The Perfect Storm

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

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Yikes. That doesn't sound like a winning soundbite for The Donald.

[PPT Spiral]

It would have been cool to see how just Sanders vs. Trump would play out, but still an excellent timeline!

[NHI]

5. Election Night

ELECTORAL VOTE COUNT: 270 Needed to Win

DEMOCRAT Bernie Sanders: 0

REPUBLICAN Donald Trump: 0

INDEPENDENT Jon Huntsman: 0

7:00

"Good evening. Election Night here in America and the race for 2016 has come down to this: The polls have closed in six states and here are the results as they come in." -- Wolf Blitzer

Indiana: Too Close to Call

Jon Huntsman: 43.11%

Donald Trump: 28.86%

Bernie Sanders: 26.65%

Georgia: Too Close to Call

Donald Trump: 33.91%

Bernie Sanders: 32.29%

Jon Huntsman: 32.02%

South Carolina: Too Close to Call

Donald Trump: 37.01%

Jon Huntsman: 34.99%

Bernie Sanders: 27.65%

Virginia: Too Close to Call

Jon Huntsman: 40.84%

Bernie Sanders: 31.91%

Donald Trump: 26.44%

Kentucky: Too Close to Call

Donald Trump: 35.07%

Jon Huntsman: 34.00%

Bernie Sanders: 29.99%

"CNN is able to project the state of Vermont. Democratic nominee, Bernie Sanders is the winner in his home state of Vermont, no surprise there tonight." -- Wolf Blitzer

Vermont: Projected

√ Bernie Sanders: 57%

Jon Huntsman: 26%

Donald Trump: 16%

ELECTORAL VOTE COUNT: 270 Needed to Win

DEMOCRAT Bernie Sanders: 3

REPUBLICAN Donald Trump: 0

INDEPENDENT Jon Huntsman: 0

"Looking first at the state of Indiana, Former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman doing fairly well. It is early, but if these numbers continue to hold, Jon Huntsman may, may become the first Independent candidate to carry a state in nearly fifty years." -- Chris Cuomo

"We should note Indiana is the home state of his running mate, the former Democratic Senator Evan Bayh." -- Wolf Blitzer

"Interestingly Wolf, Mitt Romney carried the state easily four years ago over Barack Obama, but prior to that Barack Obama narrowly edged out John McCain in his first election, so Indiana does have a tendency to break with its Republican tradition, most notably they elected Democrat Joe Donnelly in 2012, over Republican Richard Murdock." -- Chris Cuomo

NATIONAL POPULAR VOTE:

Bernie Sanders: 57%

Jon Huntsman: 26%

Donald Trump: 16%

7:30

"The polls have now closed in three more states, including the battleground of Ohio are here are the results thus far." -- Wolf Blitzer

Ohio: Too Close to Call

Jon Huntsman: 42.41%

Bernie Sanders: 30.99%

Donald Trump: 25.60%

North Carolina: Too Close to Call

Bernie Sanders: 35.91%

Jon Huntsman: 35.20%

Donald Trump: 27.89%

West Virginia: Too Close to Call

Donald Trump: 40.75%

Jon Huntsman: 35.61%

Bernie Sanders: 22.64%

Earlier States:

Georgia: Too Close to Call

Jon Huntsman: 33.72%

Bernie Sanders: 32.99%

Donald Trump: 31.51%

South Carolina: Too Close to Call

Donald Trump: 36.99%

Jon Huntsman: 36.00%

Bernie Sanders: 26.66%

Virginia: Too Close to Call

Jon Huntsman: 37.74%

Bernie Sanders: 33.91%

Donald Trump: 27.54%

Kentucky: Too Close to Call

Jon Huntsman: 37.09%

Donald Trump: 34.07%

Bernie Sanders: 27.90%

"The following states are too close to call, but CNN is now ready to project Jon Huntsman will win the state of Indiana. A first, major win for the Independent candidate." -- Wolf Blitzer

Indiana: Too Close to Call

√ Jon Huntsman: 40.21%

Donald Trump: 30.86%

Bernie Sanders: 26.55%

ELECTORAL VOTE COUNT: 270 Needed to Win

DEMOCRAT Bernie Sanders: 3

REPUBLICAN Donald Trump: 0

INDEPENDENT Jon Huntsman: 11

NATIONAL POPULAR VOTE:

Bernie Sanders: 43.27%

Jon Huntsman: 34.01%

Donald Trump: 21.43%

[NHI]

