New Hampshire Primary 2016
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
Hillary will win by a larger margin than in 2008
 
#2
Hillary will win but with the same or smaller margin as 2008
 
#3
Hillary will lose in New Hampshire
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 46

Author Topic: New Hampshire Primary 2016  (Read 1435 times)
H. Ross Peron
General Mung Beans
Junior Chimp
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« on: July 10, 2015, 04:46:53 AM »

How will Hillary Clinton do in the New Hampshire in 2016 compared to her performance in 2008?
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #1 on: July 10, 2015, 08:03:36 AM »

I could really see any of these happening.
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oeoyeleye
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« Reply #2 on: July 10, 2015, 09:31:42 AM »

I think any of these are possible, but I think it's still more likely for Hillary to have a 4 or 5 point victory margin. If Bernie does win, though, I think it'll be huge.
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
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« Reply #3 on: July 10, 2015, 12:41:13 PM »

NH is kind to political outsiders. Buchanan won it in '96 and I think Sanders has a very good shot of winning it in '16.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #4 on: July 10, 2015, 12:51:25 PM »

NH is kind to political outsiders. Buchanan won it in '96 and I think Sanders has a very good shot of winning it in '16.
It seems like recently, NH has been better for the 'establishment candidate.  In 2000, Gore won it.  In 2004, Kerry won it.  In 2008, McCain and Clinton won it.  In 2012, Romney won it.

Iowa seems to be more likely to favor insurgent candidates, at least recently.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #5 on: July 10, 2015, 01:05:55 PM »

Option 1 is most likely. 
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: July 10, 2015, 01:09:35 PM »

NH is kind to political outsiders. Buchanan won it in '96 and I think Sanders has a very good shot of winning it in '16.
It seems like recently, NH has been better for the 'establishment candidate.  In 2000, Gore won it.  In 2004, Kerry won it.  In 2008, McCain and Clinton won it.  In 2012, Romney won it.

Iowa seems to be more likely to favor insurgent candidates, at least recently.
To be honest, I feel that Bernie Sanders is a much better fit for New Hampshire than Iowa. I don't think that he will win the primary in either state when all is said and done though.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #7 on: July 10, 2015, 02:26:33 PM »

I'm going to go with Option 2.  I think Bernie is strong enough of a candidate, and being from neighboring Vermont helps, that he could make inroads in NH and make the Hillary camp sweat a bit, but I think at the end of the day Hillary is just too strong of a candidate to lose the state.  I wouldn't be surprised if any of the three scenarios happen, but my gut is telling me scenario 2.
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