United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership

[Pandaguineapig]

What are the odds of Cameron resigning if leave wins?

[Pandaguineapig]

I assume if leave wins and Cameron resigns it's a good bet Johnson will win the leadership election

[Pandaguineapig]

I assume if leave wins and Cameron resigns it's a good bet Johnson will win the leadership election

The "good bet" doesn't usually win the Tory leadership. I'd say it'd be Gove.

I'd say it would be between those two with Osborne as a darkhorse

[Pandaguineapig]

Keep in mind how the Tory leadership process works: its not like the Lib Dems or Labour where the membership chooses between several candidates, the parliamentary party has more of a say.  Basically the parliamentary party vote between all successfully nominated candidates until they have two, who the membership choose between.  If it was like Labour's leadership election then Boris would be the favourite; the issue that he has is getting through the parliamentary party which I think he'd find pretty hard.

Good point, that would mean a Cameron ally would have a much better chance than if it were a popular election

[Pandaguineapig]

This should of been a comfortable win for remain but now it looks like leave has an advantage because the remain camp is being run by complete idiots

[Pandaguineapig]

If the remain campaign wants any shot at this they have to get David Cameron to shut up and let someone else be the figure head for the campaign

[Pandaguineapig]

It's that and how he has become unhinged and hysterical over it, threatening ww3 and launching a personal attack campaign against Boris Johnson

[Pandaguineapig]

A lot of the momentum discussion is overblown this will probably be 50/50 on Thursday

[Pandaguineapig]

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/06/20/eu-referendum-leave-lead-two/ Not sure if anyone posted, Yougov now has Leave with a 2 point lead

Only 2 polls showed remain ahead and yougov was one of them, this could be a long election night

[Pandaguineapig]

A few more results and I think we can call it for Leave.

Awful, seems like the actual project fear might have done it. But I will wait for while before that.

But it's still way too early.

Sunderland was NOT expected to be 53-47

I don't think leave ever threatened ww3

[Pandaguineapig]

The ukip strongholds in Kent and the east haven't reported yet

[Pandaguineapig]

Come on, I want some Kent to see how the Ukip strongholds are coming in!

[Pandaguineapig]

Come on, I want some Kent to see how the Ukip strongholds are coming in!

I would be cautious about labelling Kent as nailed-on Leave country - undoubtedly, Leave will do very well on the coast, but in rock solid inland Tory territory I think we'll be seeing very close results indeed, akin to much of the rest of the home counties.

Yes,but the Tories there are more euro skeptic than say london or essex

[Pandaguineapig]

Not enough Remain territory left, I am afraid. Leave should be given advantage.

Be'ezrat HaShem!

So that you and your kin be cursed to the 27th generation!

Stay but not by as much as it should be

[Pandaguineapig]

So according to David Cameron I should expect a nuclear winter soon

[Pandaguineapig]

So according to David Cameron I should expect a nuclear winter soon

I do fully expect it. Brexit will only be a minor contributor, but it will contribute.

I kid but the hyperbole of the remain camp probably hurt them

[Pandaguineapig]

We're not even over 50% of places yet, with a margin that can be easily flipped, lol.

I think leave absolutely has an advantage here, but c'mon people.

Merkel is seeing her dream of a fourth Reich crumble before her eyes

That's, quite frankly one of the most ridiculous things I've read in this thread.

I'm joking lol

[Pandaguineapig]

It's difficult to tell pandaguineapig lol

Looking at some alt right blogs you would think the Berlin wall was coming down again lol

[Pandaguineapig]

SCOTLAND VOTES REMAIN
More than 50% of voters have voted for Remain

Congrats, hopefully the next vote is for independence.

Want to make Scotland a third world country? because that's how you make Scotland a third world country

[Pandaguineapig]

All this referendum has proven is that you really CAN'T BARRAGE THE FARAGE

[Pandaguineapig]

I wonder what other countries could get referendums after this I think Holland and France are somewhat likely

[Pandaguineapig]

Well, Angela...you've brought about the secession of a major EU country.

I don't think it's Merkel's fault.

You can lay this event at the hands of Jacque Delores for pushing through the creation of the Euro.

The European project went wrong at that point.

She pushed an unsustainable migrant policy that became fodder for leave and right wing European parties