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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #5075 on: March 10, 2016, 12:00:15 AM »

1888

Pres. Grover Cleveland / Sen. Allen G. Thurman [DEM] 219 EV, 50% pv
Sen. Benjamin Harrison / Gov. Levi P. Morton [REP] 182 EV, 47% pv

1892

Sen. Russell A. Alger / Mr. Chauncey Depew [REP] 240 EV, 46% pv
Sen. David B. Hill / Rep. Adlai E. Stevenson [DEM] 163 EV, 32% pv
Judge Walter Q. Gresham / Sen. James H. Kyle [POP] 41 EV, 22% pv

1896

Gov. Claude Matthews / Rep. Arthur Sewall [DEM] 242 EV, 40% pv
Pres. Russell A. Alger / VP Chauncey Depew [REP] 148 EV, 36% pv
Sen. William J. Bryan / Rep. Thomas Watson [POP] 57 EV, 27% pv

1900

Gov. William McKinley / Gov. Theodore Roosevelt [REP] 217 EV, 39% pv
Sen. William J. Bryan / Rep. Eugene Debs [POP] 122 EV, 31% pv
Pres. Claude Matthews / VP Arthur Sewall [DEM] 107 EV, 29% pv

Congressional Populists join Republicans to elect McKinley in the House on the 15th ballot; in exchange, Bryan is named Secretary of the Interior.

1904

Pres. William McKinley / VP Theodore Roosevelt [REP] 310 EV, 51% pv
Judge Alton B, Parker / Sen. Henry G. Davis [DEM] 120 EV, 23% pv
Rep. Thomas Watson / Rep. Eugene Debs [POP] 46 EV, 26% pv

1908

Gov. Eugene Debs / Gov. Ashton C. Shallenberger [POP] 242 EV, 45% pv
Sen. Charles W. Fairbanks / Sen. Philander Knox [REP] 164 EV, 39% pv
Sen. George Gray / Rep. Oscar Underwood [DEM] 77 EV, 16% pv
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #5076 on: March 12, 2016, 12:36:40 AM »

1867: Lee's Last Service
Robert E. Lee's victory at the Battle of Sharpsburg in September 1862 effectively brought an end to the American Civil War and established the independence of the Confederate States of America. After routing the Union Army under George B. McClellan, Lee moved upon the Northern government at Washington, D.C. - while President Lincoln and his cabinet managed to escape, the conquest of the nation's capitol shattered Northern resolve to continue the war. Peace negotiations held at London in 1863 formally brought hostilities to an end. Under the terms of the Treaty, the Union government agreed to revoke its claims to Western Virginia in exchange for the Confederate evacuation of Maryland; while the Davis government initially insisted that Kentucky and Missouri be "returned" to Southern control as well, Union military victories in the Western theatre during the early months of 1862 had effectively expelled the Confederate presence in those states. U.S. Ambassador Charles F. Adams outmaneuvered the Confederates, pretending to insist that Tennessee be ceded to the Union (as the state was still partially under Union control) and then "compromised" by exchanging Tennessee for Confederate recognition of the Union governments in Kentucky and Missouri.

Just as the Jay Treaty had divided Americans in the 1790s, the Treaty of London was greeted with contempt by the Southern public, who viewed it as surrender to a weaker foe. President Davis, who in January 1863 had been hailed as the "Savior of the Southern people," was by 1864 "unpopular, avoided, and suspected": he would eventually succumb to an assassin's bullet two years after the end of the war. His successor, Alexander Stephens, fared little better in the court of public opinion, where he was lambasted for his refusal to go to war with Mexico. By 1867, only one man had the necessary respect to unite the divided country: General Robert E. Lee of Virginia. Though in poor health and loath to leave retirement, Lee reluctantly agreed to stand for the presidency on a cross party ticket. While a slate of un-pledged Whig electors won votes in East Tennessee and Western Virginia, where the Unionist sentiment remained in weakened form, Lee swept the electoral college and racked up large majorities in every state, and was inaugurated as the third Confederate president on February 22, 1868.



