United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Watching BBC's coverage, it sounds like a lot of industrial Labour-leaning areas are voting Leave.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Why is everyone acting like Leave has won?  There's not even close to enough votes to show anything at this point, except that Leave is outperforming the polls.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Why is everyone acting like Leave has won?  There's not even close to enough votes to show anything at this point, except that Leave is outperforming the polls.

The polls were 52-48 to Remain though. Leave outperforming the polls makes it likely Leave will win.

Dude, less than 20 districts have reported out of 382 total.  That number is anything but conclusive.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Why is everyone acting like Leave has won?  There's not even close to enough votes to show anything at this point, except that Leave is outperforming the polls.

The polls were 52-48 to Remain though. Leave outperforming the polls makes it likely Leave will win.

Dude, less than 20 districts have reported out of 382 total.  That number is anything but conclusive.

You're the same person who freaked out every time the networks made a call in the primary season and claimed "TOO EARLY!!!"  No credibility!

If you seriously think that less than 10 percent of the vote is enough to make a call, then you need your head examined.  The US media got burned when they did it in 2000, and it will happen again as long as they keep doing it that way.  At least the BBC is responsible in labeling it as "Too Early to Call."

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Not only is it too early, but the margin is too small.  52-48% is too close to make any sort of call, especially with such a small percentage of votes in.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Why is everyone acting like Leave has won?  There's not even close to enough votes to show anything at this point, except that Leave is outperforming the polls.

The polls were 52-48 to Remain though. Leave outperforming the polls makes it likely Leave will win.

Dude, less than 20 districts have reported out of 382 total.  That number is anything but conclusive.

Patterns can be drawn from certain results though - and it's not positive for Remain.

That much is certainly true.  The early returns seem to favor Leave, but that doesn't mean the final result will.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Why is everyone acting like Leave has won?  There's not even close to enough votes to show anything at this point, except that Leave is outperforming the polls.

The polls were 52-48 to Remain though. Leave outperforming the polls makes it likely Leave will win.

Dude, less than 20 districts have reported out of 382 total.  That number is anything but conclusive.

You're the same person who freaked out every time the networks made a call in the primary season and claimed "TOO EARLY!!!"  No credibility!

If you seriously think that less than 10 percent of the vote is enough to make a call, then you need your head examined.  The US media got burned when they did it in 2000, and it will happen again as long as they keep doing it that way.  At least the BBC is responsible in labeling it as "Too Early to Call."

There's a reason why 2000 is always, every single time, the example you use for this.

Less than 10 percent of districts in, and Leave is winning.  That means nothing.  If Leave is still winning when 80-90% is in, then I'd be more comfortable saying that Leave wins the day.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

I'm a little surprised that Wales is favoring Leave.  I thought Brexit was mostly an English position.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Swansea was supposed to be a remain city, I think it's will vote leave by a substantial margin

They already reported their results, and it was 52-48% for Leave.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

I'm fairly certain that it will get tighter once more of London and Scotland come in--Remain may even take the lead at that point.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

If Scotland is so strongly Remain, then how did Inverclyde vote Leave?

[Oldiesfreak1854]

If Scotland is so strongly Remain, then how did Inverclyde vote Leave?

It didn't.

I could swear BBC said they did.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Big surge for Remain--Leave's margin down to about 33K.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Leave lead down to 22K.  I will now accept my accolades for my prediction about London making it tighter.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Lambeth, south London result:
Remain: 78.6% (111,584)
Leave: 21.4% (30,340)

Could London still save Remain?

You're so stupid.  It's obvious from only about 10% of the vote that Leave will win.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Who's still laughing at me now?

More to the point, this thing is hardly over yet, there's been a big swing back to Remain with results from university towns and London coming in.

True, but there's still the bulk of the SW and home Counties.

How stupid can you get?  It's obvious that Leave will win.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Leave lead down to 22K.  I will now accept my accolades for my prediction about London making it tighter.

Now you are doing exactly the same! You have to look at the pattern.

I didn't say that Remain would win once London came in--just that the margin would get closer.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

This vote is far from over.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Leave lead down to 22K.  I will now accept my accolades for my prediction about London making it tighter.

Now you are doing exactly the same! You have to look at the pattern.

I didn't say that Remain would win once London came in--just that the margin would get closer.

And nobody in this thread suggested otherwise.

They were acting like Leave had already won it.