United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership (user search)
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Author Topic: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership  (Read 177700 times)
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: June 23, 2016, 04:18:26 PM »

84% turnout.

wow.

Folks on twitter saying that could F*** with the models the polls use.

That's only the Gibraltar turnout at this point

Yeah, I doubt Gibraltar is a bellwether.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: June 23, 2016, 05:57:07 PM »

LOL, BBC website considers Gibraltar part of England.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: June 23, 2016, 08:17:42 PM »

England (don't count Gibraltar) is currently over 60% leave. That looks pretty bad for remain.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: June 23, 2016, 09:33:40 PM »
« Edited: June 23, 2016, 09:36:32 PM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

Pound is collapsing. Great time to visit the UK!

It is the dollar that is skyrocketting. Every other currency is in the free fall.

Japanese yen is doing better. The pound just lost like 7 or 8% to the yen in just an hour or so.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: June 23, 2016, 09:43:33 PM »

Ok, finished.

I think we can declare at this point.

This will, of course, mostly, be a disaster for England (and whoever choses to stay with it). For the rest of us, it is just a minor think: perhaps, one month less of peace before the WW3. Still, it would have been a nice month.

LOL, so much drama.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #5 on: June 23, 2016, 10:05:22 PM »

I think we can agree that best case for remain they don't make up the current 440k vote margin with uncounted non England votes, which means they have to win the uncounted England votes. That seems unlikely.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #6 on: June 23, 2016, 10:14:14 PM »

Just a not to the people celebrating this win for Leave.  The pound has now fallen to a 31 year low on this news, and it continues to go down.  Stock exchanges are all falling at least 3 percent, much more in Europe.  Real world consequences right there.

Edit, it's fallen 10%, it officially a crash.

Yup, hope everyone is excited for the NYSE tomorrow.

S&P 500 futures down 3.5% right now.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #7 on: June 23, 2016, 10:17:22 PM »

Everyone cheering for economic destruction is hilarious utterly depressing.

Pound is the lowest it's been since 1985.


You realize they will not be able to afford to buy our stuff anymore right?

You do realize that the Pound is still stronger than the Dollar, right?  They'll be ok.

Framed. F in principles of Macro.

But the pence is not stronger than the dollar. Tongue
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #8 on: June 23, 2016, 10:31:25 PM »

The EU will go into the same trash heap as the League of Nations.  Total failure!

Yeah, and when the League of Nations failed, everyone lived happily thereafter.

Perhaps this will make people reluctant to support multinational superstates in the future.

The EU and the League of Nations don't have that much in common.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #9 on: June 23, 2016, 10:32:41 PM »

Harrow - 54.6 IN

Sinn Fein calls for a referendum on Irish reunification

Sinn Fein calling for an Irish Reunification Referendum now.

Excellent, also support.

Will this actually come to fruition though? And would both the Republic and Northern Ireland vote, or just NI?

I'd imagine it would easily pass in Ireland.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #10 on: June 24, 2016, 12:07:33 AM »

So is it a done deal that the UK actually leaves, or is there some chance they'd ignore the results or hold another referendum?
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #11 on: June 24, 2016, 01:39:20 AM »

Funny how Shetland and Eilean were the 2 places to vote against the EU in 1975.



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_European_Communities_membership_referendum,_1975
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