6. Countdown to Victory?

8:00 pm

"The polls have closed and here is the electoral map at this hour. A narrow lead for the Democratic Candidate Bernie Sanders with 21 electoral votes, Donald Trump, the Republican candidate with 16 and the Independent candidate Jon Huntsman with 11." -- Wolf Blitzer

Bernie Sanders: 21 (42%)

Donald Trump: 16 (25%)

Jon Huntsman: 11 (32%)

Too Close to Call:

Connecticut:

Jon Huntsman: 41%

Bernie Sanders: 39%

Donald Trump: 19%

Delaware:

Jon Huntsman: 41%

Bernie Sanders: 40%

Donald Trump: 18%

Florida:

Jon Huntsman: 35%

Bernie Sanders: 33%

Donald Trump: 31%

Illinois:

Jon Huntsman: 37%

Bernie Sanders: 34%

Donald Trump: 28%

Maine:

Bernie Sanders: 46%

Jon Huntsman: 29%

Donald Trump: 24%

Maryland:

Jon Huntsman: 40%

Bernie Sanders; 40%

Donald Trump: 19%

Mississippi:

Donald Trump: 43%

Jon Huntsman: 29%

Bernie Sanders: 26%

Missouri:

Jon Huntsman: 39%

Bernie Sanders: 31%

Donald Trump: 29%

New Hampshire:

Bernie Sanders: 37%

Jon Huntsman: 33%

Donald Trump: 29%

New Jersey:

Jon Huntsman: 38%

Bernie Sanders: 35%

Donald Trump: 26%

Pennsylvania:

Jon Huntsman: 37%

Bernie Sanders: 34%

Donald Trump: 28%

Tennessee:

Jon Huntsman: 38%

Donald Trump: 35%

Bernie Sanders: 26%

"And CNN can now make a projection in the state of West Virginia. CNN is projecting West Virginia for Donald Trump, the Republican Candidate." -- Wolf Blitzer

Bernie Sanders: 21 (40%)

Donald Trump: 21 (26%)

Jon Huntsman: 11 (32%)

"And CNN can also project Bernie Sanders is the winner in the First Congressional District of Maine. Maine, divides their electoral delegates up proportionally by district. We are not yet ready to call the entire state, but we are projecting the first district for Senator Sanders." -- Wolf Blitzer

Maine CD 1: Projected

√ Bernie Sanders: 43%

Jon Huntsman: 30%

Donald Trump: 25%

"Turning now to the all important battleground states of Ohio and Virginia, here are the latest numbers." -- Wolf Blitzer

Ohio: Too Close to Call

Jon Huntsman: 38.51%

Bernie Sanders: 33.79%

Donald Trump: 26.70%

Virginia: Too Close to Call

Jon Huntsman: 37.75%

Bernie Sanders: 33.07%

Donald Trump: 28.18%

[tmthforu94]

Looking good for Huntsman/Bayh!

Would be really interesting to see what happens if it goes to the House.

[Kingpoleon]

Bayh? He seems a bit progressive for Huntsman...

Onwards, though! Good job!

[Skill and Chance]

Important question: Are there Huntsman loyalist indies running in 100+ house districts?

If so, it could lead to Democrats wiping out many non-Southern Republicans due to the vote-splitting.

[NHI]

Important question: Are there Huntsman loyalist indies running in 100+ house districts?

If so, it could lead to Democrats wiping out many non-Southern Republicans due to the vote-splitting.

Huntman's bid has inspired a following independents to run in key states like New Hampshire for example.

[Skill and Chance]

Hmm, this is probably what a House vote by state would look like in the congress elected after a tied election nationally:

In other words, Sanders has absolutely no chance in the House unless Huntsman-affiliated indies throw 26 states to the Democrats outright or Huntsman finishes 3rd in the PV and Huntsman-indies hold the balance of power in enough states to block Trump.  If Sanders finishes 3rd, all of the Democratic controlled states would presumably vote for Huntsman, save for a couple New England states.  So the minimum win for Huntsman in an R-controlled House would probably be this, although I can't see Trump maintaining this much R support:

 

[NHI]

7. And Here We Go

9:37 pm

"And CNN can now project Jon Huntsman is the winner in the First Congressional District of Maine, bringing his electoral total to 12 at this time." -- Wolf Blitzer

Maine First Congressional District:

√ Jon Huntsman: 42%

Bernie Sanders: 39%

Donald Trump: 18%

"and CNN can now make a major projection in the race in Maine. CNN is now projecting Senator Sanders is the winner of the whole state." -- Wolf Blitzer

Maine: Projection

√ Bernie Sanders: 41%

Jon Huntsman: 35%

Donald Trump: 23%

Bernie Sanders: 34 (40%)

Donald Trump: 36 (28%)

Jon Huntsman: 15 (31%)

"CNN is now able to project Donald Trump will win the state of Texas, the home state of his running mate Senator Ted Cruz." -- Wolf Blitzer

Texas: Projection

√ Donald Trump: 43%

Bernie Sanders: 28%

Jon Huntsman: 27%

Too Close to Call

Michigan

Jon Huntsman: 37%

Bernie Sanders: 34%

Donald Trump: 28%

Wisconsin:

Bernie Sanders: 37%

Jon Huntsman: 33%

Donald Trump: 29%

South Dakota:

Donald Trump: 37%

Jon Huntsman: 37%

Bernie Sanders: 24%

North Dakota:

Bernie Sanders: 35%

Jon Huntsman: 33%

Donald Trump: 30%

Nebraska:

Jon Huntsman: 40%

Bernie Sanders: 34%

Donald Trump: 25%

Kansas:

Bernie Sanders: 36%

Jon Huntsman: 36%

Donald Trump: 28%

9:59 pm

"CNN is now ready to project Jon Huntsman will carry the state of Kentucky. Jon Huntsman back on the board again tonight." -- Wolf Blitzer

"In addition, We can now declare Donald Trump, the Republican candidate will carry the state of South Carolina, a Republican stronghold and it narrowly goes for Trump tonight." -- Wolf Blitzer

Kentucky: Projected

√ Jon Huntsman: 36.19%

Donald Trump: 35.04%

Bernie Sanders: 27.78%

South Carolina: Projected

√ Donald Trump: 37.14%

Jon Huntsman: 36.01%

Bernie Sanders: 25.85%

Donald Trump: 74 (29%)

Bernie Sanders: 34 (39%)

Jon Huntsman: 23 (31%)

10:00 pm

Utah: Projected

√ Jon Huntsman: 59%

Bernie Sanders: 21%

Donald Trump: 19%

Too Close to Call:

Iowa:

Bernie Sanders: 38%

Jon Huntsman: 36%

Donald Trump: 25%

Nevada:

Jon Huntsman: 40%

Bernie Sanders: 35%

Donald Trump: 24%

Montana:

Jon Huntsman: 39%

Bernie Sanders: 35%

Donald Trump: 25%

Arizona:

Jon Huntsman: 38%

Donald Trump: 34%

Bernie Sanders: 30%

[Skill and Chance]

Hmmm... not looking too good for Sanders right now.  Trump is doing surprisingly well as it looks like Huntsman didn't split the Southern white vote enough.  The Plains look worse for Trump, though.

[NHI]

8. No Winner Yet

10:54 pm

"CNN can now project Jon Huntsman will win the critical state of New Hampshire. He wins the Granite State in this close contest with Bernie Sanders." -- Wolf Blitzer

New Hampshire: Projected

√ Jon Huntsman: 37.41%

Bernie Sanders: 35.69%

Donald Trump: 25.90%

"Here is the electoral count as we come up on the eleven o'clock closings. Donald Trump is tied with on Huntsman in the electoral vote, 83 votes for both candidates." -- Wolf Blitzer

Donald Trump: 83 (31.4%)

Jon Huntsman: 83 (35.9%)

Bernie Sanders: 44 (31.7%)

"And standby, CNN is ready to make a major projection. Jon Huntsman is the winner in Ohio. Jon Huntsman will carry the all-important swing state. No state was fought harder by all three candidates and tonight it goes to Jon Huntsman. Adding to his column, we can also project he will win the state of Virginia." -- Wolf Blitzer

Ohio: Projected

√ Jon Huntsman: 39.41%

Bernie Sanders: 33.70%

Donald Trump: 25.89%

Virginia: Projected

√ Jon Huntsman: 37.71%

Bernie Sanders: 34.60%

Donald Trump: 26.79%

Jon Huntsman: 114 (35.9%)

Donald Trump: 83 (31.4%)

Bernie Sanders: 44 (31.7%)

11:44 pm

"Still an open race at this hour. Here is where the electoral map stands: Jon Huntsman with 152. Donald Trump with 87 and Bernie Sanders with 44." -- Wolf Blitzer

