Question for jimrtx, or anyone else who knows this stuff better than I do:
I was thinking about the longshot "no one finishes the primaries with a majority of delegates" scenario. If you go to the Atlas's "results" page for the 2012 GOP primaries, Romney only has 51.3% of the delegates. A whopping 29% are "unallocated". Who are these unallocated delegates? I'm assuming that some of them are the three party officials for each state, but also unbound delegates from caucus states, and unbound delegates from states like Pennsylvania which have wonky rules about delegate selection?
Given that the RNC now requires the straw poll results in caucus states to bind the votes of delegates in those states, I'm assuming that this "unallocated" number will be significantly smaller than 29% this time? Any idea how much smaller?
And are these people likely to be pro-establishment candidates? Or not?
Some of those are listed as unallocated because Dave only binds caucus delegates at the convention level, and he often doesn't have results for those. For example, Washington's 40 delegates are never allocated on the 2012 results page. Similarly with Iowa and Maine. There are also a bunch of "unallocated" delegates on some of the conventions pages, e.g. Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado.
