Who will be in the August 6 debate?
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Poll
Question: Who will get the 2 remaining spots?
#1
Christie		  
#2
Kasich		  
#3
Perry		  
#4
Santorum		  
#5
Jindal		  
#6
Fiorina		  
#7
Pataki		  
#8
Graham		  
#9
Gilmore		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 76

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Author Topic: Who will be in the August 6 debate?  (Read 2878 times)
Senator Cris
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« on: July 30, 2015, 11:22:28 AM »
2 remaining spots, 2 votes.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #1 on: July 30, 2015, 11:26:01 AM »
Christie and Kasich.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: July 30, 2015, 11:45:50 AM »
Christie and Kasich. There's a small possibility for Perry, but not likely.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #3 on: July 30, 2015, 11:46:05 AM »
Christie and Kasich. First time I haven't voted for Fiorina. At this point, I just don't see the RNC or Fox being able to pull off a scenario where she is in the top ten.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #4 on: July 30, 2015, 12:09:50 PM »
Christie and Kasich will get it even though Perry deserves it more.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #5 on: July 30, 2015, 12:30:43 PM »
Quote from: Clinton1996 on July 30, 2015, 12:09:50 PM
Christie and Kasich will get it even though Perry deserves it more.

Maybe over the keynote speaker and New Jersey Governor.

But the man who has Gingrich's intelligence, Clinton's experience, balanced the budget with a Democrat, and Ohio Governor? 64% in Ohio is far more impressive than Perry's record.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: July 30, 2015, 12:32:06 PM »
Perry > Christie, but it will probably be Christie and Kasich, which is unfortunate.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2015, 01:28:40 PM »
Christie and Kasich.  Bad news for Bush, since they're all competing for the same wing of the party.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2015, 01:51:45 PM »
Kasich and Perry, but with Christie only below Perry by less than 0.5%.
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ShadowRocket
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« Reply #9 on: July 30, 2015, 04:49:28 PM »
Voted Christie and Kasich, but I think Perry ties for tenth place and is allowed in.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #10 on: July 30, 2015, 05:00:25 PM »
Kasich seems certain to make it if his bounce holds. So the fight for the last spot has moved to Perry v Christie.  My heart wants Perry but my head says its going to be Christie. All 3 is possible, especially if FOX rounds to a whole number
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #11 on: July 30, 2015, 05:47:04 PM »
Kasich and Perry...and they really can't get away with keeping Fiorina or Jindal out as long as she's in the race if they want to be an inclusive party, can they?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #12 on: July 30, 2015, 06:38:08 PM »
I believe Fox has said at some point that they will only let in an 11th person if 10 and 11 are an exact tie, and would try their best to determine if there is someone on top. For instance, they would let only Perry in if he was at 2.8 and Christie was at 2.7.

We can only be sure that Quinnipiac and CNN will be used, as supposedly Monmouth, NBC/WSJ, and Fox will be the other 3 polls to be used once they come in. If Fox doesn't update, then the current ABC/WashPost poll would take it's place (which Fox probably wouldn't want). If we add up Quinn and CNN, the raw total points for Christie is 7, and 5 for Perry. If Perry leads Christie by an average of 1 point in the next three polls to come out, he will take the 10th spot and kick Christie to the Forum.

Perry led Christie in the last NBC/WSJ poll by 1, and tied him in Monmouth. He was behind Christie by 2 in Fox, but there appears to be an overall downward trend in Christie polling lately. Things get easier for Perry to overtake Christie if Fox doesn't update, as he leads Christie by 1 in the ABC poll. Perry isn't necessarily favored for the 10th spot, but he definitely has closer to even odds than it appears.
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Cory
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« Reply #13 on: July 30, 2015, 07:03:46 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on July 30, 2015, 11:45:50 AM
Christie and Kasich. There's a small possibility for Perry, but not likely.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #14 on: July 30, 2015, 07:05:29 PM »
Looks like Christie and Kasich from the guys on the bubble.

They're polling better, and I think Fox News would prefer them to Perry, so if there's any way to pick those guys over him, they'll put their finger on the scale.
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Publius
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« Reply #15 on: July 30, 2015, 08:20:29 PM »
Kasich and Christie. Using RCP, let's take a look at polling trends. The first number after the average is the most recent poll. The last number was seven polls ago.

9. John Kasich: 3.2-----5, 4, 2, 3, 2, 1, 1
9. Chris Christie: 3.2-----3, 4, 3, 3, 3, 3, 2
11. Rick Perry: 2.2-------2, 3, 4, 1, 1, 1, 2
12. Bobby Jindal: 1.4----2, 2, 2, 1, 0, 1, 2
12. Carly Fiorina: 1.4----1, 1, 0, 4, 1, 1, 1
12. Rick Santorum: 1.4--1, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2

Not only do Kasich and Christie have the healthier averages, but Kasich is trending best by far while Christie is by far the most consistent at 3+.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #16 on: July 30, 2015, 09:43:57 PM »
Kasich and Christie most likely, though Perry, Jindal, Fiorina, and Santorum still have an outside chance.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #17 on: July 31, 2015, 10:09:52 AM »
Christie, Kasich, and Perry have launched a last minute media blitz to get one of those remaining debate slots:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/media/2015/07/christie-perry-and-kasich-vie-for-debate-spots-211580.html?hp=l3_4

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Donald Trump 2016 !
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« Reply #18 on: July 31, 2015, 12:33:55 PM »
I really hope Christie and Kasich get the last two slots.

Perry had his chance in 2012.
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dudeabides
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« Reply #19 on: July 31, 2015, 01:58:49 PM »
Quote from: captainkangaroo on July 31, 2015, 12:33:55 PM
I really hope Christie and Kasich get the last two slots.

Perry had his chance in 2012.

Perry takes credit for stuff W did, Perry is kinda boring, and I forgot my third critique of him. 
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andrew_c
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« Reply #20 on: July 31, 2015, 04:39:52 PM »
Kasich and Christie will get in.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #21 on: July 31, 2015, 04:47:46 PM »
Perry clearly praying to be third part of someone else's thoughts so he doesn't have to face Trump. Too bad, we won't get the good tv we wanted. The Donald would have torn Perry to shreds.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #22 on: July 31, 2015, 06:58:19 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on July 31, 2015, 10:09:52 AM
Christie, Kasich, and Perry have launched a last minute media blitz to get one of those remaining debate slots:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/media/2015/07/christie-perry-and-kasich-vie-for-debate-spots-211580.html?hp=l3_4

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Wow, Fox is making a killing on this debate.
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