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Author Topic: Bold predictions.  (Read 19388 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #50 on: July 09, 2015, 12:42:04 PM »
« edited: July 09, 2015, 12:45:49 PM by OC »

When she decides to pick a VP; she will go with a progressive, not Kaine who is pro life and voted for Fast Track
Someone like Castro will make the most sense, since Dems can lock up the Senate and presidency by winning in FL and CO and NV.

Bernie Sanders have pushed her to this point
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Panhandle Progressive
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« Reply #51 on: July 09, 2015, 01:20:47 PM »

Castro will not be Hillary's running mate. She will pick either Sherrod Brown (OH) or a Virginia politician since Ohio and Virginia will be of huge importance to her, especially if Florida is more competitive due to either Bush or Rubio becoming the nominee.
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Progressive
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« Reply #52 on: July 09, 2015, 01:35:01 PM »

Chris Christie soaks up the plurality of GOP voters who support Trump in the latest polls, and wins late in the game.
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PPT Spiral
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« Reply #53 on: July 09, 2015, 02:40:35 PM »

Trump will launch a third-party bid if Bush is the GOP nominee.
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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #54 on: July 09, 2015, 03:08:01 PM »
« Edited: July 09, 2015, 03:15:02 PM by PR »

The vast majority of votes in the general election will be won by the Democratic and the Republican nominees.
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NHI
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« Reply #55 on: July 09, 2015, 03:11:51 PM »

- Walker fizzles by Iowa.
- Donald Trump runs as an independent after Bush wins the nomination.
- Clinton still wins.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #56 on: July 09, 2015, 09:29:20 PM »

When she decides to pick a VP; she will go with a progressive, not Kaine who is pro life and voted for Fast Track

Kaine isn't pro-life.  He says that he thinks abortion is wrong, but that it should be legal.  The Pro-choice / pro-life divide is about whether abortion should be legal, not whether abortion is desirable.
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
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« Reply #57 on: July 09, 2015, 10:05:25 PM »

Bernie Sanders wins at least one non-Vermont primary/caucus. Scott Walker wins several rust belt primaries but comes up short elsewhere.

Trump runs away with the Republican nomination and ultimately wins the general election with over 300 electoral votes.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #58 on: July 22, 2015, 04:44:27 AM »

Iowa: Scott Walker
New Hampshire: John Kasich
South Carolina: Jeb Bush
Nevada: Marco Rubio
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ViaActiva
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« Reply #59 on: July 22, 2015, 05:59:11 AM »

Walker and Bush underperform significantly against expectations, while Rubio soars, projecting a modern image and 'fresh start' for the GOP. Iowa potentially won by Cruz. The later stages of the contest come down to Rubio vs. Cruz, with Rubio taking the nomination.

Bernie Sanders comes close in Iowa and wins New Hampshire, dragging Clinton into a long primary battle that Clinton wins by a fair but unsettling margin. It is a far closer contest than anyone expected (see the current panic about left-winger Jeremy Corbyn leading polls for the Labour leadership in the UK).

Clinton, as in 2008, runs an uninspiring and uncharismatic campaign and is narrowly defeated by the GOP in the election, much to the shock and dismay of many observers.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #60 on: July 22, 2015, 06:02:13 AM »

2016 Dream election
- Bernie wins nomination
- Bush wins nomination
- Trump runs as independent
- Bernie wins GE
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Donnie
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« Reply #61 on: July 22, 2015, 06:07:57 AM »

Trump will launch a third-party bid if Bush is the GOP nominee.
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whanztastic
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« Reply #62 on: July 22, 2015, 08:01:32 AM »

The GOP primaries won't be settled by the convention.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #63 on: July 22, 2015, 08:25:06 AM »

The first 5 primaries/caucuses are won by 4 different candidates (IA, NH, SC, NV, NC), after which Bush's support shifts to Rubio before Super Tuesday and Bush performs poorly and drops out. Rubio goes on to clinch the nomination after finally surviving a three-way between Cruz and Paul later in April.
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Donald Trump 2016 !
captainkangaroo
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« Reply #64 on: July 22, 2015, 08:31:07 AM »

The General Election is Trump/Christie vs. Sanders/De Blasio and it's gonna be huuuuge.
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mencken
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« Reply #65 on: July 22, 2015, 08:58:56 AM »

Bobby Jindal finishes in the top three in Iowa.
Rod Blum and Cresent Hardy are both re-elected.
The 2016 general election winner receives fewer votes than George W. Bush in his re-election bid.
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Xing
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« Reply #66 on: July 22, 2015, 02:16:55 PM »

Polls have a 4-point Republican bias (due to trying to compensate for the 2014 results), and 80% of the members of this forum predict a Bush win, while Clinton actually wins by about the same margin as Obama '12. The average prediction on this site gets 6 senate races wrong: people predict that Democrats only pick up IL and WI, and lose NV. Democrats actually win IL, WI, NH, FL, PA, OH, and (due to McCain getting primaried) AZ.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #67 on: July 22, 2015, 02:47:43 PM »

Bold: Hickenlooper secures VP spot and Castro gets the Attney General spot. But, Hick or Castro secures a slot with Clinton team, as she narrowly holds off Jeb or Christie.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #68 on: July 24, 2015, 06:12:38 PM »

- Hillary wins Dem. Nomination
- Bush wins GOP Nomination
- Clinton chooses Julian Castro as VP
- Bush chooses either Rubio or Ayotte as VP
- Clinton wins with either 303, 318 or 332 electoral votes (give or take NC and FL, most likely 303, 347 very unlikely but possible)

I don't see Americans electing another Bush after G.W.'s 8 years.


JJeb's not going to pick Rubio as his running mate because Florida's Republican electors can't vote for two people from the same state. That means that if Jeb wins the electoral vote narrowly, Democrats might select the Vice President.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #69 on: July 24, 2015, 06:27:02 PM »

Hillary loses the general election by more than 100 electoral votes.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #70 on: July 24, 2015, 09:20:38 PM »

Hillary loses the general election by more than 100 electoral votes.

Who wins?

Any of them, but more likely Walker or Rubio than Bush.
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Kleine Scheiße
PeteHam
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« Reply #71 on: July 24, 2015, 09:26:31 PM »

George Pataki stays in until the bitter end and doesn't even endorse the eventual nominee.

Bob Ehrlich announces candidacy a week before NH primary, comes in third or fourth.

Jim Webb actually wins one caucus/primary. Don't know which, but one of them.
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Kleine Scheiße
PeteHam
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« Reply #72 on: July 25, 2015, 01:29:19 PM »

O'Malley won't win, or even come close to it, in his home state.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #73 on: July 25, 2015, 01:46:21 PM »

O'Malley won't win, or even come close to it, in his home state.

That isn't particularly bold, given that Maryland's Primary is in late April (by which time Hillary Bernie will have almost certainly locked up the nomination).
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #74 on: July 25, 2015, 03:51:04 PM »
« Edited: July 25, 2015, 03:56:42 PM by OC »

Hilary isnt gonna lose, she will win 272-266 electors😍
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