
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #740 on: June 23, 2016, 05:21:21 PM »
Quote from: ag on June 23, 2016, 05:18:27 PM
Quote from: Clyde1998 on June 23, 2016, 05:17:09 PM
DECELERATION IMMINENT IN GIBRALTAR

If it's not 95%+ Remain, then Leave have done well.

Have they accelerated previously?
Cheesy Just noticed my typo.
Logged
SATW
SunriseAroundTheWorld
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,463
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #741 on: June 23, 2016, 05:22:09 PM »
Quote from: ObserverIE on June 23, 2016, 04:43:35 PM
Quote from: Classic Conservative on June 23, 2016, 12:53:21 PM
What time EST will the BBC broadcast begin and I found a link to BBC 1, live stream.
http://www.zoptv.com/live/bbc-one

Can one of the posters that live in the UK verify that, that stream is the actual live stream.

I don't live in the UK, but I live close enough to the Northern Ireland border to be able to pick up BBC and the other British channels on digital.

Not sure about BBC 1 (it's showing Northern Ireland news on live television here), but

http://www.zoptv.com/live/bbc-news

is the correct stream, even if about a minute time-delayed.

Thanks for the stream link! Smiley
Logged
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,540
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #742 on: June 23, 2016, 05:24:02 PM »
YouGov result by party identity
       
    remain/leave
CON: 43/57
LAB: 69/31
LDEM: 73/27
UKIP: 7/93
Logged
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,920
Vatican City State



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #743 on: June 23, 2016, 05:24:32 PM »
Looking forward to this! Let's goooo Remain!
Logged
Clyde1998
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,936
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #744 on: June 23, 2016, 05:24:57 PM »
Apparently, the postal vote is 3:1 Remain in Edinburgh.
Logged
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,920
Vatican City State



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #745 on: June 23, 2016, 05:25:50 PM »
Quote from: SunriseAroundTheWorld on June 23, 2016, 05:22:09 PM
Quote from: ObserverIE on June 23, 2016, 04:43:35 PM
Quote from: Classic Conservative on June 23, 2016, 12:53:21 PM
What time EST will the BBC broadcast begin and I found a link to BBC 1, live stream.
http://www.zoptv.com/live/bbc-one

Can one of the posters that live in the UK verify that, that stream is the actual live stream.

I don't live in the UK, but I live close enough to the Northern Ireland border to be able to pick up BBC and the other British channels on digital.

Not sure about BBC 1 (it's showing Northern Ireland news on live television here), but

http://www.zoptv.com/live/bbc-news

is the correct stream, even if about a minute time-delayed.

Thanks for the stream link! Smiley

Wow this is a great stream!
Logged
CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #746 on: June 23, 2016, 05:26:46 PM »
Who are the UKIP/Remain voters Huh
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #747 on: June 23, 2016, 05:27:58 PM »

old people with bad vision
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #748 on: June 23, 2016, 05:27:58 PM »

Well, there are Hispanic Trumpists, so there have to be UKIP remainers.
Logged
YL
YorkshireLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,557
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #749 on: June 23, 2016, 05:28:52 PM »

Protest voters.

(Or people who have seen sense in the last year...)
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 25 26 27 28 29 [30] 31 32 33 34 35 ... 78  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.058 seconds with 11 queries.