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Author Topic: Bold predictions.  (Read 19264 times)
Senator Cris
Cris
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« on: June 29, 2015, 02:55:42 AM »

What are your bold predictions for 2016 (primary/general)?
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2015, 03:21:09 AM »

I'll start with one...

Rand Paul in 2016 will underperform Ron Paul in 2012 (votes and delegates)
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #2 on: June 29, 2015, 04:04:12 AM »

Trump wins NH
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Vern
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« Reply #3 on: June 29, 2015, 06:56:27 AM »

We will have our first Hispanic president and our first woman vice-president
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bballrox4717
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« Reply #4 on: June 29, 2015, 07:25:17 AM »

Obama's approval rating on election day > 50%.

Rand Paul in 2016 will underperform Ron Paul in 2012 (votes and delegates)

I really think you hit it right on the nail with this one. Paul seems lost right now.
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AelroseB
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« Reply #5 on: June 29, 2015, 07:29:47 AM »

Sanders carries 5+ states in the primary and Clinton loses the general election in an upset, despite a rise in personal approval to ~55%.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: June 29, 2015, 08:35:18 AM »
« Edited: June 29, 2015, 08:39:08 AM by OC »

Trump syphone off enough support from Jeb and Bernie; in open NH, and Christie becomes Clinton's opponent.

Christie who already said he will write off Co, loses 272-266, propelling Clinton in WH.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #7 on: June 29, 2015, 08:40:12 AM »

1. Rubio surges in Iowa polls in October/November
2. Rick Santorum comes in third place in Iowa
3. Christie surges in NH in August/September
4. Both nominees will pick safer, more conventional vice presidential choices that will get a yawn by the media
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #8 on: June 29, 2015, 08:57:46 AM »

Bernie sanders wins with 538 evs

Bernie sanders vp is Saul Alinsky

Bernie sanders abolished 22nd amendment and wins more than 2 terms
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #9 on: June 29, 2015, 09:56:28 AM »

Walker is out very early, months before Iowa, possibly even before the first debate.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #10 on: June 29, 2015, 10:28:03 AM »
« Edited: June 29, 2015, 11:05:13 AM by Mehmentum »

A major Republican candidate will completely implode.

The top 3 candidates in Iowa will be within 3% of each other.  

Either Christie or Kasich will have a 'Huntsmentum' moment in New Hampshire. (ie. They'll see a surge in polling last minute, but they'll end up falling far short)

Multiple GOP candidates won't take a hint on when to drop out, dragging out the race.


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Publius
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« Reply #11 on: June 29, 2015, 10:33:36 AM »

At least half the Republican field will have their turn leading the national polls before Iowa.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #12 on: June 29, 2015, 10:38:56 AM »

One of Bush, Rubio, Walker, and Paul will drop out before NH.
Biden will run
Fiorina will never be in a debate.
Only 12 candidates will still be running (for the republicans) on the morning of the iowa caucuses.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #13 on: June 29, 2015, 11:48:33 AM »
« Edited: June 30, 2015, 03:52:41 PM by Thinking Crumpets Crumpet »

-Hillary wins a McCain '08 state but loses an Obama '12 state.
-The winner of the Republican primary out-performs Romney and McCain.
-At least two candidates drop out by the end of the year due to scandals, rather than poor polling.
-Something about Bernie Sanders's past comes out to dramatically change his position in the primaries. I say this simply because he is one of the few candidates to not have had years of non-stop scrutiny and vetting from various campaigns.
-Should Bush, Rubio, or Cruz win the nomination they will garner less than 30% of the Hispanic vote.
-At some point during the term these candidates are running for (2017-2021), one of them will be in jail.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #14 on: June 29, 2015, 12:47:14 PM »

Ben Carson wins the Iowa caucus, Donald Trump is the frontrunner for some time between the debates and the first primary, Jeb Bush drops out before Florida, Rubio wraps up the nomination in mid-April.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #15 on: June 29, 2015, 01:11:23 PM »

Bernie Sanders wins, nominates Kshama Sawant as his VP, and founds the USSA.
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okierepublican
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« Reply #16 on: June 29, 2015, 01:12:39 PM »

1. The first three states are won by three different people. Iowa: Walker New Hampshire: bush South Carolina: Rubio and maybe Nevada goes Paul.
2. The GOP has its first brokered convention in 40 years and bush create a deal with Walker to win the nomination over second place rubio. Leading to a bush/Walker ticket.
3. Bernie wins New Hampshire, Vermont, Rhode Island, Massachusetts and one more.
4. Hillary nominates Castro.
5. Hillary wins with the Obama map minus Florida , Iowa, Ohio and Colorado leading to the closest elctoral margin in history, 270-268
6 and for fun, an elector goes rogue leading to the biggest constitutional crisis in the 21st century.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #17 on: June 29, 2015, 02:15:16 PM »

We will have our first Hispanic president and our first woman vice-president
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: June 29, 2015, 02:26:57 PM »

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Bakersfield Uber Alles
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #19 on: June 29, 2015, 03:02:36 PM »

Bernie Sanders will win NH, Vermont, Maine, Washington, Massachusetts, and Colorado in the primary. Warren will endorse him.

Webb will drop out right after South Carolina.

Chafee will drop out after New Hampshire.

O'Malley will drop out after New Hampshire.

Sanders may drop out around the beginning of April (Wisconsin is likely to be on April 5th) if he can't win WI.

I don't even want to touch the Republican side.

I think that Hillary will win the general election with over 50% of the vote and over 276 EVs.
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ShadowRocket
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« Reply #20 on: June 29, 2015, 03:06:50 PM »

Walker turns out to be the Rick Perry of this cycle

Christie wins the NH primary

Sanders narrowly beats Hillary in NH and goes on to win several other states

O'Malley, Webb, and Chafee all drop out before the end of the year
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Cryptic
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« Reply #21 on: June 29, 2015, 03:27:55 PM »

No one in the GOP primary will secure a majority of delegates before the convention.

Clinton carries every 2012 Obama state, making it the first time the electoral map was exactly the same two elections in a row.
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WVdemocrat
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« Reply #22 on: June 29, 2015, 04:01:44 PM »

Bernie gives Hillary a run for her money in the primary.

Hillary wins anyway.

Walker wins a few Upper Midwest states, but loses the primary.

Rubio doesn't win a single state.

Hillary faces off against Jeb in the general, wins.

Jeb's veep pick will be Hispanic (maybe Brian Sandoval or Marco Rubio). My money's on Sandoval.

Hillary's veep will be a white male. Probably Mark Warner or Tim Kaine. Maybe Michael Bennet. Most likely is Tim Kaine, to be completely honest.
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TomC
TCash101
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« Reply #23 on: June 29, 2015, 05:16:55 PM »

Hillary wins the electoral college; Bush wins popular vote, loses Ohio by 537 votes after recounts and court interventions. Republicans cry foul and call for repeal of the electoral college.
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Beet
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« Reply #24 on: June 29, 2015, 05:17:37 PM »

Hillary wins big.
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