Gen. Robert E. Lee / Sen. Robert W. Barnwell [IND] 109 EV, 97% pv

1873: There is Civil Strife in Heaven
The unity born from Robert E. Lee's election was short lived: in October 1870, the revered general passed away in Richmond, Virginia. His successor, Robert W. Barnwell, was a daring but tactless politician whose abrasive personality and uncompromising nature led to the birth of the Confederacy's first party system. Barnwell's supporters, who approved of his bold (and successful) efforts to wrest Cuba from Spain and his opposition to tariffs of any kind, formed the Democratic Party (a continuation of the Jacksonian party of old); anti-administration Congressmen, who opposed expansion and favored efforts to expand Southern industry, became known as the American Party (a coalition of former Whigs and personal enemies of Barnwell).


Sen. Thomas C. Bocock / Sen. Herschel V. Johnson [DEM] 73 EV, 58% pv
Gov. Henry R. Jackson / Sen. Judah P. Benjamin [AMP] 36 EV, 42% pv

1879: This First Parting Among Us
While President Bocock continued Barnwell's expansionist policies, even developing plans for a Confederate invasion of Nicaragua, his refusal to entertain the possibility of war with Mexico (due to Emperor Maximillian's ties to France, an important trading partner of the Confederacy) led Texas to secede from the Confederacy in 1875, taking with her the South's territories in New Mexico and Arizona. In 1877, the Americans took control of the House of Representatives for the first time, paving the way for Zebulon Vance's bid for the presidency in 1879.


Gov. Zebulon Vance / Gen. James Longstreet [AMP] 56 EV, 54% pv
Gov. Josiah A. P. Campbell / Sen. Robert E. Withers [DEM] 45 EV, 46% pv

1885: Passing By Old Pete
A capable and reasonably popular administrator, Zebulon Vance caused little excitement during his size years in office. The American Party hoped this popularity would elevate Vice President James Longstreet to the top position: but Longstreet, an uninspiring campaigner, was eclipsed by a fellow veteran of the Civil War: General P. G. T. Beauregard.


Gen. P.G.T. Beauregard / Gov. Roger A. Pryor [DEM] 57 EV, 51% pv
VP James Longstreet / Sen. Robert L. Caruthers [AMP] 44 EV, 49%

1891: Pride Cometh Before the Fall
Even by generous standards, Beauregard's presidency was a disaster for the Confederacy. His ill-conceived attempt to seize Nicaragua did enormous damage to the Confederate economy, causing industrial Virginia to secede in 1888. Virginia was followed by Tennessee the following year (where Knoxville Unionists seized control of the state government and aligned themselves with the Peoria Confederacy) and North Carolina in 1890. Desperate, the South turned to James Longstreet in hopes that Lee's faithful lieutenant could do what his old commander had done in 1867 and unite the country.


VP James Longstreet / Gov. Marcus L. Foster [AMP] 39 EV, 59% pv
Sen. Randall L. Gibson / Rep. Patrick Walsh [DEM] 19 EV, 40% pv
Unpledged Electors [IND] 0 EV, 1% pv

1898: Trial by Fire
Concluding that the heart of the South's troubles lay with the continued existence of slavery, which strangled economic growth and prevented the Confederacy from becoming a viable industrial economy, President Longstreet abolished slavery by executive order in 1893. After Southern planters threatened to remove him from office by force, Longstreet dissolved the Congress on May 1 and declared a state of martial law. Instead of stemming the chaos, Longstreet's "May Proclamation" plunged the country into civil war: a rump government established at Jackson, Mississippi denounced Longstreet's Administration as "devoid of any lawful power of coercion" and declared Senate President Pro-Temp. Oscar Underwood "Acting President." Longstreet, however, had the military on his side: by 1898, the rebellion had been subdued and order restored throughout the Confederacy. A new Constitution drafted by Longstreet and his Secretary of War, Thomas E. Watson, that outlawed secession, extended full political (but not social) equality to blacks, granted women the right to vote, and greatly expanded the powers of the presidency was adopted that year. Longstreet's supporters, organized under the banner of the People's Party, nominated him for an unprecedented second term as president: facing only token opposition, he won in a landslide.


