Clinton 2016 campaign: Georgia is a "Tier Two" state

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Strategy if Walker, Trump or Christie is nominee.  If Jeb is nominee or Rubio, Ga wont matter.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Here is the deal:

So long as Jeb Bush is the GOP nominee, Hillary Clinton's path to 272 becomes a lot harder because he will win Florida, Nevada, and North Carolina. Ohio, Virginia, New Mexico, Colorado, and Iowa would be up for grabs.

With Marco Rubio, it's the same thing.

With Scott Walker, Florida, Nevada, and New Mexico come back into her column. Virginia and Colorado are leaning her way, though up for grabs. North Carolina is 50/50, then Ohio and Iowa lean Walker.

Rand Paul would give her a run for her money in Colorado and New Hampshire, but she might even be able to win a state like Georgia or Missouri.

Without Bush, Walker, or Rubio, Georgia leans Republican, but it's still up for grabs. Same thing with North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri, and Montana.

Uh oh!!!
Dubya, his brother along with Cheney, said that Yacca Mnt should be built in NV. Rubio already supports it.

Jeb says that it shouldnt be forced by govt down throat of NV voters.

NV 4 electors or NH 4 electors would have put Gore the winner. It will be decider in 2016 as well.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think the above R pollster was laying a plausible case if a close election was to be.

But, there hasnt been consecutive elections where duplicate maps have been made. The compiled map which shows this is more wishful thinking.

It will be a close election like 1960, 1976 and 2000 were, third term inc party.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The polls are a RV sample, not LV.

When Mason Dixon or Fox polls or Rasmussen polls comes out, with LV, then lets talk.

I still think Clinton will win.

Most of the polls are PPP polls that dont sample LV until late in campaign.

Just like NBC polls used RV screen to get its 8-14 pt lead.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'll tell you one thing, if there is anything similar to a 2008 or 2012 map, then there are alot of swing state GOP in House and Senate that will lose. Because in 2012, they barley hung onto House.

I say over under Clinton 257-303 electors.

But I think Jeb will win NC.