PA-PPP: Toomey leads Democrats by 4-11

[Maxwell]

42-38 at this point?  Weak. Low approval suggests that 42% is close to his ceiling.  

LOL

It's Dick Morris logic.

[bballrox4717]

Looks like a tossup to me. Rendell is the only one that Toomey has a real lead against. Lots of undecideds  for Toomey vs Sestak, and the rest seem to lack name recognition.

This poll looks like a lot of polls that had Braley and Udall leading early on in 2014. There's nothing that indicates that Toomey is especially popular and he is definitely vulnerable to being dragged down if it's a Democratic year in 2016.

[pbrower2a]

As for the other Senator from Pennsylvania:


Q16
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bob
Casey’s job performance?
 43% Approve
..........................................................
 33% Disapprove
......................................................
 24% Not sure

[IceSpear]

but muh unelectable sestak

Can Tester, Reid, and Schumer please butt out now? Especially now that Shapiro has declined.

[IceSpear]

42-38 at this point?  Weak. Low approval suggests that 42% is close to his ceiling.  

ayy lmao

[MT Treasurer]

42-38 at this point?  Weak. Low approval suggests that 42% is close to his ceiling.  

ayy lmao

Hey, come on, at least we now know that Bob Casey is a goner. He will lose with 43% of the vote because that's his approval rating. One race less where Democrats need to waste money. Casey is in for a Blanching, isn't he, pbrower?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Too bad for him that the one he leads by only 4 is running.

[Flake]

As for the other Senator from Pennsylvania:


Q16
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bob
Casey’s job performance?
 43% Approve
..........................................................
 33% Disapprove
......................................................
 24% Not sure

Seems like Casey is in trouble, he's got a low approval rating, probably loses with 45% of the vote :/

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

but muh unelectable sestak

Can Tester, Reid, and Schumer please butt out now? Especially now that Shapiro has declined.

Casey approvals are low, but there are more Dems in PA. So, Casey will hold on.

[Maxwell]

but muh unelectable sestak

Can Tester, Reid, and Schumer please butt out now? Especially now that Shapiro has declined.

Casey approvals are low, but there are more Dems in PA. So, Casey will hold on.

THAT'S NOT WHAT HE WAS TALKING ABOUT

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was inferencing about Casey low approvals. .


But, it is a shame the leadership doesnt want Sestak.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I was inferencing about Casey low approvals. .


But, it is a shame the leadership doesnt want Sestak.

Casey definitely has been underwhelming. He didn't really win by that much in 2012 considering that his opponent made some dumb rape comments, and the other two Republicans to make dumb rape comments lost in Indiana and Missouri, much more Republican states.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Don't underestimate Toomey. It will be close, but he still has the advantage in my opinion.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems certainly can win Pa and NH; and add those due to the 272 blue wall. But, Sestak has been underestimated too.

[pbrower2a]

Don't underestimate Toomey. It will be close, but he still has the advantage in my opinion.

Your opinion counts for no more than mine.

It comes down to turnout. Toomey is very far to the right in a state that leans D, and if he gets dodgy about his stances, he could be taken down.

Consider that if he wins and the Republicans win the Presidency and keep the Senate, he could easily be the new Rick Santorum to the extent of the power that he will wield.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Consider that if he wins and the Republicans win the Presidency and keep the Senate, he could easily be the new Rick Santorum to the extent of the power that he will wield.
[/quote]

Pa; is gonna be a bellweather, the Portman&Toomey duo can very much end with a Clinton win.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Once the primaries are over and the convention is in Philly; the Dems will come together, behind Sestak, since it has become clear; SW track along with Keystone state is path to victory.

It will be exactly 52-46 Clinton over Jeb; enough for Sestak to sneak by.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Toomey has carved out the most moderate record of the three blue-state Republicans up this cycle, but I worry he may have picked the wrong issue to go moderate on. Isn't rural Pennsylvania full of gun owners and hunters?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Toomey has carved out the most moderate record of the three blue-state Republicans up this cycle, but I worry he may have picked the wrong issue to go moderate on. Isn't rural Pennsylvania full of gun owners and hunters?

But the suburbs of Philly are not. Toomey is trying to woo a larger number of the Specter Republicans, many of whom switched in the 2000s hence why Specter couldn't remain in the GOP primary.

Toomey also has a rather pro-gun record overall and opposes more restrictive measures if I am not mistaken.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Toomey's problem is that Clinton does very well in Pa, like she did in 2008 primaries. NH and Pa is gold for Clinton. Eventhough Sestak isnt all that great, six pt win is enough for him to slip bye.