PPP-National: Clinton leads GOPers by 3-13pts, Sanders trails all but Trump
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  PPP-National: Clinton leads GOPers by 3-13pts, Sanders trails all but Trump
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Author Topic: PPP-National: Clinton leads GOPers by 3-13pts, Sanders trails all but Trump  (Read 1963 times)
JRP1994
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« on: July 22, 2015, 05:09:34 PM »

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/07/trump-still-leads-gop-field-but-descent-may-be-beginning.html

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JRP1994
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« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2015, 05:10:03 PM »

"Clinton is in pretty good shape when it comes to potential general election match ups as well. She leads all of the potential Republican candidates by anywhere from 3 to 13 points, comparable to a month ago when her advantages over them ranged from 3 to 7 points. The Republican who comes closest to Clinton is Rand Paul, who trails by 3 at 45/42. Also coming close are Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and Scott Walker all of whom trail by an identical 5 point margin at 46/41.

By far the worst performing Republican against Clinton is Donald Trump, who trails 50/37. The general electorate takes even greater issue with his comments about John McCain than the GOP one, with just 16% of the overall population agreeing with his comments while 60% say they disagree. Trump could definitely make a splash in the general running as an independent at this point though. He gets 23%, taking almost exclusively from Jeb Bush, and leaving Clinton with a 43/25 advantage. Independent voters are a three way tie in that scenario with Clinton and Trump each getting 29% and Bush at 28%. And it's a measure of Bush's difficulties on the right that with 'very conservative' voters Trump actually gets 44% to 41% for Bush and 6% for Clinton.

Rounding out the match ups with Clinton she leads Mike Huckabee (46/40) by 6, Ben Carson (47/39), Chris Christie (46/38), and Ted Cruz (48/40) all by 8, and Carly Fiorina (47/37) by 10.

We also tested Bernie Sanders against the key Republicans and he trails all of them except Trump. His deficits are 7 points against Jeb Bush (44/37), 5 points against Marco Rubio (41/36), and 1 point against Scott Walker (40/39). Against Trump, Sanders leads 47/37. On average Sanders does 8 points worse than Clinton against the Republicans in these head to head match ups."
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Retrumplican
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« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2015, 05:18:02 PM »

So basically, Trump is still the best, still #1. And now he is also starting to show his electability, pulling ahead against Democrats in the General Election matchups.
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King
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« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2015, 05:20:25 PM »

In line with the aggregate.

There's no way Hillary is up like this nationally and down big in IA, CO, and VA.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: July 22, 2015, 06:03:12 PM »

Sanders is also statistically tied with Walker.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #5 on: July 22, 2015, 06:21:10 PM »

PPP and Quinnipiac be like:

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: July 22, 2015, 06:46:59 PM »

Obama Approval: 45/49

Asked to choose between a generic democrat and a generic republican, voters choose a generic democrat 43/42

All candidates are viewed unfavorably. Carson comes the closest to breaking even at 31/34, followed by Walker at 31/38. Clinton is at 41/51.

Voters disagree with Trump's McCain comments 60/16, and give his hair a 12/49 favorability rating.

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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #7 on: July 22, 2015, 09:58:51 PM »

Take a seat Quinnipiac, your drunk.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #8 on: July 22, 2015, 10:55:59 PM »

Sanders leads Trump by 10. That's one matchup I want to see.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: July 22, 2015, 10:58:05 PM »


I think it is using a 2014 model for the 2016 electorate.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2015, 11:08:26 PM »
« Edited: July 22, 2015, 11:28:51 PM by EliteLX »

Poll Questions Organized:
Generic R Candidate vs Generic D Candidate: 43% to 42% (Democrats +1)

Bush vs Clinton: 46% to 41% (32% Hispanic | 7% Black)
(Hillary +5 | 14% Tossup/Undecided)

Rubio vs Clinton: 46% to 41% (31% Hispanic | 5% Black)
(Hillary +5 | 13% Tossup/Undecided)

Walker vs Clinton: 46% to 41% (24% Hispanic | 7% Black)
(Hillary +5 | 12% Tossup/Undecided)

Rand vs Clinton: 45% to 42% (32% Hispanic | 6% Black)
(Hillary +3 | 13% Tossup/Undecided)

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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
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« Reply #11 on: July 22, 2015, 11:25:02 PM »

So basically, Trump is still the best, still #1. And now he is also starting to show his electability, pulling ahead against Democrats in the General Election matchups.
Lolwut
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Retrumplican
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« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2015, 04:32:14 AM »

So basically, Trump is still the best, still #1. And now he is also starting to show his electability, pulling ahead against Democrats in the General Election matchups.
Lolwut

Oh, I misread that. I thought it said Trump was leading Sanders. Still, once both of them secure the nominations, the race will come in to shape. At the end of the day, there is no way the American people will vote for a socialist who has never held a job and can't comb his hair over a wildly successful capitalist.
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jfern
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« Reply #13 on: July 23, 2015, 04:37:47 AM »

So basically, Trump is still the best, still #1. And now he is also starting to show his electability, pulling ahead against Democrats in the General Election matchups.
Lolwut

Oh, I misread that. I thought it said Trump was leading Sanders. Still, once both of them secure the nominations, the race will come in to shape. At the end of the day, there is no way the American people will vote for a socialist who has never held a job and can't comb his hair over a wildly successful capitalist.

According to Quinnipiac, Trump is almost as popular as Clinton in Iowa. Tongue
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RFayette
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« Reply #14 on: July 27, 2015, 05:51:53 PM »

This is basically Obama '12 numbers, with Rand doing a tad better and Jeb/Rubio/Walker all performing evenly.  Pretty realistic IMO.
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