CO-Sen: Mike Coffman out
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  CO-Sen: Mike Coffman out		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: CO-Sen: Mike Coffman out  (Read 15114 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: June 01, 2015, 02:42:04 PM »
Unsurprisingly.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1 on: June 01, 2015, 02:42:55 PM »
Is this the guy Wulfric was telling us was going to beat Bennet?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: June 01, 2015, 02:46:34 PM »
Some reporters are noting Gardner initially said no, though they don't mention different candidate/circumstances...
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windjammer
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« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2015, 02:56:29 PM »
So that will be his wife?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: June 01, 2015, 03:30:55 PM »
« Edited: June 01, 2015, 03:40:39 PM by IceSpear »
Good break for Bennet. I don't think Coffman was some super electable titan, but he probably was the best the CO GOP had.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #5 on: June 01, 2015, 03:37:37 PM »
He would've likely beaten Bennett. Highly doubt anyone else will be able to have more than a 20% chance at best.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: June 01, 2015, 03:42:18 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on June 01, 2015, 02:42:55 PM
Is this the guy Wulfric was telling us was going to beat Bennet?

He would have been favored against Bennet, but was hardly a guaranteed winner. But this decision is a big boost to the Bennet campaign.
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SATW
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« Reply #7 on: June 01, 2015, 03:44:34 PM »
dammit.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #8 on: June 01, 2015, 03:46:30 PM »
Condolences, Wulfric.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: June 01, 2015, 03:47:42 PM »
This was always Likely D, at worse Lean D. This does little to change that.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: June 01, 2015, 03:48:49 PM »

Don't worry. I'm confident Cynthia can do it, though she isn't as strong of a candidate as her husband would have been.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #11 on: June 01, 2015, 03:50:26 PM »
The internal polling numbers must not have been good enough to warrant a run.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #12 on: June 01, 2015, 03:53:15 PM »
Yeah, he or any other Pub wasn't gonna beat Bennet in a presidential year.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #13 on: June 01, 2015, 04:29:32 PM »
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Panda Express
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« Reply #14 on: June 01, 2015, 04:51:22 PM »
Not surprised. No point in giving up a house seat to run and lose against Michael "Wrecking Ball" Bennett.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #15 on: June 01, 2015, 05:56:02 PM »
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Maxwell
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« Reply #16 on: June 01, 2015, 05:58:27 PM »
Yeah he's going to have a tough enough time defending his district, this isn't surprising. Hopefully Senator Bennet aka Mr. Roboto faces a real challenge from someone else who is more capable and less... birther.
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SWE
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« Reply #17 on: June 01, 2015, 07:24:59 PM »
Quote from: Poor Biden :( on June 01, 2015, 03:42:18 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on June 01, 2015, 02:42:55 PM
Is this the guy Wulfric was telling us was going to beat Bennet?

He would have been favored against Bennet


No he wouldn't have. Gardner barely won his race last year with every possible advantage on his side. No Republican would start out favored against a stronger incumbent than Udall in a presidential year.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #18 on: June 01, 2015, 07:36:41 PM »
Quote from: SomebodyWhoExists on June 01, 2015, 07:24:59 PM
Quote from: Poor Biden :( on June 01, 2015, 03:42:18 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on June 01, 2015, 02:42:55 PM
Is this the guy Wulfric was telling us was going to beat Bennet?

He would have been favored against Bennet


No he wouldn't have. Gardner barely won his race last year with every possible advantage on his side. No Republican would start out favored against a stronger incumbent than Udall in a presidential year.

One huge difference between Gardner and Coffman is gardner never had a tough race before his senate campaign. Coffman has had 2 tough races in his house district, giving him key preparation for a competitive senate race. Also, Coffman has spent the last few years carefully moderating himself and becoming more establishment, while Gardner was basically a teapartier right up to the moment he began running for senate.

Both of these mean that Coffman would have been a much better candidate than Gardner.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #19 on: June 01, 2015, 07:44:55 PM »
Would Jane Norton or Scott Gessler consider?

Of course, if it weren't for the Tea Partiers, Norton would've beaten Bennet in 2010.
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #20 on: June 01, 2015, 09:04:20 PM »
Quote from: maxwell on June 01, 2015, 05:58:27 PM
Yeah he's going to have a tough enough time defending his district, this isn't surprising. Hopefully Senator Bennet aka Mr. Roboto faces a real challenge from someone else who is more capable and less... birther.

Nominating someone who doesn't want to ban condoms would help
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Xing
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« Reply #21 on: June 02, 2015, 10:42:51 AM »
He would've still been a slight underdog against Bennet, he was probably the best possible candidate for the Republicans. Bennet still can't rest easy, but it wouldn't be logical to call this race anything less than Lean D.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #22 on: June 03, 2015, 09:57:19 AM »
Quote from: xingkerui on June 02, 2015, 10:42:51 AM
He would've still been a slight underdog against Bennet, he was probably the best possible candidate for the Republicans. Bennet still can't rest easy, but it wouldn't be logical to call this race anything less than Lean D.
Since when?  Bennet is only in his first full term.  He would've probably lost to Jane Norton in 2010 if it weren't for the Tea Partiers nominating Ken Buck instead.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #23 on: June 03, 2015, 10:29:49 AM »
We can speculate about what would've happened in 2010 until the cows come home. It's not 2010 anymore, and unless Bennet faces a similar atmosphere, it's reasonable to assume he'll be favored, especially since the Republicans don't exactly have a juggernaut to run against him.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #24 on: June 03, 2015, 02:26:29 PM »
He rather defend his House seat than go after Bennet in a presidential yr; which would have been a sure Dem pickup.

It is to
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