FL-Mason Dixon: McCollum/Jolly lead GOP field, Grayson and Murphy in close race

[Senator Cris]

GOP:

McCollum 22%
Jolly 11%
DeSantis 8%
Lopez-Cantera 7%
Miller 6%
Vilcox 1%

Jolly 16%
Lopez-Cantera 10%
DeSantis 9%
Miller 8%
Wilcox 2%

DEM:

Grayson 33%
Murphy 32%

Murphy 26%
Grayson 24%
Graham 11%

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/FL715PollPart2.pdf

[windjammer]

I'd consider Murphy a slight favorite to win the open seat if he won his party's nomination.

Well,
Considering it will likely be bush and that Jolly is a good candidate, I expect FL republicans to have a narrow advantage.

[ElectionsGuy]

DeSantis vs Grayson would be epic.

[Maxwell]

DeSantis vs Grayson would be epic.

I would love Senator DeSantis.

That being said, I think Jolly v. Murphy would be fairly close, and largely reflective of the Presidential race in Florida. Any other Republican, I think Murphy would run ahead of Clinton by a decent margin.

And obviously any race with Grayson means a Republican Senator, even Miller or DeSantis.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Murphy should win this seat.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

I met Todd Wilcox last Wednesday; seems like a total lightweight. "I am an ex Navy seal and a businessman, therefore, ignore my policy positions and vote for me!" was his platform, basically. He offered literally nothing on why he should be a Senator besides his interesting bio.

[RFayette]

At first I didn't believe the primary polls because they were from questionable firms like Gravis, but SERIOUSLY?  Grayson should be getting crushed a la Sittenfield in this primary. 

[Free Bird]

Grayson vs. Jolly. Calling it now.

[Dereich]

At first I didn't believe the primary polls because they were from questionable firms like Gravis, but SERIOUSLY?  Grayson should be getting crushed a la Sittenfield in this primary. 

It's not like Murphy has done anything to get name recognition outside his district. I wouldn't be surprised if some of his and Graham's vote was more anti-Greyson than pro-them.

[Skye]

Grayson 33%
Murphy 32%

Now this will be fun to watch.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Grayson vs. Jolly. Calling it now.

Jolly wins 56-40.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It isnt gonna be Grayson v Jolly, it will be Murphy v Jolly and that will be fun to watch.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Grayson vs. Jolly. Calling it now.

Jolly wins 56-40.

His floor is probably around 44%. It's a Southern state, a presidential election year and he is very popular among progressives. If it's Jolly vs Grayson, I think Jolly wins 52-47 (barring a major scandal/blunder on the Grayson side which might be likely to happen). 

Obama won the state. So can Hilary. As Bill Nelson expects her to.

[tmthforu94]

If the RPOF really wanted to be strategic, they'd cede this race and let Grayson become the public face of the FDP.

I wouldn't cede it, but at least quietly find ways to help Grayson win the Democratic primary. That way it is a win-win no matter who wins the General Election.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL like CO & NV are heavy Latino populated and is critical for Hilary's chances

[Senator Cris]

FL like CO & NV are heavy Latino populated and is critical for Hilary's chances

What's the link between the Florida Senate race and Hillary Clinton?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL like CO & NV are heavy Latino populated and is critical for Hilary's chances

What's the link between the Florida Senate race and Hillary Clinton?

Ok

[Xing]

If Florida Democrats are actually dumb enough to nominate Grayson, they deserve to lose badly.

[Badger]

If Florida Democrats are actually dumb enough to nominate Grayson, they deserve to lose badly.

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