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Author Topic: Bold predictions.  (Read 19371 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,732
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« on: June 29, 2015, 11:48:33 AM »
« edited: June 30, 2015, 03:52:41 PM by Thinking Crumpets Crumpet »

-Hillary wins a McCain '08 state but loses an Obama '12 state.
-The winner of the Republican primary out-performs Romney and McCain.
-At least two candidates drop out by the end of the year due to scandals, rather than poor polling.
-Something about Bernie Sanders's past comes out to dramatically change his position in the primaries. I say this simply because he is one of the few candidates to not have had years of non-stop scrutiny and vetting from various campaigns.
-Should Bush, Rubio, or Cruz win the nomination they will garner less than 30% of the Hispanic vote.
-At some point during the term these candidates are running for (2017-2021), one of them will be in jail.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,732
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2015, 05:55:31 PM »

Chafee drops out following a disastrous performance at the first Democratic debate.

Just curious, what would a disastrous performance look like for Chafee? Does he call Hillary the c-word? Declare sodomy an abomination and declare his support for NSA cameras in every bedroom? Reveal he is behind the recent arsons of black churches?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,732
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2015, 04:35:57 PM »

-Hillary wins a McCain '08 state but loses an Obama '12 state.
-The winner of the Republican primary out-performs Romney and McCain.
-At least two candidates drop out by the end of the year due to scandals, rather than poor polling.
-Something about Bernie Sanders's past comes out to dramatically change his position in the primaries. I say this simply because he is one of the few candidates to not have had years of non-stop scrutiny and vetting from various campaigns.
-Should Bush, Rubio, or Cruz win the nomination they will garner less than 30% of the Hispanic vote.
-At some point during the term these candidates are running for (2017-2021), one of them will be in jail.

Adding on to these:

- Biden will wait until December before deciding not to run.
- Either O'Malley or Webb will get their 15 minutes of fame as the "establishment alternative to Hillary" after Biden says he won't run, and get double digits in a couple of polls.
- No state in the Democratic primary will be decided by less than a majority; the winner will receive at least 50% of the vote in every state.
- A punch will be thrown by one of the candidates while on camera.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,732
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2015, 12:11:53 PM »

Biden announces on September 21st that he will not run for President. He endorses Hillary Clinton.

Gilmore is the first Republican to drop out, due to lackluster polling numbers, fundraising and debate performances.

Chafee drops out following a disastrous performance at the first Democratic debate. Webb drops out the following month and endorses Clinton.

Jindal drops out in November, endorsing Huckabee and announcing his intent to run for Governor-elect Vitter's Senate seat.

Pataki suspends his campaign in December, followed by Perry and Carson in January.

Cruz and Sanders win Iowa; Rubio, Santorum and Walker drop out.

Bush and Sanders win New Hampshire; Christie, Fiorina and Kasich drop out and endorse Bush; O'Malley drops out and endorses Clinton.

Cruz and Clinton win South Carolina; likewise in Nevada. Graham, Paul and Trump drop out and endorse Cruz.

Huckabee wins Arkansas, but nothing else, on Super Tuesday; he suspends his campaign the following day. Cruz sweeps the rest of the South, as well as Colorado and Minnesota, emerging as the frontrunner.

Bush drops out after losing his home state of Florida to Cruz by a 53-46 margin.

Sanders crosses the delegate threshold with a win in New York in April. This causes Hillary Clinton to suffer a psychotic breakdown, in which she attempts to stab Bill to death with their stolen silverware. Both Clintons are subsequently arrested, tried, and given the federal death penalty after Hillary confesses to the murder of Vince Foster and other crimes.

Ted Cruz rallies the millions of conservatives who stayed home in 2012, and wins a 47-state landslide against Sanders. Sanders wins D.C., Hawaii, Massachusetts, and Vermont.

Bump

I'd just like to point out that this one was pretty darn accurate, although Webb ended up withdrawing just before Chafee. Good on Jonathan Swift.
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