United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership

[DL]

The problem for the Tories is that their members elect the leader in the final round and apparently the average age of card carrying Tory party members is something like 72... So to become leader you need to get voted in by a bunch of angry old eurosceptic men plus old ladies with blue hair who play bridge and eat cucumber sandwiches

[DL]

Final Survey Monkey out today: Remain 50% (+2), Leave 47% (-2)...they project that the final results will be Remain 52, Leave 48

Final Opinium out today: Remain 44% (unchanged), Leave 45% (+1)...so they have a largeish 9% still undecided.

My own prediction is that Remain will win 52/48

[DL]

FWIW almost every poll out today shows a bit of a trend towards remain.

[DL]

Apparently the pound and the FTSE index surged at the close of business which suggests that major banks and bond traders who may have commissioned their own election day polling are increasingly confident of a Remain victory.