2016 - a bad year for election nerds
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  2016 - a bad year for election nerds
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Author Topic: 2016 - a bad year for election nerds  (Read 4857 times)
politicus
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« on: July 23, 2015, 10:55:01 AM »
« edited: August 08, 2015, 05:00:33 AM by politicus »

2016 looks rather mediocre election wise  (apart from the US). In Europe Ireland and Croatia will be interesting - if they wait to 2016 - and Slovakia somewhat interesting. Outside: Peru, Taiwan, Phillippines, South Korea and Zambia are interesting, while Thailand and DR Congo could be - if they become real elections and not electoral type events.

January
16 January: Taiwan, President and Congress
TBD: Comoros, President
TBD: Kiribati, President
TBD: Portugal, President

February
by 20 February: Croatia, Parliament
28 February: Benin, President
TBD: Cabo Verde, Parliament
TBD: Samoa, Parliament
TBD: Uganda, President and Parliament
TBD: Iran, Assembly + Council of Experts

March
5 March: Slovakia, Parliament

April
3 April: Ireland, Parliament
8 April: Djibouti, President
28 April: Austria, President
TBD: Chad, President
TBD: Macedonia, Parliament
TBD: Peru, President and Parliament
13. April: South Korea, Parliament

May
9 May: Philippines, General: President, Senate (seats elected in even-numbered years), House of Representatives
15 May: Dominican Republic, President, Parliament and Local Government

June
30 June: Iceland, President

July
TBD: Japan, House of Councillors (one half)

August
TBD: Angola, Parliament (and indirectly President)
TBD: Cabo Verde, President
TBD: Estonia, President (indirect)

September
20 September: Zambia, President and Parliament
TBD: Russia, Parliament

October
Lithuania, Parliament
Montenegro, Parliament
Seychelles, President and Parliament

November
8 November: United States, President, House of Representatives and Senate
TBD: Romania, Parliament

December
7 December: Ghana, President and Parliament
TBD: DR Congo, President and Parliament
TBD: Singapore, General (must be held by 8 January 2017 at the latest)
TBD: Somalia, House of the People

Unknown date

Central African Republic, President
Moldova, President (indirect)
New Zealand, National flag referendum
Thailand, General
Hong Kong, Parliament
Australia, Parliament


Strong possibilities

Netherland, Parliament
Greece, Parliament
Bolivia, Referendum
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CrabCake
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« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2015, 11:00:57 AM »

Sad. I guess we have Scotland and Wales; and the Taiwanese/Philipino/Korean elections will be interesting to focus on.

We also will probably see an Aussie election
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2015, 11:07:24 AM »

We'll just have to hope for some governments to fall or for a snap election or three. But an Aussie election is always a big event from a nerd perspective, so there is that.
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Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan
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« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2015, 11:53:14 AM »

It is possible that in Poland there will be elections somewhere between 2015/2016 as I don't think that PiS alone and with president from PiS will be able to create government.
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politicus
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« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2015, 11:59:45 AM »


Wales is not that interesting to non-Brits. You would need a (miraculous) Plaid breakthrough for that. As it is it is on Slovakia level for me.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #5 on: July 23, 2015, 12:02:20 PM »

Surely, to someone posting on this forum, a US election is worth 30-40 international elections? Tongue
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Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan
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« Reply #6 on: July 23, 2015, 12:04:28 PM »

US elections are really boring. Even Belarussian one are more interesting.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #7 on: July 23, 2015, 12:22:13 PM »

In Italy there will be interesting mayoral elections in May (second rounds in June probably): Milan, Naples, Turin, Bologna, Cagliari and there is a small probability for Rome. It will depends if the current Mayor will resign or not.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2015, 12:27:40 PM »

Austria President should be somewhat interesting because it's an open election.

But other than that, nobody really needs the President. That office might as well be abolished.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2015, 01:11:52 PM »

There will probably be a Dutch general election near the end of 2016. It is obvious that VVD and PvdA have had more than enough of the coalition. It might be beneficial to pull the plug before March 2017, especially for the PvdA, - after all, they need to do something in order to avoid the single digits in terms of vote percentage...
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CrabCake
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« Reply #10 on: July 23, 2015, 01:16:31 PM »

Oh yes, and your lost skips Iran's elections to the Assembly and Council of Experts (February).
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2015, 01:24:28 PM »

Iran's elections to the Assembly and Council of Experts (February).

