Jeb's In

[Bull Moose Base]

Interesting fact from Twitter - Jeb is the only Bush to ever lose a race in Florida, that '94 one.

Well… that's a complicated one.

[Mr. Morden]

Looks like the announcement will take place at 3pm:

http://www.nbcmiami.com/news/local/South-Florida-Republicans-Await-Jeb-Bush-Presidential-Announcement-307308021.html

[Mr. Morden]

A few hours to go until this announcement.  Can I be the first to say "this changes everything"?

[Senator Cris]

And if Jeb is running for U.S. Senate?

[Mr. Morden]

As expected, neither Bush-41 nor Bush-43 will be attending Jeb's announcement:

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2015/06/16/us/politics/jeb-bush-presidential-campaign.html?referrer=&_r=0

I forget if this story has been posted before, but this story by Byron York last week was interesting:

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/jeb-bush-shakes-up-disappointing-campaign/article/2565838

Apparently, many of those in Bush's inner circle thought this was going to be 1999 again, and that Bush would cruise into a comfortable frontrunner status:

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[bballrox4717]

I forget if this story has been posted before, but this story by Byron York last week was interesting:

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/jeb-bush-shakes-up-disappointing-campaign/article/2565838

Apparently, many of those in Bush's inner circle thought this was going to be 1999 again, and that Bush would cruise into a comfortable frontrunner status:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Bush's lack of recent election experience is showing: the name and the money doesn't scare people as easily as it did ten years ago.

[dudeabides]

http://politickernj.com/2015/06/jebs-major-advantage-the-gravitas-factor/

[Bull Moose Base]

I agree with that assessment of Bush's advantages. Bush's struggles aren't exactly the same as Romney in 2011 but they're roughly similar. Or as McCain 2007 but with much more money. On the other hand, he has tougher competition and I think this columnist is too dismissive of the drag immigration, Common Core and Bush fatigue will be on him.

Also, I agree if Bush has more momentum than Rubio heading into Florida, he's favored to pick it up, but because it's tentatively scheduled to fall after Super Tuesday, I'd guess a Bush win there is more likely to solidify his spot in a 2-man race than make him the presumptive nominee.

My wild guess on odds of being nominee would be like: Bush 40, Walker 30, Everyone else 30

Edit: I'm still a Rubio skeptic. His mini-surge looks like it's already fading before Bush has even used his massive war chest to attack him, and my gut is he won't hold up well to the attacks.

[Skye]

Officialy announced, see OP.

Campaign Website: https://jeb2016.com/splash?lang=en

[RINO Tom]

Really amused but more importantly annoyed by the new crop of "Republicans" who talk about "corporate welfare" like it's some terrible, quasi-socialist four-letter word rather than a misleading buzz word that really describes pro-business measures designed to make the economic environment attractive to large employers.

Who'd have thought that Ralph Nader's ideas would have found a home with people who call themselves "conservative," LOL.

(In reference to a post criticizing Christie for "corporate welfare")

[Mr. Morden]

Bush slow jams the news:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i5GMhGpk5jY