Pres. James Longstreet / Sec. Thomas E. Watson [POP] 88% votes
Rep. John H. Bankhead / Mayor Walter C. Flower [IND] 7% votes
Others [Various] 5% votes
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NeverAgain
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5077 on: March 12, 2016, 01:00:32 AM »

Garfield Lives... But Loses in 1880
Winfield S. Hancock/William H. English- 200 E.V. 49.28% P.V.
James Garfield/John Sherman- 169 E.V., 47.26% P.V.
Benjamin Butler/Hendrick Wright - 0 E.V., 0.98% P.V.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #5078 on: March 12, 2016, 02:17:00 PM »

2015 Presidential Recall Election

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Slow Learner
Battenberg
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« Reply #5079 on: March 13, 2016, 11:11:45 AM »

My take on 'Trump wins Iowa, Rubio still messes up'.



Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY)
Senator Ted Cruz (R-OK)
Former Governor Jeb Bush (R-DC)
Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)
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Hammy
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« Reply #5080 on: March 13, 2016, 02:48:41 PM »



Tie map, no idea what sort of major policy issues would lead to it.
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Higgs
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« Reply #5081 on: March 13, 2016, 03:24:47 PM »
« Edited: March 13, 2016, 03:27:19 PM by Higgs »

Eastern States of America: 2018 Presidential Election Liberals vs Populists


Sen. Bruce Rauner (L-IL)/Gov. Bill Haslam (L-TN) 172 (51%)

Sen. Joe Manchin (P-WV)/Gov. Jim Webb (P-VA) 136 (48%)

Western States of America: 2018 Presidential Election Liberals vs Populists


Gov. Jerry Brown (L-CA)/Gov. Tim Pawlenty (L-MN) 112 (46%)

Gov. Greg Abbott (P-TX)/Sen. Tulsi Gabbard (P-HI) 118 (54%)

American Union of States: 2024 Presidential Election Liberals vs Populists


Pres. Bruce Rauner (L-IL)/Sen. Brian Sandoval (L-NV) 292 (53%)

Pres. Greg Abbott (P-TX)/VP Tulsi Gabbard (P-HI) 243 (47%)

*Haslam joined Populist party so Sandoval picked as new VP
*Capital moved to Missouri, DC becomes part of Maryland
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #5082 on: March 13, 2016, 04:05:27 PM »


Kerry v. Bush with extra polarization.
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rpryor03
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« Reply #5083 on: March 13, 2016, 07:23:59 PM »
« Edited: March 14, 2016, 04:27:03 PM by Kasich 2016 »

2000: Straight-Talkin'



Sen. John McCain / Sen. Connie Mack III [REP] 50.4%, 282 EV
Sen. Evan Bayh / Sen. Barbara Boxer [DEM] 47.9%, 256 EV
Mr. Ralph Nader / Ms. Winona LaDuke [GRN] 1.1%


2004: Experience-off!




Pres. John McCain / Sec. Dick Cheney [REP] 48.9%, 274 EV
Sen. Evan Bayh / Gen. Wesley Clark [DEM] 49.5%, 264 EV
Mr. Ralph Nader / Mr. Matt Gonzalez [IND] 1.1%


2008: Cracks Begin To Show



Gov. Mitt Romney / Gov. Charlie Crist [REP] 30.7%, 186 EV
Sec. Donald Rumsfeld / Mr. Paul Wolfowitz [IND] 25.7%, 128 EV
VP Al Gore / Gov. Bill Richardson [DEM] 26%, 120 EV
Mayor Michael Bloomberg / Gov. Jesse Ventura [REF/LIB] 10%, 104 EV
Mr. George Clooney / Mr. Ralph Nader [GRN/PNF] 7.7%, 0 EV
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rpryor03
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« Reply #5084 on: March 14, 2016, 05:50:49 PM »

2012: Trying to Glue It Up



Pres. Al Gore / Sec. Joe Lieberman 49.6%, 209 EV
Gov. Chris Christie / Gov. Sarah Palin 48.8%, 248 EV