I'm sure that will prove thrilling.
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politicus
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« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2015, 02:06:54 PM »

Added Ghana and Hong Kong. Ghana might actually be quite interesting.
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ag
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« Reply #13 on: July 23, 2015, 03:48:57 PM »

We'll just have to hope for some governments to fall or for a snap election or three. But an Aussie election is always a big event from a nerd perspective, so there is that.

I mean, we may pretty much count on two or three elections in Greece.
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ag
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« Reply #14 on: July 23, 2015, 03:52:29 PM »

We will have a few state elections in Mexico. Chihuahua, Puebla, Veracruz and Tamaulipas will be electing everybody: governors, state legislatuors and mayors - and Baja California will have just mayors and legislators. Not much, but somewhat interesting and could be decently informative of the trends.
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Sir John Johns
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« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2015, 04:05:31 PM »

Add a very open and overcrowded presidential election (first round on 28 February; run-off on 13 March) in Benin - one of the African countries with the most interesting (but sadly underdocumented) political scene - and a possible referendum in Bolivia on the abolition of term limits for president (with recent polls predicting a defeat for the government on the question).
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jaichind
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« Reply #16 on: July 24, 2015, 01:44:31 AM »
« Edited: July 24, 2015, 06:06:13 AM by jaichind »

We also have state assembly elections in India for TN, WB, Kerela, Assam and Puducherry.
TN will be interesting.  Since 1984 no incumbent party has been re-elected.  But given what sad shape DMK would be in, there is a strong chance AIADMK will win re-election.  Main thing getting in the way is perhaps Jayalalitha's health or she alienating all other parties to provoke an all out anti-AIADMK grand alliance.
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #17 on: July 24, 2015, 02:54:43 AM »

Germany will have state elections in Baden-Württemberg, Rhineland-Palatinate, Saxony-Anhalt, Berlin, and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
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morgieb
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« Reply #18 on: July 25, 2015, 08:54:16 PM »

Well there's my own country having an election if Abbott doesn't go for the snap poll.

I think Ireland will wait until 2016, or at least oakvale does. That should be fun. And the US, though apart from the Republican primaries that will likely be as boring as sin.
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morgieb
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« Reply #19 on: July 25, 2015, 08:55:02 PM »

We've definitely been spoiled this year, though.
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Famous Mortimer
WillipsBrighton
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« Reply #20 on: July 25, 2015, 09:18:43 PM »

Add a very open and overcrowded presidential election (first round on 28 February; run-off on 13 March) in Benin - one of the African countries with the most interesting (but sadly underdocumented) political scene - and a possible referendum in Bolivia on the abolition of term limits for president (with recent polls predicting a defeat for the government on the question).

Jesus. Evo wrote the damn constitution. Why did he write in term limits?
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Famous Mortimer
WillipsBrighton
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« Reply #21 on: July 25, 2015, 09:22:08 PM »


Wales is not that interesting to non-Brits. You would need a (miraculous) Plaid breakthrough for that. As it is it is on Slovakia level for me.

Slovakia is always legitimately exciting. Major parties fall out of parliament. New parties form. Coalitions with an ungodly number of parties are formed.  The Hungarian issue.
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Famous Mortimer
WillipsBrighton
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« Reply #22 on: July 25, 2015, 09:23:14 PM »

The Israeli Labor Party will have another leadership election, which I at least find exciting. Looking like Tel Aviv Mayor Ron Huldai will run in addition to all the usual suspects.
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Peeperkorn
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« Reply #23 on: July 25, 2015, 11:14:54 PM »

Peru will be fun with Keiko Fujimori as favourite.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #24 on: July 29, 2015, 09:49:58 AM »

Brazil will have its local elections and may well have a new general election, depending on what happens with the Petrobras scandal.
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