How Many Terms Does the Second Coming of Feingold Serve?

[Free Bird]

He will win next year. No discussion there. How many terms after that, though? It is odd when someone returns from a hiatus but stays a shorter tenure than previously.

[MT Treasurer]

He will win next year. No discussion there.

Okay, Governor Crist.

If he wins, probably 2 terms.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

He will win next year. No discussion there.

Okay, Governor Crist.

Okay, Senator Braley.

[Xing]

Ha, I see what you guys did there. Assuming he wins (yes, it's not a safe assumption, but it's a reasonable prediction, at this point,) probably two or three terms.

[MATTROSE94]

Russ Feingold might serve as Senator for the rest of his life assuming that he defeats Ron Johnson in 2016.

[CapoteMonster]

I'll go with 3 and say he either loses or calls it quits in 2034.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

I could see him having another midterm problem in 2022. Same with Baldwin in 2018.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I could see him having another midterm problem in 2022. Same with Baldwin in 2018.

We will see wont we, but Scott Walker isnt gonna be governor, and all except Iowa, are on the table for Dems, in terms of governorships. WI or OH as well as LD pickups in IL and MI will be contested.

Mr Obama, who havent had much success lately, in midterms, wont be in office. First president since Reagan to have back to back bad midterms.

Clinton, hopefully, with her blue collar roots can be more competetive with Dems in Congress.

[ElectionsGuy]

Are we seriously assuming Feingold will win? In any case, if he does win he'll probably be a one or two termer, being too old after a while or being defeated.

[Maxwell]

Feingold is certainly not for sure (probably an 70% chance), but so far he's running strongly.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

And Clinton who polls like Obama in WI, should win the state. It will be 51-47 Feingold.

[Fuzzy Bear]

I believe Feingold will be elected.  Somewhere along the line, however, WI voters developed a problem with Feingold.  I don't think he's a guy that can win without National Ticket coattails anymore.  Ron Johnson was never a top-tier opponent.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I believe Feingold will be elected.  Somewhere along the line, however, WI voters developed a problem with Feingold.  I don't think he's a guy that can win without National Ticket coattails anymore.  Ron Johnson was never a top-tier opponent.

So, you're saying Johnson will run ahead of the republican presidential nominee? That's certainly going out on a limb.

[Free Bird]

My prediction is that he serves the same amount of time as his first run. Retirement at 80 seems pretty sweet.

[andrew_c]

Probably 2 terms or so, but he may run for President in 2020 if the Dems lose next year.

[Zioneer]

Probably 2 terms or so, but he may run for President in 2020 if the Dems lose next year.

That would be my guess as well, though I'm not sure if he would run for president even then.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

1 term with Hillary at the very least, in a first term.Then, a freshman Dem gov is groomed to take over for Baldwin or Feingold.

[SATW]

I think Feingold wins 54 to 44% in 2016, and like 53-45% if Walker is nominee. Him losing is unlikely but not impossible, obviously. I think a presidential race helps Feingold cement a bit of a lead, but he won't blow him out by like 20 pts or whatever.

Also, I see him serving 2 more terms.

[Free Bird]

1 term with Hillary at the very least, in a first term.Then, a freshman Dem gov is groomed to take over for Baldwin or Feingold.

Umm, Feingold's term would last into 2022, which could be Hillary's six year itch. If your messiah is elected, Baldwin could be in very real danger in 2018. By the way, this thread had NOTHING to do with her.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Baldwin beat a frm gov in Tommy Thompson. And Scott Walker who was unbeatable as gov wont be running. Dems will have trouble in Conservative states especially with Tester.

I see Baldwin, Stabenow getting reelected.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tester is the one most likely to go and then, Bill Nelson who might retire. Due to Gwen Graham being groomed. Mnt went 2:1 GOP in 2014 nxt to SD and WVa.

[Bojack Horseman]

Maybe one, probably two.

[ElectionsGuy]

I believe Feingold will be elected.  Somewhere along the line, however, WI voters developed a problem with Feingold.  I don't think he's a guy that can win without National Ticket coattails anymore.  Ron Johnson was never a top-tier opponent.

So, you're saying Johnson will run ahead of the republican presidential nominee? That's certainly going out on a limb.

Is it? I think its expected.

[MT Treasurer]

Feingold lost in 2010, he almost lost in 1998 as well. He didn't run ahead of the Democratic nominee in 1992 either. Why does everyone expect him to crush Johnson by 15+ points just because he is so well-known in the state and a Marquette poll finds him ahead by a questionable margin?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Feingold lost in 2010, he almost lost in 1998 as well. He didn't run ahead of the Democratic nominee in 1992 either. Why does everyone expect him to crush Johnson by 15+ points just because he is so well-known in the state and a Marquette poll finds him ahead by a questionable margin?

I'm not saying Johnson will lose by 15 points. But he's got himself into a situation such that the only way I can currently see him pulling through is on the coattails of a Republican presidential victory in Wisconsin. I don't expect him to run a TON behind the republican presidential nominee - just like 2 or 3 points - but saying he'll run ahead of the nominee, that's something that's hard to see at this stage.

Of course, it's early yet, so anything's possible, which is why I only have this at Lean D. But Johnson has just not built up the moderate profile that Kirk and Toomey have, and that makes it tough for him to survive.