BK Analytics: Special Election Tracker July 2015

[Bacon King]

last voter: me

First round
majority: 39

30 Kalwejt
23 Dkrolga
13 Poirot
12 Harry S Truman

Second Round
majority: 38.5

38 Kalwejt
25 Dkrolga
14 Poirot
(1 exhausted)

Third Round
majority: 38.5

42 Kalwejt WINNER
35 DKrolga
(1 exhausted)

[Bacon King]

last voter: TexasGurl

First round
majority: 46

35 Kalwejt
27 Dkrolga
16 Harry S Truman
14 Poirot

Second Round
majority: 46

36 Dkrolga
35 Kalwejt
21 Harry S Truman

Third Round
majority: 45.5

48 Kalwejt WINNER
43 DKrolga
(1 exhausted)

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

What are the final results?

(I do suck in counting stuff )

[windjammer]

You won by 2 according to me.

So likely by 3-4 (because it appears I haven't counted all the votes)

[Adam Griffin]

What are the final results?

(I do suck in counting stuff )

Going off of BK's count only:

51 Kalwejt
47 DKrolga

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

You won by 2 according to me.

So likely by 3-4 (because it appears I haven't counted all the votes)

Wow, it was really close after all. I'm really curious of the official final count.

[windjammer]

You won by 2 according to me.

So likely by 3-4 (because it appears I haven't counted all the votes)

Wow, it was really close after all. I'm really curious of the official final count.

Well,
This is what happens when Jomcar basically can cast 4-5 votes .

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

fun fact: there were zero [1] kalwejt [2] dkrolga voters, and only one [1] dkrolga [2] kalwejt voter (dereich).

the polarization is real.

[Adam Griffin]

Another interesting observation is that this could have easily been a Dkrol win had the rest of the game that voted against Kalwejt actually bothered to engage with their voters in some capacity instead of spending all weekend pipedreaming about a new game. Labor (at least at the time each individual voter cast his or her ballot) was 35% of the electorate - I think that's the largest share we've ever seen - and we still only won by 4. In terms of Labor turnout as a share of the party, we were about average in turnout (actually higher than the presidential election, which was embarrassing). I count somewhere between 15-20 "missing" votes in terms of who should have turned out for the game to have the same turnout as Labor did. I haven't actually broken down vote preferences by party and faction but it looks Kal only got about a quarter of the non-Labor vote.

It would have been a bloodbath had anybody else actually tried.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Lol, the second person just voted after the time expired.

[Talleyrand]

Ugh. I missed voting. Had I been able to, I would have voted for Kalwejt, who was the only candidate who responded affirmatively to a full reset of the game, although Truman and DKrol have been receptive to at least some change, so that's a start.

[Blair]

You won by 2 according to me.

So likely by 3-4 (because it appears I haven't counted all the votes)

Wow, it was really close after all. I'm really curious of the official final count.

Well,
This is what happens when Jomcar basically can cast 4-5 votes .

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

You won by 2 according to me.

So likely by 3-4 (because it appears I haven't counted all the votes)

Wow, it was really close after all. I'm really curious of the official final count.

Well,
This is what happens when Jomcar basically can cast 4-5 votes .

actually two of the peru'd brood voted for poirot

[Poirot]

There was a pre-election poll showing I could win in the last round. It could have been just a good polling sample for me (maybe my demographic voters have landlines). Now that votes are in, in reality, did I have enough high preferences to come close to winning if I made it to the last round? 

[Bacon King]

There was a pre-election poll showing I could win in the last round. It could have been just a good polling sample for me (maybe my demographic voters have landlines). Now that votes are in, in reality, did I have enough high preferences to come close to winning if I made it to the last round? 

I haven't looked in detail, but basically you would need a dozen more first preference votes to even make it to the last round, and more votes than that to win it