2016: McCaskill vs. Bush

[Suburbia]

If Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill made a dark horse bid for president, and won the nomination on the Democratic side, while Jeb Bush won his party's nomination, who would win this matchup?

[NHI]

Bush: 307
McCaskill: 231

[Suburbia]

Bush: 307
McCaskill: 231

McCaskill would lose that badly?

[Prince of Salem]

Since when is McCaskill so incompetent to lose like that?

[Sir Mohamed]

Jeb Bush/Carly Fiorina: 281 EV. (50.31%)
Claire McCaskill/Julian Castro: 257 EV. (47.80%)

[Kingpoleon]

271 - 260 - 7

Claire McCaskill (D-MO)/Martin Heinrich (D-NM) - 45.3%
Jeb Bush (R-FL)/Brian Sandoval (R-NV) - 44.5%

Joseph Lieberman(I-CT)/Michael Bloomberg(I-NY) - 8.1%

Third Parties: 2.1%:
Ross Perot, Jr.(Ref-TX)/Tim Penny(Ref-MN) - 1.2%
Robert Barr(L-GA)/Gary Johnson(L-NM) - 0.5%
Dennis Kuchinich(G-OH)/Ralph Nader(G-CT) - 0.3%
Robert Smith(C-NH)/Virgil Goode(C-VA) - 0.2%

[YPestis25]

271 - 260 - 7

Claire McCaskill (D-MO)/Martin Heinrich (D-NM) - 45.3%
Jeb Bush (R-FL)/Brian Sandoval (R-NV) - 44.5%

Joseph Lieberman(I-CT)/Michael Bloomberg(I-NY) - 8.1%

Third Parties: 2.1%:
Ross Perot, Jr.(Ref-TX)/Tim Penny(Ref-MN) - 1.2%
Robert Barr(L-GA)/Gary Johnson(L-NM) - 0.5%
Dennis Kuchinich(G-OH)/Ralph Nader(G-CT) - 0.3%
Robert Smith(C-NH)/Virgil Goode(C-VA) - 0.2%

She probably wouldn't win Missouri, she's not well liked here.