Jon Huntsman: 152 (37.0%)

Donald Trump: 87 (31.9%)

Bernie Sanders: 44 (30.1%)

"But we do have a call to make, in the state of North Dakota. We are projecting it for the Democrat. Bernie Sanders." -- Wolf Blitzer

North Dakota: Projected

√ Bernie Sanders: 36.04%[/b]

Jon Huntsman: 35.90%

Donald Trump: 27.06%%

"We can also call now Senator Sanders is the winner in Nebraska's second congressional district. As in Maine, the state divides up their electoral votes proportionally. This is on the second time Nebraska has split their vote. The first being in 2008 for Barack Obama." -- Wolf Blitzer

12:31 am

"...Bernie Sanders will win the state of Wisconsin." -- Wolf Blitzer

Wisconsin: Projected

√ Bernie Sanders: 37.24%[/b]

Jon Huntsman: 36.50%

Donald Trump: 25.26%%

Jon Huntsman: 182 (36.7%)

Donald Trump: 87 (31.5%)

Bernie Sanders: 70 (30.9%)

Too Close to Call:

New York: 94% Reported (Difference: 0.83%)

Jon Huntsman: 34.51%

Bernie Sanders: 33.68%

Donald Trump: 29.89%

New Jersey: 98% Reported (Difference: 1.62%)

Jon Huntsman: 37.53%

Bernie Sanders: 35.91%

Donald Trump: 25.56%

Florida: 96% Reported (Difference: 1.18%)

Jon Huntsman: 34.43%

Bernie Sanders: 33.25%

Donald Trump: 31.32%

Pennsylvania: 99% Reported (Difference: 0.41%)

Jon Huntsman: 36.40%

Bernie Sanders: 35.99%

Donald Trump: 26.60%

Michigan: 95% Reported (Difference: 0.25%)

Bernie Sanders: 36.42%

Jon Huntsman: 36.17%

Donald Trump: 26.41%

Illinois: 97% Reported Difference: 2.80%)

Jon Huntsman: 38.00%

Bernie Sanders: 35.20%

Donald Trump: 25.80%

Iowa: 91% Reported (Difference: 0.80%)

Bernie Sanders: 37.20%

Jon Huntsman: 36.40%

Donald Trump: 25.40%

Kansas: 96% Reported (Difference: 1.34%)

Jon Huntsman: 33.99%

Bernie Sanders: 32.65%

Donald Trump: 32.29%

Colorado: 89% Reported (Difference: 0.24%)

Bernie Sanders: 35.55%

Bernie Sanders: 35.31%

Donald Trump: 28.14%

California: 54% Reported (Difference: 1.35%)

Jon Huntsman: 36.04%

Bernie Sanders: 34.69%

Donald Trump: 28.27%

PROJECTION: NEVADA FOR HUNTSMAN√

Nevada: 85% Reported (Projected: Difference; 5.98%))

Jon Huntsman: 38.81%

Bernie Sanders: 32.83%

Donald Trump: 27.09%

Jon Huntsman: 188 (36.7%)

Donald Trump: 87 (31.5%)

Bernie Sanders: 70 (30.9%)

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

"But we do have a call to make, in the state of North Dakota. We are projecting it for the Democrat. Bernie Sanders." -- Wolf Blitzer

North Dakota: Projected

√ Bernie Sanders: 36.04%[/b]

Jon Huntsman: 35.90%

Donald Trump: 27.06%%

YES!!!

I'd always love a Bernie win, but that seems doubtful right now. North Dakota, however, is almost as good as him winning the whole election in my book. I have a feeling that this one is going to the House.

[BigVic]

Florida, Florida, Florida. It may go down to Florida or even the House

[tmthforu94]

The title keeps it vague - this could be the perfect storm to bring a 3rd party to the White House, but it could also be the only conceivable way Trump becomes President - a three-way split that sends it to the House. Time will tell!

