Australian Federal Election- July 2, 2016

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Personally popular PMs can't always carry their party.

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Adam Carr's done a guide to the election again

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but want the exact numbers.

Exact numbers don't exist. For any country.

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Anyway there's a strong class element to Australian voting patterns (as you'd expect given its history), but things differ in different parts of the country. Broadly speaking its strongest in large industrial towns (in which I'm going to trollishly include Adelaide ahahaha) and weakest in historically prosperous agricultural districts. In the big cities it has historically been starker in Sydney than Melbourne (not that it's a minor issue in the latter) although less so in recent decades. But then you have e.g. Tasmania and backwoods Queensland in which sometimes class voting is a huge thing (and Labor does well) and sometimes it isn't (and Labor gets crushed).

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Tasmania

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Does Amanda Risworth stuff ballot boxes? Her margin is crazy for a seat the Libs used to hold.

It isn't a seat that they ever had any business holding though. Overwhelmingly working class.

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Was Nikolic really that bad of a candidate?

Yes. Amazed that anyone thought Bass was going to stay Liberal tbh.

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Provisional results map:



When they are *final* you'll get (as always) one with a more detailed key etc.

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Oh ffs, this still isn't over?

That's #stralia for you. When it is over there will be many many pretty maps produced by yrstruly though

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Fyck it, I hate waiting. Any changes will be tiny from this point: starting on proper maps.

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Tasmania; Vosem, Vosem; Tasmania. I can see that you have not met before.