Will someone besides Hillary win a Democratic primary/caucus?
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  Will someone besides Hillary win a Democratic primary/caucus?
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Poll
Question: Will someone besides Hillary win any state during the primaries?
#1
No
 
#2
Yes
 
#3
Yes, and Hillary won't be the nominee
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: Will someone besides Hillary win a Democratic primary/caucus?  (Read 1495 times)
Bacon King
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« on: June 14, 2015, 10:09:20 PM »

Post your bold predictions here so we can look back afterwards and see who looks like a genius!

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2015, 10:12:36 PM »

Sanders has a good shot at Vermont.  And it's on Super Tuesday, so he'll probably still be in the race at that point.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2015, 10:26:29 PM »

Sanders has a shot at NH. 15, 20% chance. If he pulls it off, he may become a serious contender for the nomination, though I highly doubt he'll actually win it.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2015, 10:57:36 PM »

Democratic Primary Results:


Bernie Sanders (Nominee)
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Jim Webb
Lincoln Chafee
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2015, 11:00:35 PM »

Sanders probably wins Vermont.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: June 14, 2015, 11:00:51 PM »

Democratic Primary Results:


Bernie Sanders (Nominee)
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Jim Webb
Lincoln Chafee

Nice Sarcasm.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #6 on: June 14, 2015, 11:28:56 PM »

A more immediate question...Will any polls show Hillary losing a primary state? Sanders had a close-ish second place in a Wisconsin straw poll, and he's at 32 to Hillary's 44 in New Hampshire (according to Morning Consult) but that doesn't mean he'll lead Hillary in any poll.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #7 on: June 14, 2015, 11:32:49 PM »

Yes, Sanders will win a mostly irrelevant Vermont primary.
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morgieb
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« Reply #8 on: June 15, 2015, 01:18:43 AM »

If Sanders is still in by Vermont he has a good chance at that.
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Thunderbird is the word
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« Reply #9 on: June 15, 2015, 01:20:02 AM »

I think that Sanders has a good shot at the pacific northwest also as well as some midwestern states if he can cultivate labor support.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #10 on: June 15, 2015, 01:58:55 AM »

I'd give Vermont to Sanders. He has a possibility of winning New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Maine, Washington, and Colorado.
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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #11 on: June 15, 2015, 03:36:31 AM »

Sanders has a shot at Vermont and a few Western states I think.
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Publius
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« Reply #12 on: June 15, 2015, 06:09:15 AM »

Sanders has a shot at NH. 15, 20% chance. If he pulls it off, he may become a serious contender for the nomination, though I highly doubt he'll actually win it.

One wonders if he should spend every day (and most of his dollars) between now and January in New Hampshire while relying on social and free media to soften the rest of the country. If he were able to convert the New Hampshire win, it's his only puncher's chance.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: June 15, 2015, 09:37:24 AM »

Of course. Seems like a given at this point.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #14 on: June 15, 2015, 01:15:53 PM »

Sanders will win:

Vermont
Oregon
Maine?
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cinyc
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« Reply #15 on: June 15, 2015, 01:19:27 PM »

A more immediate question...Will any polls show Hillary losing a primary state? Sanders had a close-ish second place in a Wisconsin straw poll, and he's at 32 to Hillary's 44 in New Hampshire (according to Morning Consult) but that doesn't mean he'll lead Hillary in any poll.

The chances of there being an outlier poll are higher than the chances of Sanders actually winning a state.
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Nym90
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« Reply #16 on: June 15, 2015, 01:29:45 PM »

Howard Dean won VT in 2004 (his only state won) after dropping out of the race, so yeah, Sanders has to be considered to have a good shot there.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #17 on: June 15, 2015, 01:55:10 PM »

Nice try danthebear, but hillary's not losing kentucky.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #18 on: June 15, 2015, 01:59:21 PM »

Lincoln Chafee

THIS IS THE FORCE YOU CAN'T STOP
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #19 on: June 15, 2015, 02:22:56 PM »



New Hampshire is close-ish (within 15 points), everything else besides Vermont (which Bernie wins somewhat narrowly) is a wide margin win for Clinton.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #20 on: June 15, 2015, 02:38:50 PM »

Vermont for Sanders, potentially West Virginia for Webb
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Oak Hills
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« Reply #21 on: June 15, 2015, 02:41:55 PM »



New Hampshire is close-ish (within 15 points), everything else besides Vermont (which Bernie wins somewhat narrowly) is a wide margin win for Clinton.

I agree with this.
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