2016: Aanndd... Nope



Gov. Jeb Bush / Sen. Kelly Ayotte [REP] 37.5%, 211 EV
Sen. Jim Webb / Mr. Greg Orman [REF] 21.3%, 202 EV
Gov. Martin O'Malley / Gov. Andrew Cuomo [DEM] 25.2%, 96 EV
Mr. Donald Trump / Gov. Jan Brewer [CON] 10.4%, 19 EV
Sen. Bernie Sanders / Rep. Keith Ellison [GRN/PNF] 7.9%, 10 EV
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Seneca
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« Reply #5085 on: March 14, 2016, 09:36:26 PM »

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MisterElection2001
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« Reply #5086 on: March 14, 2016, 09:55:29 PM »

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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #5087 on: March 15, 2016, 09:27:47 PM »

Clinton/Castro vs Rubio/Snyder vs Trump/LePage?
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Slow Learner
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« Reply #5088 on: March 16, 2016, 08:23:48 AM »



Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Secretary of Labor Tom Perez (D-CA) - 49.4%, 288 EVs
Governor John Kasich (R-OH)/Governor Nikki Haley (R-SC) - 48.9%, 250 EVs
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Clark Kent
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« Reply #5089 on: March 16, 2016, 03:10:52 PM »

2008 Presidential Election:



Democratic: 52.93%, 349 EVs
Republican: 45.65%, 189 EVs

Close states:

Arkansas: 0.02%
Arizona: 0.70%

Virginia: 1.57%
Missouri: 2.60%

North Carolina: 2.65%
West Virginia: 3.12%
Tennessee: 4.54%

Florida: 4.77%
Louisiana: 4.81%
Colorado: 5.05%
Georgia: 6.91%
Nevada: 7.06%
South Carolina: 7.43%
Ohio: 7.69%
New Mexico: 8.91%
Iowa: 9.07%
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Seneca
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« Reply #5090 on: March 16, 2016, 08:48:11 PM »


Essentially yes. The scenario is Kasich is given the nomination by an open GOP convention. Trump immediately launches a third party bid. However, the realities of ballot access (see here) restrict the Trump campaign in unique ways, preventing him, for example, from being on the ballot in Georgia or Texas. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton is running under indictment in this scenario. This is why Kasich is able to win blue states like Michigan or Nevada where Trump is not on the ballot. My goal with this scenario is to produce a plausible (given the scenario) no EV majority map. What do you think?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5091 on: March 16, 2016, 10:09:46 PM »
« Edited: March 16, 2016, 11:36:32 PM by Maxwell »

2016 - Clinton STUMPS the Trump!



Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/HUD Secretary Julian Castro (D-TX) - 54.2%, 343 EV's
Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY)/Former Senator Scott Brown (R-MA) - 44.0%, 195 EV's

2020 - Now it's the establishments turn!
A bitter Republican primary between Ducey and Ryan ended with them both on the ticket, hoping to satisfy the increasing "Know Nothing" faction of the party with Ducey, but it ended up being a bridge too far to compete against the moderately unpopular President.



President Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Vice President Julian Castro (D-TX) - 50.2%, 298 EV's

Former Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI)/Governor Doug Ducey (R-AZ) - 48.6%, 240 EV's

2024 - Republicans finally get one!



Former Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI)/Governor Adam Putnam (R-FL) - 52.2%, ~320ish EV's
Vice President Julian Castro (D-TX)/Senator Kristen Gillibrand (D-NY) - 46.5%, ~210ish EV's

2028 - Just to lose it again!



Senator Erika Putnik (D-MN)/Governor Jason Carter (D-GA) - 51.8%, ~320ish EV's
President Paul Ryan (R-WI)/Vice President Adam Putnam (R-FL) - 47.2%, ~210ish EV's

And something weird just happened in 2032...



