The cause of the Trump surge.

[Hydera]

Trump is surging because he throws punches, apologetically. This "not-a-typical-politician" thing always had some appeal to many republicans. Especially in a stale political primary like in 2016, where many GOP candidates were seen as playing too safe.

And the War-Hero thing was bound to come up one way or another if not by trump than perhaps the media even if trump didn't mention that in response to criticism by McCain. There were many sacred cows of the republican party that many of the base didn't like but had to follow because the establishment republicans made the rules. And Trump just comes in and tears the sacred cows down.

[Hydera]

One thing to note that is that a lot of his support is because he is cannibalizing the support from the crowded field of candidates who are trying to court the conservative base.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

Cruz, Huckabee, Carson, Santroum, Jindal. Have had 30-50% of their support flee to trump. He's gaining in the polls because he was the guy people who wanted those candidates to be. a conservative that makes a lot of noise and gets a lot of attention. Who won't backtrack or backdown.

For some reason, Carson, Cruz, Huckabee, etc were playing it safe after initial attention. Also i think some conservatives might of been turned off from the too much overt evangelical pandering by the other conservative candidates.




Strangely enough, Scott Walker is still holding on. If he can cannibalize the rest of them along with scott walker's support he could be really strong. Although time will tell whether or not he was just another flavor of the month candidate.