UT-04: Doug Owens to go for rematch with Mia Love.

[Zioneer]

http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/6401-it-s-official-owens-will-challenge-mia-love-in-2016

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My guess is that with the presidential turnout, he'll get a very similar percentage of votes as he did in 2014, but he could surprise everyone and win.

[Brewer]

Great news!

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Endorsed!

[Vega]

I think he can absolutely knock her out. He came so close in a year where he had no business to do so. Love has pretty low approvals, so it should be easy.

[ElectionsGuy]

I doubt he'll do better than 2014.

[Zioneer]

I doubt he'll do better than 2014.

Oh, probably not. Like I said, he'll likely get almost exactly the same result he got in 2014; a close loss. But there's always the possibility that he could win. Love is an awful campaigner, and now she has a record he can attack, plus presidential turnout (and no Romney) means that there will be more Dem-leaning voters. Freshman incumbency only goes so far.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

So likely R instead of safe?  Does that sound fair?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

So likely R instead of safe?  Does that sound fair?

For now.

[Zioneer]

So likely R instead of safe?  Does that sound fair?

Oh, definitely. Though depending on where the polls say later on, it could even go to lean R.

[Zioneer]

Mia Love's approval ratings are below 50%, hasn't changed much since being elected.

Also of note is that Chris Stewart isn't popular either, but he's in a much safer district. Ditto with UT-01 Congressman Rob Bishop. Chaffetz is the only geniunely popular Utah Congressman.

[Vega]

Mia Love's approval ratings are below 50%, hasn't changed much since being elected.

Also of note is that Chris Stewart isn't popular either, but he's in a much safer district. Ditto with UT-01 Congressman Rob Bishop. Chaffetz is the only geniunely popular Utah Congressman.

Isn't that because he get's so much screen-time on television and other media?

[Zioneer]

Mia Love's approval ratings are below 50%, hasn't changed much since being elected.

Also of note is that Chris Stewart isn't popular either, but he's in a much safer district. Ditto with UT-01 Congressman Rob Bishop. Chaffetz is the only genuinely popular Utah Congressman.

Isn't that because he get's so much screen-time on television and other media?

That, but he's also got no ideological "heresies", and he's "quirky" (his thing about sleeping in a cot, the Colbert Report appearance, etc), which endears him to voters. He also doesn't come across as rude, as Mike Lee and Mia Love do.

Chris Stewart should be well-known in Utah as the author to an LDS novel series that's roughly equivalent to "Left Behind" but Mormon-themed, but he's not. Republicans also may have some lingering negative feelings towards him, since the way he got the GOP nomination for his seat in 2012 was kinda shady.

And Bishop is just a useless windbag of a Congressman, the definition of "insider" (he was also briefly head of the UT GOP and Utah House Speaker before becoming a Congressman). People support him because he's a local and because he's an incumbent, nothing more. Honestly, the GOP up in UT-01 can do better than Bishop.