Burma General Election - November 8, 2015

[ag]

We'll have the result for the remaining seats by "November 20, at the latest"

But very little is remaining: including only 1 seat in the national parliament (or 3 - some minor disagreement on that i. what I have seen), I believe, and a few more state and ethnic affairs  seats - all in Kachin State. Apparently, they are delivering ballot boxes from the remote areas on foot.

Pretty much everything has been announced today and yesterday. What is left is not going to change anything. USDP together with the military will control Shan state and ANP nearly swept Arakan. We still need to wait for Kachin, though NLD is ahead there - there might be a need for a coalition with the local parties. Everywhere else, it seems, it is NLD.

[Famous Mortimer]

Arakan National Party is a merger of the Arakan League for Democracy, which won 11 seats in 1990 and boycotted 2010, and the Rakhine Nationalities Development Party, which took part in the 2010 election (although it was not particularly pro-military) and won 8 seats. They won more seats together than either had won alone, so merger was a good move for them.

Shan Nationalities Democratic Party was dumb not to try to merge with the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy, although I suspect the SNDP was probably more pro-military than the RNDP.

[ag]

So, this seems to be the result, except for 11 Kachin state seats still walking all the way to Naypyidaw.

Chin State
AH: NLD 9, Zomi Congress 2,  USDP 1
PH: NLD 7, Zomi Congress 2
State: NLD 12 USDP 4, Zomi Congress 2

Kachin State
AH: NLD 10, Ind. 1, undeclared 1
PH: NLD 12, USDP 2, Lisu NDP 1, Kachin SDP 1, undeclared 2
State: NLD 21, USDP 5, Kachin State DP 3, UDP of Kachin State 1, Lisu NDP 1, SNLD 1, undeclared 4
Ethnic affairs: undeclared 4

Kayah State
AH: NLD 9, USDP 2, Ind 1
PH: NLD 6, USDP 1
State: NLD 11, USDP 3
Ethnic Affairs: USDP 1

[ag]

Kayin State
AH: NLD 10, USDP 2
PH: NLD 6, USDP 1
State: NLD 10, USDP 3, Kayin PP 1
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 3

Mon State
AH: NLD 11, Mon National Party 1
PH: NLD 10
State: NLD 16, Mon National Party 2, USDP 1, All Mon Democracy Party 1
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 3

Rakhine State
AH: Arakan National Party 10, NLD 1, USDP 1
PH: Arakan National Party 12, NLD 4, USDP 1
State: Arakan National Party 24, NLD 6, USDP 3, Ind. 1
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Shan State
AH: USDP 4, NLD 3, SNLD 3, Pa O National Org. 1, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 1
PH: USDP 15, NLD 13, SNLD 12,Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 3, Pa O Nat. Org. 2, Wa DP 1, Kokang DUP 1, canceled 7
State: USDP 32, SNLD 25, NLD 21, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 7, Pa O NO 6, Wa DP 2, Wa NUP 1, Kokang DUP 1, Lahu NDP 1, canceled 14
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 2, USDP 1, Lisu NDP 1, Lahu NDP 1, Akha NDP 1, Ind 1

[ag]

Ayeyarawady
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 25, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 49, USDP 3
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 2

Bago
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 27, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 54, USDP 2
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Magwe
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 25
Regional: NLD 50
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Mandalay
AH: NLD 10, USDP 2
PH: NLD 31, USDP 5
Regional: NLD 47, USDP 8, DPM 1
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Sagaing
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 36, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 68, USDP 5, Tai-Leng NDP 1
Ethnic Affairs: NDL 1, Tai-Leng NDP 1

Tanintharyi
AH: NLD 12
PH:  NLD 10
Regional: NLD 20
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1

Yangon
AH: NLD 12
PH: NLD 44, USDP 1
Regional: NLD 87, USDP 3
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 1, Arakan National Party 1

[ag]

Final Kachin state results. USDP picks up one seat in the lower house and 2 state seats, and another Bamar party (NUP) picks its first seat anywhere (in the upper house). Lisu NDP gets a lower house and a state seat, and  NLD gets 5 state seats, including all 4 ethnic affairs ministers. NLD is one seat short of absolute majority in the state parliament.

Kachin State
AH: NLD 10, NUP 1, Ind. 1
PH: NLD 12, USDP 3, Lisu NDP 2, Kachin SDP 1
State: NLD 22, USDP 7, Kachin State DP 3, Lisu NDP 2, UDP of Kachin State 1, SNLD 1, undeclared 4
Ethnic affairs: NLD 4

[ag]

Vote recount in Shan state corrects one AH result. USDP loses 1, an ethnic party gains 1.


Shan State
AH: USDP 3, NLD 3, SNLD 3, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 2,  Pa O National Org. 1,
PH: USDP 15, NLD 13, SNLD 12,Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 3, Pa O Nat. Org. 2, Wa DP 1, Kokang DUP 1, canceled 7
State: USDP 32, SNLD 25, NLD 21, Ta'arng (Palaung) NP 7, Pa O NO 6, Wa DP 2, Wa NUP 1, Kokang DUP 1, Lahu NDP 1, canceled 14
Ethnic Affairs: NLD 2, USDP 1, Lisu NDP 1, Lahu NDP 1, Akha NDP 1, Ind 1

[Simfan34]

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