Greater London Assembly and Mayor elections - 5 May 2016

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

A week of news coverage of the Labour party being riddled with antisemites ends with thousands of voters in the most Jewish part of the country being turned away from polling stations and a narrow victory for the Labour candidate. I'd expect a challenge to the results of Kahn wins by anything less than 10,000 votes

I'd expect a challenge to any GLA win (Mayor, Barnet and Camden and list) by anything less than 10,000 votes.  Anything less than 1,000 votes and we are likely to be looking at re-running the whole thing.  The Mayoral election shouldn't be that close, but Barnet and Camden is a marginal constituency (the Tory vote was depressed in 2012 because their candidate was Brian Coleman who had a large negative personal vote) and the list ballot is in particular danger because of the PR system and 5% threshold, which could lead to small changes in votes having drastic effects.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Barnet LBC does some kind of sarcastic prize for this.

[DavidB.]

Jews who cannot vote anymore. Livingstone's dream has come true, it seems

[joevsimp]

Jews who cannot vote anymore. Livingstone's dream has come true, it seems

because its always a conspiracy and never a cock-up

[Hnv1]

Jews who cannot vote anymore. Livingstone's dream has come true, it seems

because its always a conspiracy and never a cock-up

I think he was being cynical...Considering how bad Barnet has been ran (sorry "one Barnet" fans) I'm not surprised someone bottled it.

Khan would win it by a larger margin anyway

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Also asked in the UK general thread: How panicky should I be about Khan's chances right now?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Things aren't any worse than expected so far if that's any help.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

So things are more or less in accord with the sorts of results one would have expected with the Khan +~10-15 polling?

[joevsimp]

London elects have a count tracker up now. Helpfully they've gone for the Lib-Dem style bar chart with no numbers. With about 30% counted Khan seems to be ahead, but that includes South West data that had him ahead of Zac with Ukip in a strong third,so I guess they're counting Feltham first in that seat.

https://www.londonelects.org.uk/im-voter/election-results/live-count-progress-2016?contest=23

The assembly counts look fairly even between Labour and conservatives,  With the greens denying to be ahead in the the way strap for third place, womens equality party and various odds and sods well back and not looking like getting over the 5%

[cp]

Grrr. Frustrated about the lack of numbers in the bar chart.

Seems like about 75% of the votes are in and Khan is well in the lead.

[IceAgeComing]

there you go; this one has numbers!!

Sadiq Khan has won this easily; Goldsmith basically now needs lots of second preferences to have a shot and I think that they'll heavily go to Khan

[Phony Moderate]

there you go; this one has numbers!!

Sadiq Khan has won this easily; Goldsmith basically now needs lots of second preferences to have a shot and I think that they'll heavily go to Khan

UKIP being beaten by a pidgeon (whose preferences will presumably break for Khan on the basis of Goldsmith's campaign).

[MisSkeptic]

Is Sadiq Khan the new mayor of London now, or do we have to wait a little longer for future results?

[ag]

Is Sadiq Khan the new mayor of London now, or do we have to wait a little longer for future results?

Technically not over, yet, but pretty close.

[IceAgeComing]

Apparently the result could be 57/43 after preferences

[cp]

Source?

[ag]

Source?

It is a matter of projecting preferences. At this point, on the oficial count Khan is almos 200,000 votes ahead even on the first preference. He is pretty much elected.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Tories have lost Merton and Wandsworth (I always forget how ugly the Assembly constituencies are)

[Hnv1]

So first round appears to be: Khan 45.5%, Goldsmith 33.9%, Sian Berry 6%, LibDem 4.4%, Ukip 3.5%, the rest.
So Khan is very much nailed on winning and in quite a comfortable margin.

This is shaping out to be a good day on the London Assembly as well, Labour with 9 confirmed seats so far (not sure if they can reach the elusive 13)

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

London Tory bigwigs are tearing into Goldsmith and his campaign (and have done since polls closed).

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Dismore wins Barnet & Camden by 16,000.

[136or142]

How do these results compare with the 2015 General Election results in London/Greater London?

[YL]

London Tory bigwigs are tearing into Goldsmith and his campaign (and have done since polls closed).

I don't approve of them hanging Goldsmith out to dry on this.  That campaign was clearly a work of the party as a whole, up to and including the PM.

[cp]

How do these results compare with the 2015 General Election results in London/Greater London?

Based on the results so far:

Labour: +0.5%
Cons: +0.1%
Green: +0.9%
LD: -3.0%
UKIP: -4.5%

In a nutshell: Stasis.

If you really wanted to, you could read into this:

- Continued collapse of the LibDems
- Fizzling of UKIP
- A tiny indication that Labour has done better at shoring up its left flank than the Tories have at shoring up their right.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

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