CDC: births and deaths in the US both increased in 2014
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  CDC: births and deaths in the US both increased in 2014
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Author Topic: CDC: births and deaths in the US both increased in 2014  (Read 886 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: June 13, 2015, 08:24:04 AM »

2014:

3,997,000 births and 2,625,000 deaths.

2013:

3,940,000 births and 2,594,000 deaths.

Births are up by 1.5% and deaths by 1.2%

The birth rate increased from 12.5/1000 people to 12.6, while the death rate remained unchanged at 8.2/1000 - which means the natural increase was 4.4 vs. 4.3/1000.

The infant mortality rate was 5.7/1000 live births (down from 5.8 in 2013).

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/dvs/provisional_tables/Provisional_Table01_2014Dec.pdf

State numbers are here:

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/dvs/provisional_tables/Provisional_Table02_2014Dec.pdf

...

The comparable numbers for Austria (2014) are:

Birth rate: 9.6/1000
Death rate: 9.2/1000
Infant mortality rate: 3.0/1000

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=180261.msg4629148#msg4629148
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2015, 09:49:45 AM »

I was bored, so here's a little chart for each state showing 2014 population, births, birth rate, deaths, death rate, natural increase and natural increase rate and a few maps:

(sorted by natural increase rate, right-click for big version)



...

Birth rate (top & bottom 10 states):



Death rate (top & bottom 10 states):



Natural increase rate (top & bottom 10 states):

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jaichind
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« Reply #2 on: June 18, 2015, 07:23:18 AM »

Yes, there was clearly a birth recession that started in 2007 with the birth race falling significantly until 2014.  It sort of mimicked the perception long term economic prospects.  One benefit, at least for me, is that this does change the supply and demand curves for child care.  My child was born in 2011 right in the depth of the birth recession.  This was feature and not a bug as we planned to have a child in the worst economic environment on the premise that there will be less children born that year so there will be less competition for resources of all types.  So whereas in Scarsdale before 2009 there were long waiting queues to get into various nursery schools, we did not have to face that at all and got our pick of nursery schools to send our child.  BTW, my fellow Chinese back in Greater China does not seem to take this utilitarian approach to timing of children.  There is always a massive bulge of children born in the Year of Dragon both on Taiwan Province, Hong Kong and Mainland China.  The net affect is that 17 years after a Year of the Dragon the college entrance situation is always disastrous for those high school students trying to get in as the number of spots stay the same but the number of applicants is usually around 15%-20% greater than normal.    
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #3 on: June 22, 2015, 10:52:33 AM »

There appears to be a 'death belt' running through much of the South, Appalachia, and the Rust Belt.  Interestingly, it seems to avoid states with a lot of coastal area.
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #4 on: June 22, 2015, 11:02:35 AM »

There appears to be a 'death belt' running through much of the South, Appalachia, and the Rust Belt.  Interestingly, it seems to avoid states with a lot of coastal area.

Just eyeballing it, there's a strong correlation between the death stats and average neuroticism (basically, trait anxiety; how much of a worrier you are in general) by state, as measured using the Big Five personality inventory.

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