Bold predictions.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clinton has consistently lead Trump by 3-6 pts; WSJ poll shows that from yesterday.

GOP want Biden, but he isnt in scrutiny like Clinton. And he continues to trail Clinton in a three way race. Good luck to that.

[Crumpets]

-Hillary wins a McCain '08 state but loses an Obama '12 state.
-The winner of the Republican primary out-performs Romney and McCain.
-At least two candidates drop out by the end of the year due to scandals, rather than poor polling.
-Something about Bernie Sanders's past comes out to dramatically change his position in the primaries. I say this simply because he is one of the few candidates to not have had years of non-stop scrutiny and vetting from various campaigns.
-Should Bush, Rubio, or Cruz win the nomination they will garner less than 30% of the Hispanic vote.
-At some point during the term these candidates are running for (2017-2021), one of them will be in jail.

Adding on to these:

- Biden will wait until December before deciding not to run.
- Either O'Malley or Webb will get their 15 minutes of fame as the "establishment alternative to Hillary" after Biden says he won't run, and get double digits in a couple of polls.
- No state in the Democratic primary will be decided by less than a majority; the winner will receive at least 50% of the vote in every state.
- A punch will be thrown by one of the candidates while on camera.

[NHI]

Rubio is the sleeper candidate. He wins the nomination, but loses the GE narrowly to Clinton. Perhaps a 270-268 scenario.

[Likely Voter]

Couple of Trump predictions:
- Trump refuses to participate in a debate because reasons
- Trump drops out before IA

[Crumpets]

Biden announces on September 21st that he will not run for President. He endorses Hillary Clinton.

Gilmore is the first Republican to drop out, due to lackluster polling numbers, fundraising and debate performances.

Chafee drops out following a disastrous performance at the first Democratic debate. Webb drops out the following month and endorses Clinton.

Jindal drops out in November, endorsing Huckabee and announcing his intent to run for Governor-elect Vitter's Senate seat.

Pataki suspends his campaign in December, followed by Perry and Carson in January.

Cruz and Sanders win Iowa; Rubio, Santorum and Walker drop out.

Bush and Sanders win New Hampshire; Christie, Fiorina and Kasich drop out and endorse Bush; O'Malley drops out and endorses Clinton.

Cruz and Clinton win South Carolina; likewise in Nevada. Graham, Paul and Trump drop out and endorse Cruz.

Huckabee wins Arkansas, but nothing else, on Super Tuesday; he suspends his campaign the following day. Cruz sweeps the rest of the South, as well as Colorado and Minnesota, emerging as the frontrunner.

Bush drops out after losing his home state of Florida to Cruz by a 53-46 margin.

Sanders crosses the delegate threshold with a win in New York in April. This causes Hillary Clinton to suffer a psychotic breakdown, in which she attempts to stab Bill to death with their stolen silverware. Both Clintons are subsequently arrested, tried, and given the federal death penalty after Hillary confesses to the murder of Vince Foster and other crimes.

Ted Cruz rallies the millions of conservatives who stayed home in 2012, and wins a 47-state landslide against Sanders. Sanders wins D.C., Hawaii, Massachusetts, and Vermont.

Bump

I'd just like to point out that this one was pretty darn accurate, although Webb ended up withdrawing just before Chafee. Good on Jonathan Swift.

[The Other Castro]

Ben Carson wins the Iowa caucus, Donald Trump is the frontrunner for some time between the debates and the first primary, Jeb Bush drops out before Florida, Rubio wraps up the nomination in mid-April.

I think mine is looking pretty good so far.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The Republican nominee wins New Hampshire.

[wolfsblood07]

Trump will having 0 delegates at the convention, and will not attend.  The nominee will be Rubio, Cruz, Christie or Bush.  And Trump will shut his mouth for the rest of the campaign.

[Broken System]

Trump overpolled because the typical Trump supporter doesn't leave the house. Mothers won't drive their Trump-supporting sons to the polls, and he significantly underperforms everywhere.

[Mike Thick]

The Republican nominee will not be Donald Trump.

Never thought this would be bold . I might be wrong, but isn't the point of this thread to laugh at your idiotic predictions six months later?

[This account no longer in use.]

- Sanders wins the Democratic nomination. Several posters here switch out their Clinton endorsements to endorse whoever the most moderate Republican still in the race is.
- Donald Trump's campaign crashes and burns after he loses big on Super Tuesday.
- Kasich ends up being the top establishment candidate in New Hampshire.
- Tactical voting ends up putting Cruz over the top in Iowa.

[Asian Nazi]

Big bold prediction:
Donald Trump will win the GOP nomination, successfully pivot to the center, and win the general election against Hillary Clinton

Less bold predictions:
NH will vote more Republican than PA
Black turnout will actually increase from 2012
No third party will get above 1% of the popular vote
Age 18-29 voters will trend hard towards the GOP, but still remain Democrat overall

[Mike Thick]

The Democratic primary will be MUCH closer than most pundits and pollsters think, Sanders will either outright win Iowa and New Hampshire or come a very close second and it will cause doubts as to Clinton's strength leading Democrats to reconsider their support for her.

Pretty good, if you ask me.

[/]

West Virginia will elect a Democratic governor in November and Vermont will elect a Republican one.

[YPestis25]

Sanders will lead in at least one serious national poll between now and Iowa.

I might have been just a little bit off.