[NHI]

9. Closing In

1:01 am

"Bernie Sanders is the winner in Colorado. Colorado stays Democratic, once again." -- Wolf Blitzer

"Another state added to the Sanders' column tonight. This is now where we start to head into a grey area, Wolf. If Bernie Sanders were to potentially carry all the remaining states he would have 263 electoral votes, seven short needed to win the Presidency. Now, if Jon Huntsman carried all the remaining states, he'd be at 366, more than enough needed to become President. The problem is it is doubtful that either candidate will sweep all the states, which means Sanders could pick up California or New York, which would reduce a significant chunk of electoral delegate and would deliver this election, potentially to the House of Representatives." -- Anderson Cooper

Colorado: Projected

√ Bernie Sanders: 35.60%

Jon Huntsman: 35.27%

Donald Trump: 28.13%

Jon Huntsman: 188 (35.7%)

Donald Trump: 87 (31.7%)

Bernie Sanders: 85 (31.4%)

"Stand-by, for a major projection --- CNN can now project Jon Huntsman is the winner of Illinois, the home state of President Barack Obama. A big state, hotly fought over and it goes for the independent candidate tonight." -- Wolf Blitzer

Illinois: Projected

√ Jon Huntsman: 37.87%

Bernie Sanders: 34.99%

Donald Trump: 26.14%

"And stand-by for a major projection: CNN is now calling Pennsylvania for Jon Huntsman. Florida goes for Huntsman." -- Wolf Blitzer

Jon Huntsman: 228 (35.6%)

Donald Trump: 87 (31.6%)

Bernie Sanders: 85 (31.4%)

2:19 am

AP: HUNTSMAN CAMPAIGN TO CONTEST RESULTS IN MICHIGAN -- SANDERS NARROWLY PREVAILS

TWEET FROM DONALD TRUMP: "HUNTSMAN CANNOT CLOSE DEAL. WE'RE WINNING"

Jon Huntsman: 234 (35.4%)

Bernie Sanders: 101 (32.0%)

Donald Trump: 90 (31.8%)

New York: Too Close to Call (0.18%)

Jon Huntsman: 34.17%

Bernie Sanders: 33.99%

Donald Trump: 30.84%

Florida: Too Close to Call (Difference: 0.57%)

Jon Huntsman: 33.86%
Bernie Sanders: 33.29%
Donald Trump: 31.85%

California: Too Close to Call (Difference: 0.99%)

Bernie Sanders: 35.55%

Jon Huntsman: 34.56%

Donald Trump: 28.96%

"Florida and New York will put Jon Huntsman over the top. He needs both states to win." -- Anderson Cooper

BREAKING NEWS:

California: Projected

√ Bernie Sanders: 35.55%

Jon Huntsman: 34.56%

Donald Trump: 28.96%

Jon Huntsman: 234 (35.1%)

Bernie Sanders: 156 (32.5%)

Donald Trump: 90 (31.7%)

[Bigby]

Go Huntsman!

Also, I don't see Georgia's popular vote result when it was called. Could you add that, please?

[NHI]

10. Done

2:33 am

"History is made tonight. Jon Huntsman, having captured the state of New York by a narrow margin, is our projected winner in Florida and thus is the winner of the Presidency. Jon Huntsman, the Former Ambassador and Republican Governor of Utah will be the 45th President of the United Stats." -- Wolf Blitzer

Florida: Projected

√ Jon Huntsman: 33.87%

Bernie Sanders: 33.27%

Donald Trump: 31.86%

Bernie Sanders Concedes to Huntsman

Despite hopes he would contests Jon Huntsman's 34.17% to 33.99% victory in New York, Bernie Sanders accepted the outcome of the Presidential race, conceding from his home state of Vermont. Sanders, a self-described Independent socialist became a Democrat for the sake of the election, but performed far better than any socialist candidate. He thanked his supporters and remarked on the odds of his improbable campaign, but pledge the work would go on.

Sanders finished a strong second, far ahead of Donald Trump, the Republican candidate. Sanders won 160 electoral votes and an astonishing 32 percent of the vote in a three man race.

The victory of Jon Huntsman was seen as a plus for the GOP. Having survived the Trump debacle, Huntsman a moderate Republican could work with the divided Congress. The Democrats narrowly retook the House, while Republican barley hung onto the Senate. The influx of independent candidates in house races was credited to Huntsman's presence of the ticket. Donald Trump, the GOP candidate concede early in the morning from his headquarters in New York. He finished a dismal third, which did in part reflect badly on the Republican Party's brand, but his candidacy was largely whitewashed by the party, as the outcome resulted in a "Republican" retaking the White House.

Trump Reluctantly Concedes

Huntsman: First Independent to win the White House since George Washington

Jon Huntsman: 288 (34.9%)

Bernie Sanders: 160 (32.8%)

Donald Trump: 90 (31.0%)

Other: 0 (1.3%)

[Bigby]

Jesus answered my prayers. Also, what are the exact numbers for the House and Senate party makeup?