Governor Ivanka Trump (AF-NY)/Governor Ron Brooks (AF/R-NJ) - 39.8%, 342 EV's
President Erika Putnik (D-MN)/Vice President Jason Carter (D-GA) - 35.2%, 174 EV's
Governor Tagg Romney (R-UT)/Senator Gregg Mann (R-WI) - 19.9%, 22 EV's
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standwrand
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« Reply #5092 on: March 17, 2016, 08:04:16 PM »
« Edited: March 17, 2016, 08:11:19 PM by standwrand »



Former Sen. Hillary Clinton / HUD Sec. Julian Castro (D) - 256 EV, 37%
House Speaker Paul Ryan / Sen. Ted Cruz (R) - 201 EV, 35%
Businessman Donald Drumpf / Dennis Rodman (Ind/Constitution) - 81 EV, 25%
Activist Melina Abdullah / Rapper Kendrick Lamar (BLM) - 0 EV, 3%
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #5093 on: March 17, 2016, 11:09:40 PM »
« Edited: March 18, 2016, 05:48:12 PM by Senator Truman »

2016 Primaries: The Frontrunners vs. the Underdogs

Clinton and Trump
Trump Only (No Dem primary)
Clinton and Other GOP
Trump and Other Dem
Other Dem and Other GOP
Other Dem Only (No GOP primary)
Other GOP Only (No Dem primary)
No Vote
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SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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« Reply #5094 on: March 18, 2016, 12:25:16 AM »



Former Sen. Hillary Clinton / HUD Sec. Julian Castro (D) - 256 EV, 37%
House Speaker Paul Ryan / Sen. Ted Cruz (R) - 201 EV, 35%
Businessman Donald Drumpf / Dennis Rodman (Ind/Constitution) - 81 EV, 25%
Activist Melina Abdullah / Rapper Kendrick Lamar (BLM) - 0 EV, 3%
Interesting. In this scenario I think Clinton wins around 42% and wins in a landslide, as Ryan and Trump win 27-28% each. With Clinton being a "safe" win in this scenario, Abdullah/Lamar may finish 2nd in DC and hold Clinton to around 85% of the vote.

Although I think Rodman is an odd choice for VP. Jesse Ventura maybe?

Perhaps...

Clinton/Castro 42% / 376 EV
Ryan/Cruz 28% / 125 EV
Trump/Ventura 27% / 37 EV
Abdullah/Lamar 2%
Other 1%
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Chunk Yogurt for President!
CELTICEMPIRE
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5095 on: March 19, 2016, 12:52:04 PM »



THis is my map of the worst case scenario for the Democrats.  It involves an incumbent Democrat who is losing a major war, presiding over a collapsing economy, is being charged with murder, and nearly lost the nomination to a primary challenger.  Republicans win 68.4% of the vote and Democrats win just under 30%.  The Republicans win Utah with almost 82% of the vote, and the best state for the Democrats is Vermont with 45% (They win 50% of the vote in DC).

I'll do one for Republicans next.
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Chunk Yogurt for President!
CELTICEMPIRE
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5096 on: March 19, 2016, 01:19:53 PM »



Basically the same as my last map but with the parties switched.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5097 on: March 19, 2016, 10:33:24 PM »

Here's a random Trump vs. Clinton map I made for fun.

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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #5098 on: March 20, 2016, 11:31:28 AM »

Freiwal 272, LAST RODEO before Reapportionment


CLinton-CASTRO: 272
TRUMP-Brown: 266


CLINTON-Castro: 272
Cruz-Ernst: 266


Ryan-HAley: 270
CASTRO-Murphy: 268
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NHI
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« Reply #5099 on: March 20, 2016, 12:26:18 PM »

For fun.
Republican Governor (R-NY): 310 (50.7%)
Democratic Senator (D-TX): 228 (47.6%)


Democratic Governor (D-NH): 486 (48.9%)
Incumbent President (R-NY): 36 (35.5%)
Republican Congressman (R-AL) (14.6%)

Democratic President (D-NH): 509 (59.9%)
Republican Governor Utah (R-UT): 29 (38.5%)

Republican Senate Majority Leader (R-FL): 245 (37.8%)
Incumbent Democratic Vice President (D-CO): 233 (34.9%)
Independent Businessman (I-CA): 60 (25.7%)
* Senate Majority Leader Elected Via the House of Representatives.

Incumbent President (R-FL): 328 (52.0%)
Former Democratic Vice President (D-CO): 220 (46.7%)
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