[Mike Thick]

Sanders will lead in at least one serious national poll between now and Iowa.

I might have been just a little bit off.

Hey, you never know. It's close enough that it's possible, if unlikely...

[100% pro-life no matter what]

-Donald Trump will drop out by mid-March NOPE
-Bernie Sanders will win Iowa (maybe) and New Hampshire, but then get clobbered after that Not the worst prediction in the world, as he did tie Iowa and win New Hampshire)
-Marco Rubio and Hillary Clinton will be the nominees Half-right counts for something?
-Pennsylvania, Michigan, Colorado, Iowa, and Minnesota trend (relative towards the nation as a whole) strongly to the GOP, while Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Virginia, and Nevada move quickly Democratic. A mixed bag- I am certainly right on Iowa, Michigan, and Virginia and wrong on Nevada, but it's hard to tell for the rest
-Maine's 2nd District will be won by Rubio If you change Rubio to "a Republican", this might be my best one
-Young voters (18-29) turn out at a lower rate than in 2012, but Rubio still receives more votes than Romney did.  Rubio even wins the 18-24 vote. Unclear.  Trump won't win any segment of the young vote, but he probably won't get clobbered by as much as Romney did.  Turnout will likely be down as well
-Marco Rubio is elected president handily and is re-elected in 2020 If interpreted as "Republicans will win", we shall see, but it won't be Marco Rubio

Really bold prediction:
-Abortion is generally illegal in the majority of the states by the end of Rubio's second term Maybe abortion will be banned under President Rubio someday?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Couple of Trump predictions:
- Trump refuses to participate in a debate because reasons
- Trump drops out before IA

Well done on that one.

-Donald Trump will drop out by mid-March
-Bernie Sanders will win Iowa (maybe) and New Hampshire, but then get clobbered after that
-Marco Rubio and Hillary Clinton will be the nominees
-Pennsylvania, Michigan, Colorado, Iowa, and Minnesota trend (relative towards the nation as a whole) strongly to the GOP, while Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Virginia, and Nevada move quickly Democratic.
-Maine's 2nd District will be won by Rubio
-Young voters (18-29) turn out at a lower rate than in 2012, but Rubio still receives more votes than Romney did.  Rubio even wins the 18-24 vote.
-Marco Rubio is elected president handily and is re-elected in 2020

Really bold prediction:
-Abortion is generally illegal in the majority of the states by the end of Rubio's second term

Might want to step outside for a while a reconsider.

[The Other Castro]

-Trump will not win IA, and will win by less than a 5 point margin in NH
-Sanders will carry at least 20 states in the Democratic primaries, including IA, NH, and NV
-Bloomberg will enter the race on March 3rd, but withdraw before the general election
-Only one establishment candidate will win some state(s), but it won't be Rubio
-A Democrat wins the general election with over 300 electoral votes

[Leinad]

-Cruz will win Iowa comfortably.
-Sanders will win IA and NH (not sure how bold that one really is, though).
-Gary Johnson will break 1%. Make it 2% if it's Clinton vs. Trump.
-In the general election, Hillary Clinton will beat Ted Cruz, but lose re-election in 2020.
-After the 2020 election, Republicans will have 60 Senate seats (assuming my prediction of Hillary winning is correct).
-At some point, Leinad will get elected to the Georgia state house, but spend most of his term trying to legalize/abolish something that already got legalized/abolished.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems will have 51 senators after 2016
Dems will net lose one seat in 2018, and Kate Marshall becomes new Senator of NV
2020 Dems,after Kennedy retires & Clinton reelected will have 5-4 Majority on SCOTUS, with Kennedy & Ginnsberg leaving.  Lorretta Lynch will be on there.

[Slow Learner]

Trump wins Iowa by double digits and goes on to carry every state.

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

In a 3 way race, Bloomberg will win.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

GOP Primary
-Rubio finishes a strong third in Iowa with more then 20% of the vote
-Trump wins NH by less the 5%, with Kasich in second
-Cruz drops out right after Super Tuesday
-Despite his strong start Rubio drops out after Super Tuesday  endorsing Kasich
-John Kasich win the GOP Nomination, despite just barley getting a majority of delegates.  Kasich  goes on to pick Ted Cruz as his running mate.

Democratic Nomination
-Saunders wins Iowa by 3 points and wins NH by 9
-Clinton wins the next 2 contests, as well as everything on Super Tuesday except for   Massachusetts and Minnesota
-Hillary Clinton is the presumptive nominee  by the end of March, selecting Florida Senator  Bill Nelson as her running mate

General Election
Kasich wins the Presidential Election after trailing by 5 points at the beginning of September.  holds all the  Romney 2012 states, while picking up Ohio, Florida and Iowa,  Wisconsin and Colorado. Narrowly loosing NH, Michigan and Minnesota.

Democrats have a  net gain of 4 seats in the House

Paul Ryan stays on as speaker of the house, meanwhile Nancy Pelosi steps down as Minority House Leader.

In the senate the GOP gains Nevada and Colorado , while the Democrats gain Illinois and Pennsylvania

In the Governors Races The Democrats win the governors race in North Carolina, while the GOP win in Missouri and West Virginia.

[Vern]

Rubio wins Iowa with Cruz and Trump to follow.
Kasich wins NH followed by Trump then Rubio
Cruz wins SC by a big margin
Rubio wins NV with Kasich to follow