Greek Referendum on IMF/Troika deal
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Author Topic: Greek Referendum on IMF/Troika deal  (Read 73643 times)
jaichind
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« Reply #275 on: July 05, 2015, 07:56:39 AM »

Between 51 and 53 per cent of voters would back No, according to one unpublished last minute poll
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #276 on: July 05, 2015, 08:11:33 AM »

Between 51 and 53 per cent of voters would back No, according to one unpublished last minute poll


That's the other issue with this WHOLE thing... this response needs to be emphatic.
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jaichind
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« Reply #277 on: July 05, 2015, 08:29:19 AM »

With 4 hours left to go at 3PM turnout is at 35% which is high by historical standards when compared to other elections at 3PM.

Athens News Agency seems to indicate that this rate of turnout will match the Jan 2015 election which implies a total turnout of around 65%.  This seems surprising low turnout. Before 2012 Greek elections tends to have turnout of 70%-75%.  I guess even in this "do or die" vote the apathy is there.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #278 on: July 05, 2015, 09:01:15 AM »

You say apathy, I say resignation. There's much enthusiasm for both options (of course: largely because the referendum is effectively a referendum on the government itself) but I don't think we should be surprised if a lot of Greeks see it as a choice between different forms of cancer.
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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #279 on: July 05, 2015, 09:12:19 AM »

You say apathy, I say resignation. There's much enthusiasm for both options (of course: largely because the referendum is effectively a referendum on the government itself) but I don't think we should be surprised if a lot of Greeks see it as a choice between different forms of cancer.

There's also the fact that it isn't clear what exactly the question is...
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DKrol
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« Reply #280 on: July 05, 2015, 09:15:05 AM »

You say apathy, I say resignation. There's much enthusiasm for both options (of course: largely because the referendum is effectively a referendum on the government itself) but I don't think we should be surprised if a lot of Greeks see it as a choice between different forms of cancer.

There's also the fact that it isn't clear what exactly the question is...

This has been my thoughts through much of the discussion on the vote.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #281 on: July 05, 2015, 09:20:02 AM »

When should we expect the results to start coming in? 4 hours from now?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #282 on: July 05, 2015, 09:29:26 AM »

Official results can be found here:

http://ekloges.ypes.gr/current/e/public/index.html?lang=en
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jaichind
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« Reply #283 on: July 05, 2015, 09:48:53 AM »

Various rumor sources seems to indicate that early exit polls show that No is ahead by 4%.
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Zanas
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« Reply #284 on: July 05, 2015, 09:57:56 AM »

Various rumor sources seems to indicate that early exit polls show that No is ahead by 4%.
Could you point to at least one, otherwise there's not much value in your post...
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jaichind
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« Reply #285 on: July 05, 2015, 10:02:43 AM »

Various rumor sources seems to indicate that early exit polls show that No is ahead by 4%.
Could you point to at least one, otherwise there's not much value in your post...

http://www.inewsgr.com/96/tora-avto-einai-to-proto-exit-poll.htm
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jaichind
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« Reply #286 on: July 05, 2015, 10:05:33 AM »

http://www.polisblog.it/post/353300/referendum-grecia-5-luglio-2015

Seems to talk about a survey by the Russian RIA Novosti as well as sources that this agency has contact with shows No ahead by 7-8.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #287 on: July 05, 2015, 10:29:50 AM »

Polls will close in 30 minutes, right?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #288 on: July 05, 2015, 10:35:06 AM »

PredictIt just collapsed from around 50% to 25% for this passing.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #289 on: July 05, 2015, 10:38:14 AM »

What's the best English language website from which to track results?
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Beezer
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« Reply #290 on: July 05, 2015, 11:01:19 AM »

`NO' SEEN GETTING 51.5% VS 48.5% FOR YES IN GPO REFERENDUM POLL

GREEK REFERENDUM OPINION POLL BY METRON ANALYSIS SHOWS 'YES' VOTE 46 PCT, 'NO' VOTE 49 PCT
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #291 on: July 05, 2015, 11:13:35 AM »

Phone polls, not exit polls...
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #292 on: July 05, 2015, 11:15:53 AM »

All last minute polls indicate a NO win.
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Zanas
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« Reply #293 on: July 05, 2015, 11:18:28 AM »

Let's all be very careful about this, for the margin showed is quite thin, and such a vote has never really been tested by pollsters before (I mean a last minute referendum with no time at all to adjust models).
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #294 on: July 05, 2015, 11:19:39 AM »

PredictIt is down to 5%
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Barnes
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« Reply #295 on: July 05, 2015, 11:25:22 AM »

What's the best English language website from which to track results?


The Greek Interior Ministry itself, in my opinion.

http://ekloges.ypes.gr/current/e/public/index.html?lang=en
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #296 on: July 05, 2015, 11:25:55 AM »

OXI ("No") leads with an average of 51-48% in all 4 projections:

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ag
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« Reply #297 on: July 05, 2015, 11:31:10 AM »

I hope they havevprepared provisional drachma bills.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #298 on: July 05, 2015, 11:32:21 AM »

It should be noted that all these polls still have MoE (margins of error) of 4-6% ...

The first real votes should come in in ca. 2 hours.
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SPQR
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« Reply #299 on: July 05, 2015, 11:45:24 AM »

According to these phone polls,same turnout,and same percentages for YES and NO as those of the parties supporting the two options,as in January.
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