1924: McAdoo/Smith vs Harding/Coolidge vs La Follette/Wheeler

[Incipimus iterum]

Democrats Choose Fmr. Treasury Secretary William McAdoo of California for President and Governor Al Smith of New York for Vice President. Harding does not die and is renominated with Coolidge as his running mate. Progressives choose the same Ticket as in OTL. Discuss with maps.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Harding isn't quite as strong a candidate as Coolidge would be, seeing as there's still a little mistrust out of teapot dome and the like.  But it's not fatal, as Harding is generally seen as having exercised bad judgement in his trust of others rather than being corrupt himself, and economic times are good. 

McAdoo's progressive stances bite some into La Folette's strength.  The selection of Smith as his running mate is a double-edged sword: It brings in Catholics and other traditional Democratic voters in the North who are unsure about McAdoo and the party in general post-Wilson, but diminishes support in the South among the more xenophobic and elsewhere who are otherwise supporters of McAdoo. Still McAdoo does not have any trouble carrying the Solid South . . . but the Republicans are too strong in the rest of the country to be beaten.

Harding/Coolidge         51%   353
McAdoo/Smith             35%   165
La Follette/Wheeler      13%     13

[Sir Mohamed]

Coolidge would have been replaced as vice presidential nominee in 1924.

[Podgy the Bear]

I would say the above map looks reasonably accurate.  This reflects the consolidation of the North, East, and West against the Solid South.

The Republicans of 1924 were simply too powerful and probably at their high water mark--only matched by the Democrats of the mid-1930s and mid-1960s.