Florida 2016 Congressional Elections

[Donerail]

Muon makes a fair point about a lot of the discussion of Florida's races being in the FL megathread on the Gubernatorial/Statewide board. Discuss the horrifying spectacle that is Florida's congressional elections here.

[RogueBeaver]

Crist is running for CD13 and wants another statewide run in the future.

[Free Bird]

Crist is running for CD13 and wants another statewide run in the future.

So, he's using this as a springboard for 2018. Not a wise move if a Democrat wins the White House in 2016, but otherwise not a bad idea.

[The Other Castro]

Obama should just send him to Cuba and be done with it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rubio was never gonna be president anyways. Now, with Crist, as a statewide official, Dems can adequately field a good race against him or Putman.

Dems chances would have bleaker, relying on freshman Gwen Graham chances.

[SATW]

ugh, I hate Crist.

[Free Bird]

Rubio was never gonna be president anyways. Now, with Crist, as a statewide official, Dems can adequately field a good race against him or Putman.

Dems chances would have bleaker, relying on freshman Gwen Graham chances.

What the inks does A have to do with B

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Obama should just send him to Cuba and be done with it.

Actually, Cuban Ambassador might be a better idea for him.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Crist will probably be a green or libertarian eventually. The guy is more of a flip-flopper than Romney, does not have a firm conviction on any issue, and deserves to lose in a landslide next year.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This district is taylored made for Crist which includes his home. While the House is gonna stay GOP, Crist is using this as a springboard for another gubernatorial run. 

[SATW]

Crist will probably be a green or libertarian eventually. The guy is more of a flip-flopper than Romney, does not have a firm conviction on any issue, and deserves to lose in a landslide next year.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There are a number of Dems running for this district, and hopefully a better nominee will be chosen.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Crist actually won a bare majority (50.3%) in in the current version of FL-13 during his last gubernatorial run.   And since the district will likely become more left-friendly during the special redistricting, it will be a prime pick-up opportunity regardless of who the Democrats run.  

[ajc0918]

Charlie Crist has 75/15 approval rating in likely new FL-13 district, he is also leading a three way democratic primary with 73% to Eric Lynn's 10% and possible candidate Dwight Dudley's 8%.

http://www.saintpetersblog.com/archives/235963

..and the rest is Cristory

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Due to the Jolly retirement, Sabato moves FL-13 from Likely R to Toss-Up (ratings are based on current district lines until the new map is finalized)

[Green Line]

Why do the democrats like Crist so much? This man stands for NOTHING. He has changed his mind on every major position in the last 5 years. He is so blatantly after power for its own sake that its a joke. This is going to be a democratic leaning district and they certainly dont need Crist in order to win it, so why go back to him? I dont get it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He can self fundraise, but has toxic approvals.

[Donerail]

He can self fundraise, but has toxic approvals.

Neither of these are true. He's not that rich and his approvals are very high.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was saying he is polarizing, not toxic, anyway, he can win in a Dem friendly year like 2016 as opposed to R yrs in a polarized environment like 2014.

But, he wasnt recruited to run for senate.

[Vega]

He can self fundraise, but has toxic approvals.

Neither of these are true. He's not that rich and his approvals are very high.

1.25 million dollars is pretty good for a congressman, and I think he meant personal favorability ratings.

[Donerail]

He can self fundraise, but has toxic approvals.

Neither of these are true. He's not that rich and his approvals are very high.

1.25 million dollars is pretty good for a congressman, and I think he meant personal favorability ratings.

The average cost of winning a House seat is well above that (and regardless, Crist can't liquidate all his assets and pour them into this campaign) - Crist's not a self-funder like Grayson or Scott. As for personal favorability ratings, Crist is likely fine there in the district.

[ajc0918]

Former St. Pete Mayor Rick Baker makes FL 13 competitive, assuming a D+4 district:

He would lead Democrat Eric Lynn 51-28.
Charlie Crist would lead Baker 46-42.

Baker is getting 20% of the black vote vs Charlie Crist

http://www.saintpetersblog.com/archives/235964

[The Other Castro]

Former St. Pete Mayor Rick Baker makes FL 13 competitive, assuming a D+4 district:

He would lead Democrat Eric Lynn 51-28.
Charlie Crist would lead Baker 46-42.

Baker is getting 20% of the black vote vs Charlie Crist

http://www.saintpetersblog.com/archives/235964

Glorious news! Oh, if Crist could only lose again...

I would be fine with this seat staying Republican if it meant seeing Crist lose again.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

At least Dems got Jolly out this seat. He would have been in this seat for as long as he wanted. This seat will eventually go Dem either in 2016 or in redistricting 2020.

[Brittain33]

Why do the democrats like Crist so much? This man stands for NOTHING. He has changed his mind on every major position in the last 5 years. He is so blatantly after power for its own sake that its a joke. This is going to be a democratic leaning district and they certainly dont need Crist in order to win it, so why go back to him? I dont get it.

I don't have a strong opinion on Crist, but the House has pretty strong party discipline so if we have someone who can win easily there and make no waves in Washington, there's no reason to oppose him.